This international comment from Uncle Mu is to analyze the new situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war. The previous articles of
mentioned some new trends in the Russian-Ukrainian war when the war reached the 8th month. For example, Iranian began to support Russian weapons on a large scale. Although Iran has always denied it, dozens of drones shot down will not lie.
Therefore, this means that the scale of the war may have expanded, and the outside world speculates that Israel may also follow suit.
In addition to this, there is another more important new situation worth talking about, that is, both Russia and Ukraine have opened up new fronts.
1) For Russia, it has begun to use missile and Iranian drones to launch large-scale air strikes on some energy infrastructure and civilian facilities in Ukraine.
According to Zelensky , many cities in the country have been hit by similar air strikes over the past week, which has affected at least 30% of the electricity supply. Although power supply has been restored in many places after a short-term power outage, it is unclear when the attack will be again due to the uncertainty of Russian air strikes.
This is why Ukraine is now urging its allies to provide important background for anti-missile system . Without a system to intercept missiles and drones, many cities in the country will always face the risks and troubles of being subjected to air strikes and interrupting normal production and life in the future.
2) For Ukraine, the so-called new front is to open up to Russia.
This so-called homeland is not Crimea or the four Ukrainian regions that have just been annexed by Russia. The battle has been going on here and is not a new front.
What Mu said about Russia is the Russian side of the border between Russia and Ukraine recognized by international law , such as the Belgorod region of Russia near Donbas and Kursk. This is an unmistakable Russian territory, but in recent days, these two areas of Russia have also been hit by Russian air strikes on Ukrainian cities.
Although Ukraine does not say that they carried out cross-border attacks, it is an indisputable fact that the local area suffered significant losses, and only the Ukrainian army has the motivation and ability to do so.
For example, The official media in Belgorod said that Ukraine bombarded the local area, hit the railway station and damaged the railway tracks, causing the local train traffic to be suspended.
In addition, in the Kursk region, the head of the region, Roman, reported that Ukraine shelled two local villages and towns, causing a power outage in the area.
, an attack aimed at Russia, is the most intensive in the past period of time, indicating that the Ukrainian strategy has also changed.
and above are all new situations in the Russian-Ukrainian war, and if the war continues to delay, the losses and risks brought by this new situation will become greater and greater.
After all, senior Russian officials have repeatedly stated that if Ukrainians dare to attack Russia's mainland, then Russia will use all means including nuclear weapon to strike.
Now that Russia has been attacked, how to counterattack has become a topic of concern to the outside world. Will it really launch an nuclear strike against Ukraine on this reason? This possibility is extremely small, but it is not ruled out in extreme situations.
Although Russia has obtained weapon support from Iran and other countries, hundreds of drones and missiles will not be squandered for a long time. In the long run, the shortage of in Russia's conventional weapon is still a high probability problem.
This is what Uncle Mu mentioned above. If the war is delayed for a long time, the new risks caused by this new situation are still worthy of global vigilance.
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