The picture shows the US Navy aircraft carrier conducting exercises in the South China Sea on the 6th.
U.S. time July 13, 2020, when the U.S. sent dual aircraft carriers to strengthen operations in the South China Sea, the U.S. issued important policy propositions on the South China Sea issue on the fourth anniversary of the announcement of the South China Sea arbitration award. This proposition is a break or a major escalation from the original neutral position of the United States. It can also be understood as a declaration that the United States will fully confront China on the South China Sea issue. The danger and probability of Sino-US conflict in the South China Sea has increased significantly.
How to understand the major policy changes in the United States, and what impact the US policy changes will have on China and the world, and initially share a few views:
01
This is a break with the US’s existing neutral policy stance on the South China Sea issue. It marks that the US has since and has begun to openly confront China on the South China Sea issue even though the US still expresses neutrality on the surface of individual Nansha islands.
02
This is the clarion call for the United States to force the arbitration award through military action. Although the United States has repeatedly pressured China to respect the arbitration award in diplomacy, it has always taken "freedom of navigation" actions in its actions. This change in policy indicates that the United States will take more military actions, in a manner consistent with the content of the arbitration award that it understands. Challenge Chinese claims. Although in terms of international law, the United States is not granted any right to enforce arbitration awards.
03
This time, the United States has reached out to the islands and reefs covered by the arbitration award for the first time, and has raised the issue of 万安 Beach, Qiongtai Reef, Zengmu Ansha Stance against China.
04
Essentially, this is not only the continuation of the Sino-U.S. South China Sea geostrategic game, but also the current Trump administration’s pursuit of "when China meets the opposite." The consequence of China's comprehensive Sino-US competition policy against China is the continuation of actions to contain China in areas such as trade wars, technological wars, the fight against the new crown virus, and Xinjiang-related, Hong Kong-related, and Taiwan-related fields.
05
From the perspective of inciting public opinion, the United States stated that “the world does not allow Beijing to treat the South China Sea as its maritime empire. The United States, together with our Southeast Asian allies and partners, has established a Rights and obligations, and safeguard its sovereignty over maritime resources. We work with the international community to defend maritime freedom and respect sovereignty, and reject any effort to impose'power is truth' in the South China Sea or the wider region." Nong, emphasizing the logic of "power is truth" and using the usual mentality of "big powers to bully small countries" is also part of the system's information deception operations against China.
06
For the South China Sea claiming countries and all other countries outside the region, the United States has created a problem of choosing a side station. The purpose is to deliberately stir the water and take advantage of the opportunity to grab benefits.
07
Finally, combined with the upcoming general election and the US Trump administration’s unfavorable anti-epidemic actions, playing the China card on issues such as the South China Sea issue has become the Trump administration’s last A life-saving straw.
