The stock market has been relatively sluggish recently and I have not seen good news. Why not tell some stories.
Story 1: A certain stock investor discovered a new operation idea, which is real and credible, can be copied, and has outstanding achievements. All the experts were silent after reading it. He did this:
0 February yield 0.00%, defeating 87.66% of shareholders;
0 March yield 0.00%, defeating 87.99% of shareholders;
0 April yield 0.00%, defeating 89.73% of shareholders;
05 May yield 0.00%, defeating 84.11% of shareholders;
06 June yield 0 .00%, defeating 87.49% of shareholders;
0 July yield 0.00%, defeating 92.81% of shareholders;
0 August yield 0.00%, defeating 86.52% of shareholders;
0 September yield 0.00%, defeating 88.00% of shareholders;
0 October yield 0.00%, defeating 92.75% of shareholders;
Story 2: Stock market crashes applaud? It's true:
When the Shanghai Composite Index broke through the thousand-point mark at around 11:00 a.m. on June 6, 2005 [Note: 998 is the historical bottom before the start of the super bull market in 2007], investors in a stock exchange in Ganjiakou, Beijing still welcomed the arrival of this moment with applause, and it was on the news. Look at how optimistic the people were at that time (I heard from the senior that whenever the account manager talked about stocks, investors would be shady, and even greet them with hands and feet). What is the situation now? Is it necessary to be so pessimistic?
Finally, talk about the review data on Friday: the Shanghai Composite Index fell 2.25%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 3.24%, the ChiNext Index fell 3.71%, northbound funds inflowed -2.032 billion, the turnover of transaction volume was 49097 billion, and the median was -3.78%. Look at the specific data analysis as follows:
[Data Analysis]
1. Overall data analysis: 3% stocks 3197, 3% stocks 32 stocks, 3% 132 stocks, 22 physical stocks hit the daily limit, hit the daily limit, 459 hit the daily limit, long strength 245, short strength 1223, belonging to the box oscillation system (DAY 11).
overall data is out of the list. The strength of the bears has 1200 far stronger than the longs, and it has also broken through the box of 200-550. It is an obvious downward trend. It has been recommended to cash out profit chips on Thursday. You will not lose much on Friday. For the longs, it is still around 200+. It is also so horizontal last time, but it is not the focus of our attention. As long as the shorts are still above 550+, the mid-line strategy of is generally short and there is no bullish view.
2, positions reference: the overall market mentality is 15, which belongs to the low-level mentality. The computer recommends that the total position will remain 4.5% tomorrow.
3. In terms of hot spots, the top 5 trends hit the daily limit are 3-7, and the main trend is: Xinchuang + Pharmaceutical. The core leader in the market is Zhizhen Technology , with 3 daily limits and concept information innovation.
4. Short-term cycle analysis: From the perspective of the success rate of chasing the board, today's success rate is poor. From the perspective of individual stocks, the yield on the board is very bad, the yield on the board is poor, the yield on the board is poor, the yield on the list is very poor, the yield on the list is very poor, the graph is the same as the downward trend, which represents the same viewpoint, and the short-term trend of strong stocks may strengthen.
Short-term data is obviously bad. The daily limit is only 26, which is the characteristic of the bear market. I don’t need to explain this. The median market is basically the same as the high turnover rate, which shows that it is a non-differentiated decline. The inducement is , ECB rate hike. For more stocks hitting the limit, the best strategy is of course to rest. Moreover, the market can no longer come up with the main line except for the information and innovation. Short-term strategies need to be wait-and-see, and we need to find a new main line in the market to grasp the rhythm and layout at low speeds.
5, Main hot spot tracking during the session: There were 5 sectors rising abnormally, and 2 sectors continued, of which 2 sectors were super strong sectors
[Strengthened for three consecutive days as a strong sector, and more than three days as a super strong sector]
09:38 Xinchuang (D3)--09:42 Semiconductor--10:33 Traditional Chinese Medicine (D3)--11:15 Gold--14:05 Dongshuxixi
Specific abnormal stocks
Xinchuang: Jiuqi software , Geer software , Xiongdi Technology , Beixinyuan ( Rongtong CSI Cloud Computing and Big Data Theme Index (LOF) C)
Semiconductor: Yingfangwei, Saiwei Electronics, Anlu Technology , Ashichuang ( Galaxy Innovation Growth Mixed C )
Chinese medicine: Xintian Pharmaceutical, Wohua Pharmaceutical , Foci Pharmaceutical , Huasen Pharmaceutical ( Huitianfu CSI Traditional Chinese Medicine Index (LOF) C)
Gold: Chifeng Gold, Hunan Gold, Silver Bar Gold, Western Gold ( Qianhai Kaiyuan Gold and Silver Jewelry Mixed C)
East numbers and west calculations: Meiliyun , Nanxing Co., Ltd. , Zhizhen Technology, Yimikang ( Tibet Dongcai CSI Communication Technology Theme Index C )
END
[Core View]
Index View: From the statistical data, the system is located in the box oscillation zone (Data 2), and the position has increased slightly (Data 2). The short-term hot spot is Xinchuang + Pharmaceutical. In the 5 sectors, the hot spots continue in 2 sectors. Xinchuang and Chinese Medicine are strong sectors (Data 3 and 5), the success rate of the board is poor, and the yield is very poor. How should this data be viewed?
Shanghai Composite Index has hit a new low. Not to mention whether 3,000 points can be held, 2,900 is also a problem now. At present, the 5-day, 10-day, 20-day, and 30-day lines have cleared downward to form a short trend. If you want to turn around again, you must at least rebound continuously like last time to re-glue the moving average again, and it will not change in one or two days. It is of little significance to the short-term. If there is still a new low tomorrow, then continue to wait and see; if you start to stop falling and rebound tomorrow, you will consider a low-short-term game [Note: It is just ultra-short-term].
The new low of the ChiNext Index appeared in early October, and it only returned to the previous low on Friday. If the Shanghai Composite Index broke, the ChiNext Index barely did not break (if it fell below Monday, it would be calculated otherwise), if the decline stopped and rebounded here, the possibility of a second bottoming out is also very high. After all, the 5-day, 10-day and 20-day lines are still entangled, and there is still hope. Since the trend of the GEM is better than the Shanghai Composite Index, if you engage in ultra-short-term games, you should consider more from the direction of the GEM.
To sum up: short-term data is not ideal, and there is no new main line to appear, so we should focus on rest and wait and see; the medium-term strategy mainly observes the short force, as long as it does not weaken, continue to wait and see, and there is no low-price strategy; the Shanghai Composite Index has reached a low, only a wait and see strategy; the ChiNext has not reached a low, and it is possible to stop falling and rebound. If there is a rebound, you can participate, and if there is no rebound, you will enter the wait and see.
streaming mode popular version: market has entered a new round of adjustments, with no popularity, no main line, new lows, and the environment is too poor and wait-and-see. Only when there is a rebound will you try ultra-short-term games. There is not enough time to stabilize the mid-term, and you still have to continue waiting for .
Special reminder:
1. The above content is only a personal investment diary and does not have guidance functions.
2, the views are for reference only, and whether to follow the ideas needs to be judged by investors.
3, creation is not easy. If you like it, please like, comment + follow. This is the greatest support for the author.
