As we all know, international oil prices have always been an important indicator of price adjustments for my country's refined oil products, because international crude oil futures prices reflect changes in the international market and generally involve many aspects, such as market supply and demand, economic recovery, and international disputes, which will have a direct impact on the trend of international oil prices. Influence. In addition, since international crude oil prices are the "barometer" of the global economy and commodity markets, during the pricing cycle, domestic oil price predictions generally refer to the rise and fall of international oil prices. Even the "ceiling" of oil prices is the current price. After the international oil price exceeded the upper limit of US$130 per barrel, domestic refined oil prices will no longer increase in the short term, which fully demonstrates the strategic position and influence of international crude oil futures.
In addition, according to the latest data, a piece of bad news is about to come out, that is, international oil prices continue to rebound, and WTI and Brent crude oil futures prices have both risen. As of press time, the increases have exceeded 1.80%. According to In real-time trends, WTI crude oil price broke through the US$110/barrel mark, rising significantly from the previous trading day; Brent crude oil futures prices also rose significantly, with the current quotation exceeding US$113/barrel, and there is the possibility of continuing to rise, which means With the combination of positive and negative factors, bullish factors have temporarily gained the upper hand, pushing international oil prices to rebound and rise.
Of course, with the current rebound in international oil prices, it is expected that the downward adjustment of domestic oil prices will continue to narrow, corresponding to the decrease in the crude oil change rate on the fifth working day or narrowing again, and the cumulative downward adjustment in oil prices is expected to be closer and closer to the stranded state. This It is not good news for consumers, because no matter whether the oil price is stranded or rising, the oil cost for the majority of car owners has not decreased, which means that the life pressure caused by high oil prices still exists, which is exactly what countless consumers are unwilling to face. Right phenomenon.
Secondly, the current rise in international oil prices may still be closely related to new force majeure factors in Libya's oil industry due to domestic turmoil. Bullish factors have pushed WTI and Brent crude oil futures to rebound. Specifically, Libya's national oil company announced on the 30th that force majeure occurred in Libya's Es Sider Port, Ras Lanuf Port and El Feel Oilfield, and the two ports of Brega and Zueitina continued to be in force majeure at the same time. Furthermore, although the international oil price has not yet closed, judging from the current intraday trend, U.S. crude oil has a strong upward trend, with an increase of nearly 2.0%. The same is true for Brent crude oil futures, indicating that the support of bull factors is strong.
In short, according to the latest data, it is not good! International oil prices have rebounded, and both WTI and Brent crude oil futures have risen significantly, and the increase is not small. According to past practice, the downward adjustment of domestic oil price forecasts is expected to continue to narrow, and there is a high probability of falling below the 70 yuan/ton mark. Oil prices show a slight increase. Therefore, it is expected that the next round of refined oil price adjustment will fall slightly, which means that the big drop expected by most people is impossible.
(This article was originally written by Cheng Shuo Fengyun. Welcome to pay attention and increase your knowledge together.)
