On October 20, Russian Satellite News Agency reported that U.S. Navy Operations Minister Michael Gildi recently publicly stated that the United States needs to make plans for the "potential window period in 2022 or 2023". Gildi said that the People's Liberation Army may adopt force unification against Taiwan in the past two years. Previously, the United States generally believed that we would unify Taiwan by force around 2027, but Gildy said: "What we have seen in the past 20 years is that China has fulfilled every promise earlier than they promised. So when we discuss the window period for 2027, in my opinion, it should be 2022 or potential 2023 window period. I cannot rule out this possibility."
In August this year, the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council released the white paper "Taiwan Issue and China's Unification Cause in the New Era", which mentioned the matters related to military reunification for the first time, which aroused high attention from the outside world. One of the sentences even issued a deafening warning to the DPP authorities and some American politicians: we are willing to continue to strive for peaceful reunification with the greatest sincerity and the best efforts. We do not promise to give up the use of force. It is worth mentioning that the white paper also stated that the unification of force is by no means targeting compatriots in Taiwan, and that unification of force will be the last choice made under the circumstances.
Americans previously believed that the People's Liberation Army would carry out military unification in 2027. How was this news inferred? Last year, an assessment published by the then commander of the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, U.S. Admiral , Philip Davidson, showed that the People's Liberation Army is most likely to launch military reunification against Taiwan in 2027. And how did he come to this conclusion? We have previously stated that 2027 will be a key node in the PLA's modernization process, but Philip Davidson seems to have understood our intentions wrongly. In addition, 2027 is the 100th anniversary of the founding of the PLA, so many American talents believe that the PLA will take action to resolve the Taiwan issue in 2027.
Previously, Chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, Mark Millie , also made similar remarks. Previously, at the US military's 2023 defense budget hearing, Mark Millie said that the People's Liberation Army may unify Taiwan by force in 2027. He also threatened that the U.S. military would let the People's Liberation Army know that unification of Taiwan would be a "very difficult thing."
In the past two years, the United States has taken great pains to intervene in the Taiwan Strait issue. On the one hand, American politicians have visited Taiwan and used it as a tool to rise to the top. On the other hand, the United States is selling weapons to Taiwan in a large manner. Not long ago, the Taiwan authorities greatly increased the budget costs of the 2023 "Thunder Project" and planned to purchase 29 sets of "Haimas" high-motor rocket launchers in one go. Recently, " Haimas " has made a big splash in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and has attracted widespread attention from the outside world. The Taiwan Army's purchases this type of rocket launcher from the United States in order to deal with the People's Liberation Army's landing operations, and attempts to strike our landing troops by using rocket launchers to volley.
In addition, the US military also frequently operates in the Asia-Pacific region. Not long ago, the US Navy sent its first ship, "Zumwalt"-class destroyer , to Yokosuka, Japan, to join the US Navy's Seventh Fleet , mainly responsible for dealing with the People's Liberation Army. Some of the United States' allies in the Asia-Pacific region, such as Japan, Australia and other countries, have also repeatedly stated that they will intervene in the Taiwan Strait dispute. U.S. Navy Operations Secretary Gildy also said that in response to "the increasingly aggressive China and Russia we are seeing", the U.S. Navy will prioritize "Fight tonight" in the future rather than expanding the fleet.
However, the outside world believes that once something happens in the Taiwan Strait, the United States' priority is not a strong military intervention, but a wait-and-see. The best example is that during the People's Liberation Army held a military exercise around Taiwan in August, it sent the warship to cross the so-called "middle line of the strait", and the missile to penetrate Taiwan.During this period, the US Navy's "Reagan" aircraft carrier was cruising in the surrounding areas, but the US Navy's aircraft carrier always dared to wander nearby, but did not dare to get close to the surrounding area of the exercise. The DPP authorities said that the PLA's military exercises were equivalent to cutting off Taiwan's sea and air routes, but the US military intervention they expected failed to happen from beginning to end.
In general, the United States is currently stubbornly thinking that the People's Liberation Army will take action in the next few years, and the US military will intervene without hesitation. Objectively speaking, the United States has the world's number one military and economic strength. But if we fight at our doorstep, the United States must also be prepared to pay a huge price. At present, the decline of the United States has begun to show signs. Will the United States really dare to block its own world hegemony and intervene with all its strength?
