October 2 early review, just like the rebound in the first half of last month, yesterday's rebound was just a rebound, not a reversal at the bottom.
Yesterday, market showed an positive line , releasing a trading volume of 970 billion yuan. Many friends were excited. Most of the friends who operated were excited when they saw the rise, just like panic when they saw the stocks falling.
My concept still continues the previous view. Although the positive line yesterday was very large, many stocks rebounded. I think it is just a rebound in the middle of the bear market. We must be cautious. The bottom area of the previous 2863 points is likely to fall below the market in the future, because the conditions for reversal are not met at this time, and large funds will not make a big market in this position.
The United States will announce the news of hike in November tonight. The interest rate will most likely reach more than 4%. The interest rate of the US dollar will reach more than 4% each time. It is a disaster for many countries. Many countries will go bankrupt. Not many people want to realize the negative news, it is good news, but in fact, the harvest of the US dollar has just begun.
And in the subsequent US midterm elections, the two parties have many differences, but one is the same, that is, to deal with China. I don’t know what bad news is going to deal with us later? Now they have acquired countries like Europe and Japan, but it is not enough. China, the largest, has always been their target of harvest. And they have been working hard to do these things. It can be seen from the trend of Hong Kong stocks, the trend of the RMB, and the powerful external shorting Chinese stock market.
There is no investment that is safer and has higher rewards than investing in US dollars, so global capital and funds have flowed to the United States. This time the United States also relies on harvesting the world to save themselves. In fact, this time, who can survive in the end. It is not only the matter of us, ordinary retail investors, but also considering their survival crisis for many countries who are large in size. The German Chancellor is going to visit China these days, which is very unhappy for the United States, but everyone knows why they do this.
In fact, although there was a big rise yesterday, I found that many people's mentality has changed. We ordinary retail investors should make money by investing in stocks. The mentality is the most important thing. Don't be ecstatic because of the stock market's surge, nor do you panic because of the stock market's sharp drop. You must have your own judgment and direction for the entire stock market so that you don't make big mistakes. In fact, although the stock market rose yesterday, many people are wrong as soon as they buy it. Why? Because people's thinking is following this market, for example, when the day before yesterday, I bought a stock that was oversold in and . A good friend of mine said strangely, shouldn't you buy stocks with this kind of decline channel? You should buy stocks with good trends, but my idea is that the stock price has fallen so much. Judging from the fundamentals of , it is safe for the time being and may rebound. However, because of caution, the position I used has always been very low, and I cannot grasp the current market conditions thoroughly. I can only operate with small positions and fast in and out quickly.
's current position, I feel like the 3023 point policy bottom in the first half of the year. At that time, I said in the article that this position is not like the real bottom. If I were the main force in the market, I would smash this bottom and expand the space down, and then do the market. Sure enough, it reached 2863 points, and a big rebound appeared.
is also not available at this position to expand the market. Because there is not enough room for decline, if you move up, the market will be limited. So I will continue the previous point of view. Only after expanding the space downward will we usher in a relatively large rebound or reversal market. So the best strategy now is to wait. Of course, if you are a short-term expert, you can use the rotation of stocks in the past few days to make individual stocks rebound, structural market.
But I feel that most retail investors have already laid flat and have no room to move. The proportion of retail investors who can make money this year is very low. Now those who can still operate should be experts among retail investors.
In fact, as ordinary retail investors, it is impossible for us to seize every rebound and reversal opportunity. Just make a few certain trend opportunities in a year and make two sums of money. In the current downward trend, you should still be cautious in your operations, especially for those who chase the rise and sell the fall. Once the direction is wrong, you will be passive.
Because the trading volume is still relatively large, there is funds at the bottom of and . The rebound market may not end in one or two days, and the market will rotate. The target position of this rebound is just a gap in the upper part, near 2982 points. It is still difficult to get out of the trend and change the downward trend, unless there is a large positive news on the policy and capital market, but it is not visible so far.
So I still continue my original view, and now I still have to operate with caution, just wait. Maybe some time before New Year's Day, there may be a better buying opportunity.
