[Introduction] html At the beginning of July, in the domestic gasoline and diesel market, this year's oil price adjustment showed "10 rose, 2 fell, 0 stranded". The price of gasoline and diesel has risen sharply. Many netizens have reported that in the past, it cost 200 to 300 yuan to fill up the tank, but now But it costs more than 500. Although domestic 92-proof gasoline fell sharply at the end of June, the market is still sideways in the "9-yuan era"! However, due to the international market, affected by the Federal Reserve's interest rate and the market's concerns about the economic downturn, OPEC html may have expectations of increasing production in August, international oil prices fluctuated and fell, and a new domestic pricing cycle has also begun. Although , last weekend, international crude oil prices rebounded sharply. However, according to the current price performance, domestic gasoline and diesel prices are expected to drop to 70 yuan/ton, which is 5 yuan/ton less than yesterday's decline. Correspondingly, the domestic gasoline and diesel prices will remain at 0.05~ 0.06 yuan/L!
![[Introduction] At the beginning of July, in the domestic gasoline and diesel market, this year's oil price adjustment showed](https://cdn-dd.lujuba.top/img/loading.gif)
Recently, international oil prices have changed dramatically, and it is still too early for the new round of oil price adjustment at 24:00 on July 12. The downward trend of oil prices has changed. As of press time, the price of WTI US crude oil has increased by 1.48 yuan, rising to 109.94 US dollars per barrel. , while the price of Brent crude oil rose by 1.77 yuan to US$113.39. International crude oil prices bucked the trend, which also caused the decline in oil prices to change in this pricing cycle! If international oil prices continue to rise in the next few days, then domestic oil prices may stop falling and rise again!
It is understood that from 24:00 on June 28 to 24:00 on July 12, the current domestic gasoline and diesel prices in Shandong are 9.05 yuan/L for 92 gasoline; 9.71 yuan/L for 95 gasoline; 8.77 yuan/L for No. 0 diesel ...
1. The price of pigs has "super risen"!
Nowadays, the oil price has dropped, but in the live pig market, pig prices are facing a "super rise". Due to the periodic shortage of pig supply, the phenomenon of pig competition in the market has become prominent. The pig supply from slaughterhouses to the factory is insufficient, and the procurement difficulty for traders has increased sharply. , large-scale pig enterprises control the slaughter volume, retail pig farms sell sporadically, traders and slaughterhouses shift their purchasing focus to large-scale pig enterprises, large-scale pig enterprises bid for slaughter, downstream sentiment for receiving goods intensifies, high premium prices for slaughter are prominent, and low bidding is forced out , Domestic pig prices have risen sharply, but the super-rational rise will also intensify the risk of downside in the later period!
It is understood that on July 5, the price of pigs soared by 1.77 yuan, and the average price of live pigs rose to 23.13 yuan/kg. The price of pigs rose sharply, and the domestic market was "red" again. Most prices rose by more than 1 yuan, and some pigs Enterprise quotations have increased by as much as 3 yuan/kg, the market in the north has surged, and the inversion between production and sales has been further highlighted!
In the northeastern region, the price quoted by slaughterhouses in Heilongjiang, Jilin and Liaoning markets generally rose by 2 to 3 yuan/kg, in Heilongjiang it rose to 24.3 yuan/kg, and in Jilin and Liaoning markets it gradually rose to 23.9 yuan/kg. In North China, the market surged by 1.8 to 2.2 yuan. Among them, the price of pigs in the Beijing-Tianjin region rose to 24.6 yuan, and the market rose to a domestic high! In the southern region, pig prices have risen across the board, slightly less than in the north. In the southwestern region, pig prices have continued to rise, with prices in Sichuan and Chongqing reaching as high as 22 yuan/kg. In eastern China, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Fujian and Shanghai, pig prices have generally risen above 22 yuan/kg. 24 yuan/kg, the market price in Shandong rose to 23.7 yuan/kg! In central China, the average price of live pigs increased by 1.45 to 2.5 yuan/catties. Among them, the price in the two lakes rose to 22.5 to 22.85 yuan/kg, and Henan soared to 23.5 yuan/kg. In South China region , the market prices in Guangdong and Guangdong rose to 22.2~24 yuan/kg, and the market prices in Guangdong soared to 24 yuan/kg!
Nowadays, pig prices are super rising, with a single-day increase of 1.77 yuan, and the average pig price has soared to 23.13 yuan/kg. Since June, the average pig price has generally increased by 47.3%, and pig prices have risen sharply. At this stage, it supports the rise in pig prices. Part of the root cause is that there is indeed a periodic shortage of pig supply. This is not only due to the sharp decline in the sow population from August to September last year, but also the low piglet survival at the beginning of the year. In addition, pig farm diseases are higher in winter. Therefore, the pig supply has shrunk significantly. quantity.On the other hand, under the tight supply of live pigs in the market, farmers are counterattacking in price-carrying moods. They are not enthusiastic about taking the initiative to sell live pigs. Large-scale pig enterprises are reducing their sales. The market is shrinking supply sentiment and is superimposed. The impact of secondary fattening has reduced the supply of live pigs. Although there was insufficient support from consumption during the "freezing point", slaughterhouses were forced to repeatedly raise prices to ensure quantity, and pig prices were forced to rise sharply!
However, the unexpected rise in pig prices will inevitably cause backlash. After all, the market is not obviously short of pigs. Market speculation and the phenomenon of holding pens have aggravated the difficulty of pig circulation. As the risk of market downside increases sharply, officials are interviewing key pig companies. , the rise in pig prices may cool down, beware of the market stampede, and the risk of a rational correction in pig prices!
2. Egg prices skyrocketed!
Recently, in the author's hometown, the price of eggs in the local rural market has increased significantly. A few days ago, the price of brown-shell eggs was 4.2~4.3 yuan/jin, but now it has risen to 4.6 yuan/jin! Egg prices have skyrocketed. On the one hand, due to insufficient production capacity at the breeding end and low inventory at the breeding end, price support sentiment has become stronger; on the other hand, the consumer market has improved slightly and the market arrivals have decreased, which has temporarily supported the strengthening of egg prices!
Judging from the performance of the domestic market, in large consumer markets such as Beijing, Shanghai and Guangdong, egg prices in the Beijing market are sideways weak, with the average egg wholesale price remaining at 4.1 yuan/jin. In the Shanghai market, egg prices generally traded sideways at 4.29 yuan/jin. In Guangdong, the price of Dongguan fell slightly. In the Guangzhou market, the price rose slightly, with the price rising to 4.5 yuan/jin!
In the markets of production areas, such as Hebei, Liaoning and Heilongjiang, egg prices have mainly stabilized, with the price of brown shell eggs in Hebei remaining at around 4 yuan/jin. In Shandong and Henan, egg prices have increased significantly, with prices generally rising by 0.05 to 0.15 yuan/jin. In Shandong, egg prices have risen to 4.2 to 4.4 yuan/jin! The Henan market has risen to about 4~4.35 yuan/jin!
At present, although the price of eggs on the breeding side of the market has increased slightly, due to the general sales in the sales area and the high temperature and high humidity environment, residents are not willing to purchase. Although there is a certain price support sentiment on the breeding side, due to egg storage and The risk of mildew in transportation is high. Therefore, the egg price lacks a basis for a significant increase, and there is still a risk of the price fluctuating downward!
On July 5, the downward trend of oil prices changed, pig prices "super-rising", and egg prices skyrocketed. What happened! What do you think of this? The above is the author's personal opinion, the pictures are from the Internet, and the content is for reference only!
