Recently, there have been many voices on the Internet.
Many people said that their friends’ fathers and villagers from their hometown had passed away.
Others reported seeing lines forming outside the funeral home.
Everyone knows the power of the Internet, which is sometimes very amazing.
For example, if there are 1,000 people commenting in the comment area and 10 of them say something like this, you will think this matter is very serious.
And if 10,000 people leave comments, in fact there are still 10 people who said such things, but you will still feel that this matter is serious.
In other words, no matter what the proportion is, as long as you see seven or eight people or a dozen people saying such things on the Internet, it will leave an impression on you, as if many old people have really died.
Everyone, look at these comments, do they give you the feeling that the situation is very serious?
So what is this ratio?
Is it true that there are many more old people walking than before?
Are all the causes of death of these elderly people related to the new coronavirus?
A reporter from CCTV interviewed two experts. One is Jiao Yahui, director of the Department of Medical Affairs of the National Health Commission. What is the cure rate of this wave of
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Jiao Yahui once participated in the fight against the epidemic in Wuhan. She stayed in Wuhan for 82 days and shed tears at least four times.
The impression she left on everyone is that of warmth and softness.
Because Jiao Yahui likes to use data to speak during interviews, netizens say she is the "most hard-core director."
However, when she was interviewed by reporters this time, many of the questions she asked were somewhat "different" and she did not answer the reporters' questions directly.
I think there may be some questions that she really can’t answer.
For example, a reporter asked her: "What is the cure rate in this wave?"
Her answer was relatively vague.
She did not directly answer the reporter's question. She only answered that the cure rate in Wuhan had slowly increased from 90% to 93%, 94% or even more.
I think she really can’t be blamed for not answering the reporter’s question.
Because the time is still too short, many seriously ill elderly people are still undergoing treatment, and the cure rate cannot be discussed yet.
Why do so many old people die?
When Jiao Yahui answered this question, she mentioned two reasons:
First, our country is still aging, and there are many elderly people with underlying diseases.
Second, these old people suddenly became seriously ill, and they all went to three hospitals, especially the famous top three hospitals, which caused a contradiction between supply and demand.
Her implication is that even if there was no COVID-19 epidemic, more elderly people might have died this year than in previous years because of the aging population.
Secondly, I want to say that all these sick elderly people went to tertiary hospitals . However, the treatment resources of tertiary hospitals are insufficient, which may have delayed the treatment of the elderly.
Some netizens did report that the elderly at home were sick, but it was difficult to arrange for them to go to the hospital.
Tong Zhaohui, director of the Beijing Institute of Respiratory Diseases, mentioned the ratio of severe patients to critically ill patients.
The reporter asked him: "Everyone always hears from their relatives and friends that the elderly in the family have passed away. It seems that there are more deaths than in previous years, which is good, is that true?"
Tong Zhaohui's answer was: "There must be many, and we admit this. But Think about it, how many people in your family are infected? How many are in critical condition? How many people have pneumonia? ”
Although Tong Zhaohui did not answer the reporter’s question directly, we understand what he meant.
What he actually wants to say is that the proportion of critically ill patients is still relatively small.
So what is this ratio?
He currently has some data from two designated hospitals, and he also deals with patients every day.
He said: “These two designated hospitals account for 3% to 4%, including severe and critical cases."
Because it is very easy for him to get these data, it is not that complicated, so I think the proportion he calculated should be credible.
Just, he should be in When accepting such an interview, state the numbers more rigorously.
For example, you can say how many patients were treated in the two hospitals from which day to which day, how many critical patients there were, and how many severe patients there were. What are the respective proportions?
Because of Zhang Wenhong . We have already seen that when Zhang Wenhong originally stated those data, he analyzed them based on Shanghai's data from March to May.
But because he did not emphasize these points when he spoke, everyone misjudged many situations.
Well, we now see that at least the consequences of the virus are different in each season.
Compared with the wave of viruses in Shanghai from March to May, compared with the current cold season of December, the endurance of the elderly is obviously different.
Finally, I would like to talk about the problem of doctors in our country mentioned by Jiao Yahui.
Everyone is very concerned about the issue of medical resources . We all know that it is too difficult for the elderly to see a doctor.
Jiao Yahui said: This problem exists in many countries. But the biggest difference between our country and other countries is that medical staff in some countries go on strike because the workload is too heavy and there are not enough protective equipment.
But our country does not have it.
Our medical staff are on the front line without hesitation.
As long as support is needed, everyone will actively sign up.
Actually I saw it in the past few days There are a lot of complaints about relevant departments on the Internet, including myself.
I am also very worried about what to do if my elderly family members get sick. They are in their hometown in the countryside.
Our medical resources are even tighter.
But when I saw Jiao Yahui mentioning, "Our medical staff are always on the front line without hesitation," this sentence made me cry.
It can be said that no one has had an easy time during the three years of the epidemic.
Everyone’s nerves are fragile.
But we can only unite and overcome the difficulties together.
Otherwise, what else is there to do?
