Starting from March 1st, Ukraine has received less and less news from the front.
On March 7, the Russian Ministry of Defense even stated:
The Russian army is about to enter a state of silence to facilitate the opening of humanitarian channels.
Judging from these circumstances, the conflict seems to have come to a short "intermission."
In the eyes of some friends, this may not be called "intermission" at all,
but the last calm before the storm.
Of course, no matter what the war is like now,
I believe everyone is wondering:
How will the situation between Russia and Ukraine end?
Many people will talk to you about the specific situation on the battlefield,
but I think we can understand this matter from the side.
Hello everyone, I am your old friend, Di Qiu.
Of course, regardless of the angle,
first of all, you still have to look at the general direction of the battlefield.
Regarding the issue on the Ukrainian front,
will start with the picture above.
We can clearly feel that the Russian army advanced from three directions: north, south and east,
and also controlled a large area.
But here I want to tell you a fact:
This map was drawn by pro-Russian people.
Come on, let’s take a look at the map drawn by Ukrainians .
Putting the two pictures together, doesn’t it become very interesting?
Of course, in addition to the warring sides,
the British Guardian and BBC, and the American New York Times all drew maps. What's interesting about
is that their maps are very similar.
(British Guardian)
(British BBC)
(New York Times)
The reason why I put the map of each media first,
actually want to tell you is:
Since China is far away from the battlefield,
so everyone is in the process of obtaining information. There will definitely be a big difference.
However, if we collect as much information from all parties as possible,
we can minimize the differences.
Well, now combining these five pictures with the historical factors of Eastern Ukraine,
Diqiu has come to a conclusion:
Russia's progress in Eastern Ukraine is quite smooth. The reason why
did not take further action, or in other words, did not use weapons with greater lethality, was essentially because of brotherly love.
As the Eastern Ukraine regions of Kharkov, Donetsk, Luhansk and other places are mainly heavy industries,
the connection with Russia is very close,
many Russians There are more or less several relatives in Eastern Ukraine and the Ukrainian capital Kiev
.
In addition, Russia's strategic goal for Eastern Ukraine is not a pile of ruins.
People will run this place in the future,
Therefore, now we see the "silent state" of the Russian army.
means: The Ukrainian army in several states in the eastern Ukraine region quickly organized a safe passage to evacuate the local Ukrainians.
Now that the civilians are gone, we can start a fight.
Of course, this is only on the battlefield.
As we all know, war is a continuation of politics.
The speed of Russian military operations has slowed down significantly recently.
In addition to evacuating civilians,
there is another very important reason.
That is: observing the situation between Europe and the United States while fighting. reaction.
So what is the reaction of the United States?
can be summed up in one sentence:
I want to be a saint, and
I also want to earn money.
After the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the United States immediately jumped out to impose various sanctions on Russia, and even took out the "nuclear bomb" SWIFT settlement system in the financial world.
This is very familiar to friends who have gone abroad or engaged in foreign trade business.
For example, in China, no matter whether you pay online, go to the bank to transfer money, or pay off your mortgage, it all has to go through our own internal bank system, right?
In this era of globalization, the huge trade volume between countries also requires a settlement system.
and SWIFT are such a thing.
is Russia, everyone knows it.
If you ban this thing, it will be difficult for oil, natural gas, and to go abroad. Today's Iran is the best example.
Look, as soon as the slogan of sanctions is shouted,
does the United States become a saint?
But despite the loud shouts of "ism", as soon as
was launched, it was discovered that they had only sanctioned a few Russian banks that had nothing to do with energy.
Huh? You know what I want to say, right?
(Words are full of doctrines, but hearts are business)
Of course, in addition to resources, there is also finance.
Standard & Poor's lowered the credit ratings of 52 Russian companies on March 8,
meaning to tell the world's financial capital:
Russia is a lump, the water is too deep, and you cannot grasp it.
Then turned around, and institutions such as Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase went to buy cheap Russian corporate bonds.
Even JPMorgan Chase has upgraded the bonds
of several Russian energy and steel companies to an "overweight" rating. What does
mean? What else are you looking at? Hurry up and buy, buy, buy.
To sum it up: The current attitude of the United States towards Russia and Ukraine can only be summarized in four words:
Looks fierce but the inside is soft!
Of course, if I have to say that the reaction is the most interesting, it must be Europe.
I don’t know if you have noticed the reactions of
European countries at the beginning of the conflict.
also uses an idiom to describe it, that is: sharing the same hatred and hatred!
It seems that all of Europe will soon mobilize its most advanced weapons
to the border area of Poland and Ukraine.
But what is the reality?
The Germans spent a long time in the arsenal of East Germany and found 2,700
.
Brothers, be optimistic, "Soviet system"! ! !
One thing is certain: these anti-aircraft missiles should be older than the vast majority of soldiers on the battlefield.
talking, for a while, I couldn't tell whether the Germans were supporting Ukraine or
Well, now we can generally feel:
Regardless of whether it is Europe or the United States, when it comes to supporting Ukraine,
mainly uses " "Reciting sutras" is the main thing!
Unfortunately, Russia does not wear a "tightening curse".
If the reaction of Germany and other countries is to "recite scriptures",
then France's reaction is particularly worth pondering.
Although French laws are changing every day on the global Internet,
the undeniable fact is:
As far as the entire NATO or EU is concerned,
the country with the most independent national defense is definitely not France. None other than.
After all, France is the only country that has combat capabilities and is not yet stationed by the United States.
Moreover, I don’t know if you have noticed,
So far, Russia has negotiated with Ukraine three times,
and almost every time during the negotiation, Putin would have a phone call with French President Macron .
In fact, this is also telling the world in a different direction:
When it comes to Europe's independent defense, France is the one who stands up!
Let’s look at a recent piece of news.
At Macron’s meeting with voters in the Paris area,
made it clear: Russia and the Russian people should always be respected.
Of course, as for news, we have to read it together.
In April this year, France is about to enter the general election cycle.
To put it bluntly, Macron wants French voters to see:
Oh, it turns out that our president has been saving France and integrating Europe.
Moreover, it can also play a mediating role in conflicts.
is ready. I will definitely vote for him in the next election.
Before the president made his statement, a French reporter revealed on the program that
the Ukrainian government had been bombing Russian-speaking residents in the Donbass region since 2014. This even includes children!
In eight years, more than 13,000 people may have died.
Why do you want to say such news?
is actually very simple, the direction of the wind!
Around March 3, this news was carried by the French media.
html Around March 8, Macron said that Russia and its people should also be respected.Look, after the reporter's point of view is foreshadowed, does
the president's expression seem logical?
In addition to Macron's change in attitude,
there is another person who is also very important. who? Naturally it is the actor President
Zelensky.
Since the conflict started, Zelenskiy has been described as "killing all sides" on social media.
At one moment, he said that the Ukrainian army was victorious at the front, and at another, he angrily criticized the inaction of Northern Europe and the European Union.
This has created an illusion for people in the Western world:
Zelensky is simply the most holy teacher in Europe!
However, the recent trend in the media seems to be a bit wrong.
html On March 8, CNN in the United States published two reports in a row.
One claimed that Zelensky was not Churchill and that he could not be a hero,
one said that Zelensky’s heroism was touching a red line in the West.
Similarly, the news still needs to be read in the bound volume.
On March 6, US Secretary of State Blinken admitted:
Ukraine has formulated a plan for Zelensky’s death to ensure the continuity of the Ukrainian government.
Although the US media has always been divided into left and right,
, from these two reports and Blinken's attitude, we smell a strange atmosphere,
that Zelensky seems to be given up.
Of course, we can't make a conclusion as to whether Zelensky will really be given up,
, but one thing is certain:
Natural gas and oil prices have gone crazy recently!
If Zelensky is allowed to continue to incite like this,
the situation in Russia and Ukraine will never cool down.
If the temperature does not drop, Europe, which is extremely dependent on Russian energy, will definitely not be able to accept it.
The great poet Su Shi once wrote in a poem:
Spring River Plumbing Duck Prophet!
How the fight between Russia and Ukraine will turn out? The attitudes of Europe and the United States are the best barometer.
That’s why Diqiu came in from this angle today.
Of course, I also hope to provide you with another way of thinking.
As the saying goes: if you listen to both, you will be enlightened, if you listen to one side, you will be dark.
Ok, this video is here for now.
If you have any other angles that you would like to hear, please leave a message in the comment area.
Your positive interaction is the driving force for me to move forward.
See you next time!
