Since the Russian army withdrew from Khlsong City, the Ukrainian army has become more and more confident. They not only regard the entry into Khlsong City as the beginning of victory, but also said that Russia is a losing country. Faced with the United States persuading it to peace talks, Ukrainian officials even said that persuading the peace talks after the Ukrainian army won a major victory is equivalent to asking them to surrender to Russia. Therefore, Kiev refuses to follow Western persuasion to negotiate with Russia.
Not only that, Ukraine also believes that the Russian-Ukrainian conflict will end soon, and it will end with Ukrainian victory. Recently, Ukrainian officials even told them to regain Crimea in December, and defeat the Russian army in early 2023, take back all the territory, and end the conflict.
According to reports, Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Gavrilov said a few days ago that the Ukrainian army is likely to launch a counterattack against Crimea around Christmas at the end of December. He said that with the arrival of winter, the Ukrainian army will achieve more results and eventually end the conflict in early 2023.
It is worth mentioning that with the arrival of winter, the Russian army's advantages are gradually emerging. Analysts and Western country both said that after the beginning of winter, the Russian army will better play its advantages in Ukraine, and Ukraine will face great challenges by then. But obviously, Ukraine doesn't think so.
Gavrilov said he does not think Russia will use tactical nuclear weapon in Ukraine. But even if Russia uses nuclear weapons , Ukraine will not compromise, but will fight until the last moment. It is reported that since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, speculations about whether Russia will use the nuclear weapon have emerged one after another, but Russia has repeatedly stated that it will not use nuclear weapons.
In addition, an anonymous Ukrainian official said that Kiev is formulating a plan to regain Crimea. It is worth mentioning that Zelensky himself also said that the retraction of Crimea is the most important condition for ending the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, otherwise the two sides will not usher in peace.
In addition, Yer Mark, director of the Ukrainian Presidential Office, said he was sure that the Ukrainian army would launch a counterattack to retake Crimea, but Kiev refused to disclose more detailed plans. Judging from all the signs, there may be a big war in Crimea next.
But can Ukraine really take back Crimea? You should know that since 2014, the Russian army has been conducting military deployment in Crimea. If Ukraine wants to launch a counterattack against Crimea, it needs at least a powerful integrated sea, land and air force. However, at present, Ukraine even needs the assistance of Western countries to help weapons and ammunition, let alone counterattack Crimea.
And as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine continues longer and longer, the West has become tired of aiding Ukraine. At present, the United States is trying hard to persuade Ukraine to agree to peace talks with Russia. In addition, the U.S. weapon stocks aid to Ukraine have also begun to be in a hurry, so Ukraine cannot have the strength to launch a counterattack against Crimea.
More importantly, Russia has long emphasized that if Ukraine attacks Crimea, it will inevitably be subject to a strong counterattack from Russia. Recently, after Ukraine issued a counterattack, Russian officials also issued a warning that once Ukraine launches a counterattack against Crimea, it will inevitably be hit hard by the Russian army.
Ukraine should have a deep feeling about the strength of the Russian army's counterattack. Previously, Ukraine launched an attack on Crimea Bridge . As a counterattack, the Russian army launched air strikes on the entire Ukraine and continues to this day. So if Ukraine launches itself against Crimea, it will inevitably suffer a devastating blow.
However, at present, Russia believes that Ukraine's counterattack is not really about attacking Crimea, but to create the illusion that the Ukrainian army is still strong, so as to obtain more military aid. In addition, Ukraine may also create fake news to confuse the Russian army so that the Ukrainian army can launch an attack in other directions.
But some Russian officials also said that the possibility of Ukraine attacking Crimea should be evaluated as soon as possible and plans should be made for this. Western countries are worried that Ukraine's plan to regain Crimea will lead to another escalation of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
At present, the United States has begun to persuade Ukraine to negotiate, so what Washington least wants to see is the escalation of the situation. Therefore, Ukraine has expressed concerns about the fact that it is Ukraine to retake Crimea.
Whether Ukraine really wants to launch a counterattack against Crimea or not, it is certain that the situation in Ukraine will still be very tense this winter, and the conflict will last until at least 2023. Under this circumstance, countries should strive to persuade peace and promote negotiations and stop fanning the flames, so as not to escalate the situation and cause unpredictable consequences.
