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A few days ago, Surovikin, commander-in-chief of the Russian Special Military Operation, made a public statement for the first time, saying that the Russians and the Ukrainians are the same nation. For Ukraine, Russia hopes to see it, not be a puppet for American and Western countries, and not be their cannon fodder, but should show a friendly attitude towards Russia. In addition, he also said that the situation in Khlsong is tense, the Russian army is insufficient, and it is difficult to supply. This is the first time Sulovikin has spoken out since he took office. In this regard, some analysts pointed out that this is the commander-in-chief of the Aerospace Army giving Ukraine an ultimatum, and Russia may launch a new round of attacks on Ukraine.
(Surovikin, commander-in-chief of the Russian Special Military Operation)
The situation in Khlsong Prefecture is tense, the Russian army is insufficient, and the supply is difficult
Surovikin's speech this time also shows to a certain extent that the Russian army's advancement on the front line is a bit difficult. It is reported that the U.S.-aided Himas rocket launcher destroyed the Antonov Bridge and the Kahovka Hydropower Station, which means that the Russian army's logistics supplies are difficult to deliver to the front line, the lives of local residents are unsustainable, and they are also facing life danger. In addition, the Russian army is now fighting in the Khlsong area. The Russian army is likely not to let it lose in vain, so it may take other methods to turn the situation around. After all, Surovikin once said that he hoped to defeat Ukraine with the support of military power and technology with the least casualties.
(The battlefield in eastern Ukraine has become a tank cemetery, and tanks can be seen everywhere)
In addition, Surovikin said that Ukraine is now even allowing land defense forces with serious lack of combat experience to go to the battlefield, which is likely to be engaging in human-sea tactics and serving as "cannon fodder" for American and Western countries. He also said that Ukraine is now attacking the Russian army regardless of the casualties of soldiers and whether civilians will be hurt, but Russia is unwilling to do so. Russia does not pursue the speed of advancement, but will use other strategies to crush the enemy's attack while cherishing the lives of soldiers. Judging from the current situation, other strategies here may to a certain extent mean using air force to launch a new round of bombing on Ukraine.
Given the important geographical location of Khlsong State, Surovikin said that he would make a difficult decision
In this statement, in addition to talking about the situation in Khlsong region, Surovikin also mentioned that the Russian army will make "hard decisions" based on changes in the situation. At present, it seems that this difficult decision is most likely to be giving up or not giving up Hersson. It may be really too difficult for Russia to give up Khlsson's decision. Khlsson's strategic position is very important. Once Khlsson is lost, it largely means that the future of Crimea will also be shaky. Giving up may not be the style of this "doomsday general". Therefore, Russia is likely to not give up Khlsson.
(Russian map-22M bomber )
If you don't give up, you can only fight back. However, given that the Russian army's performance on the front line is not very ideal, it will be unfavorable for the entire war situation in Russia if it continues to be consumed like this. And according to Surovikin's report, he is likely not willing to see Russian soldiers die innocently because of the "puppet regime", nor to see civilians be hurt. In addition, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Marat Husnulin previously expressed his willingness to assist local residents in Khlsong to evacuate. According to Russian media reports, on the 19th, the people in Khlsong Prefecture will begin to evacuate to the nearby areas. Such obvious actions seem to indicate that Russia is going to take action.
Sulovikin may want to warn Ukraine to stop the attack, otherwise the possibility of a large bombing will not be ruled out. According to analysis, Suluovikin's statement may have two intentions this time. On the one hand, he wanted to make Ukraine, especially the American and Western countries behind it, think twice before taking into account the possible consequences of the offensive, so as to play a deterrent role.
(Russian MiG-31 fighter with "Dagger" missile)
On the other hand, if the Ukrainian government is willing to be the "chess piece" of the United States, ignore the safety of its own soldiers and people, and continue to provoke Russia, then Russia will also take corresponding measures depending on the situation and do not rule out a new round of bombing on Ukraine. You should know that the commander-in-chief of the Aerospace Army, known as the "Doom General", reversed the situation on the Syrian battlefield by combining the army and the air force. As soon as he took office, he bombed important Ukraine cities. "If you don't decide to blow me up when something happens" is his usual combat style. Therefore, this public statement may be to give full play to the advantages of the Aerospace Army and bomb the Ukrainian army on a large scale when the ground war situation is unfavorable. On the other hand, Ukraine may not be a neutral country, given that its defense minister had previously stated that it would not become a neutral country. To sum up, the possibility of the Ukrainian army being hit hard by the Russian Aerospace Army is even greater.