index prediction:
first enter the conclusion, tomorrow's index prediction on Tuesday, 12.13: go to to fill the gap.
Logical basis:
1. Although there was a decline today, it was not a rapid decline. This can be seen from the 60-minute cycle chart.
Shanghai Stock Exchange 60-minute cycle
2, so the previous wave pattern needs to be adjusted. According to the above figure, combined with today's slow decline, it is currently more inclined to move back to the rebound wave 4 wave callback .
3. If it is judged as a 4-wave callback, then compared with the 123-wave time, the time is obviously a little worse, that is, the time of the callback has not ended yet, so the next focus is on observing whether the decline will become faster, which is very important for whether the entire rebound ends.
technical indicator basis:
1, daily line MACD: The red corner line falls after reaching the mean. red corner is currently in a divergence state, and this indicator signal is not good.
2. Small cycle 60 minutes MACD: The green angle reaches the mean, and the DIF must be close to the 0 axis. It depends on whether the decline will stop near the 0 axis. The third item above is also considered an auxiliary judgment.
single, from the technical indicators, the adjustment has not ended yet, and the focus is on the speed of the decline.
, it is temporarily judged to be a 4-wave callback.
Operation direction:
Short-term :
1. The index is subjectively judged that the 4 waves are slow to fall, but be careful if they continue to fall, they will become faster.
2. Don’t fall quickly tomorrow, then you can continue to operate in the short term.
3. The direction is still to consider the recovery of the digital economy. Medicine is buying low and will never chase high prices.
4. The big consumption market is not over yet, and we can still participate.
5. There are signs of abnormal movement in electronic consumption, chips and military industry. Please pay attention to whether there are leaders in the market.
mid-line:
1, three key directions in the future, including pharmaceutical rebound, military industry, and chip technology.
at the end:
Many people talk about why the index rose today? Why did it fall? Why did you get V today? Why did rise and fall back to ? I think these are all appearances, there is only one essence, and the market trend will only follow its own rules. This rule is both rising and falling.
index is the time, sectors are the right place, and stocks are the same as people. The daily idea is the subjective logic of experience plus the objective logic of technical indicators predict the index, and the index determines the size of position . The sector analyzes the short-term and medium-term operation ideas, and the sectors and individual stocks decide on the direction of attack.
votes, update the operation ideas of the next day every day [heart]
