This international comment, Uncle Mu will analyze the global reaction caused by Russia's continuous nuclear threat .
This article will talk about the views of the Israelites.
Although Israel does not publicly admit that it has nuclear weapon , it is generally believed that it began research and development in the 1960s and has been regarded as a de facto nuclear country .
The country's perception of nuclear weapons may have some reference significance for us to judge Russia's nuclear threat.
Uncle Mu noticed that on October 16, Israeli media analysts were indeed talking about the issue of Russia threatening the use of nuclear weapons at any time. Some analysts' views are simple and straightforward - Russia is just scaring people, which is a bluff under unfavorable conditions of war.
This is not the first time it has issued such a threat, which means Russia's decision to do so seems to have been well thought out.
Currently, only a very small number of countries in the world have nuclear weapons, and none of them threatens the use of nuclear weapons. Therefore, Russia's threat is unique and unprecedented.
This threat from Russia may be just a threat, because many people believe that if Russia really uses the so-called tactical nuclear weapon , it will put itself in the position of global discussion.
Has Russia invested a lot of money in the modernization and practice of tactical nuclear weapons? It does not seem to have been trained to use nuclear weapons in this way.
It is not clear what real benefits will Russia gain if nuclear weapons are really used. As we all know, one hope for Russia's war in Ukraine is that non-Western countries around the world support them, at least not against them. So far, Moscow is right; the influential powers of third world like India don't want to be completely on the West side, nor do they have it in Brazil and other countries.
But the problem is that if Russia uses nuclear weapons, the positions of these countries may change and they will be more inclined to join the Western voice.
More importantly, several tactical nuclear weapons cannot change the situation at all, and cannot allow Russia to obtain more Ukrainian territory, or even protect the existing territory. Instead, it may make the internal situation in Russia unstable.
At the same time, Uncle Mu also noticed that Israeli media analysts have also criticized some Western experts and media for being overly exaggerated on the issue of Russia's nuclear threat.
One view is that discussions on nuclear issues are usually driven not directly by Moscow, but by Western critics who often define themselves as “pragmatists” or “realists” who want to explain Moscow’s position. These commentators are sometimes scholars or fake foreign policy experts who often take the nuclear issue as an example that the West should not “escalate” in Ukraine.
So, some of the nuclear threats we are seeing are manifested in the Western media seeking hot news and those who tend to appease Russia, which may be another part of the reason why the Russian nuclear threat shows its bluff.
For example, Russia has made unfavorable progress on the battlefield during this period, so some people imagine that the nuclear threat may be serious.
British Sky News quoted former U.S. national security adviser and ambassador to the United Nations John Bolton as saying that Russia's plight is greater than at any time since the war began... Therefore, this increases the domestic difficulties of Putin in Russian conventional politics and is more likely to use tactical nuclear weapons.
But in fact Putin has a long-term goal in Ukraine, which is to bet that the West is declining and is unable to resist his behavior. But if Moscow uses nuclear weapons, it will not be a problem of the decline of the West, but a problem of Russia's decline.
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