Belarusian President Lukashenko announced last week that his country and Russia would form a joint regional force and conduct exercises, which sounded the alarm bell in Kiev . The last time Belarusian and the Russian army held a joint exercise in February, the Russian army took advantage of the exercise as a cover and directly crossed the Ukrainian border after the exercise and attacked Kiev.
From the map, we can intuitively see that the Belarus-Ukrainian border is very close to Kiev
Although Belarus' military strength is very weak. However, if Ukraine's long northern border becomes a passage for invasion of Russian troops for the second time this year, it will be a nightmare for the already stretched Ukrainian troops. Ukraine and Belarus share a 1,000-km border, most of which are sparsely populated and densely forested.
Minsk Ministry of Defense said the first Russian soldiers from the joint regional forces arrived in Belarus last Saturday. According to Valeri Revenko, Minister of International Military Cooperation of Belarus, the Russian contingent will have a total of less than 9,000 people.
At present, the Ukrainian army is conducting offensive operations in the east and south, while defending against Russian troops' attacks in parts of Donetsk and Zaporoze . After seven months of war, the Ukrainian army suffered huge consumption like Russia, and mobilizing troops to defend its northern wing would make the troops even more stretched.
Belarus said it formed a joint regional force to prevent Ukraine from preparing to attack the country, while Ukraine believed that Russia was trying to directly involve Belarus in the war. U.S. National Security Council spokesman John Kirby said last week that the United States did not see the Belarusian army "being ready to enter or be about to enter Ukraine.
Even if Belarus is really involved in this war, it will be striking Kiev from the north again with Russia. It is estimated that the prospects of the Russian-Ukrainian war will be limited, because Russia is simply unable to draw the main force to Belarus to form another front army . Russia is already very difficult on the existing defense line. If it relies entirely on the mobilization troops to form a force in Belarus, its combat effectiveness is questionable.
