Recently, North Korea tested two Mars 12 ballistic missiles, and the missile flew over Japan and fell into the Pacific Ocean.
immediately followed, and North Korea tested several short-range ballistic missiles . Major media commented that the two test launches were in response to the deployment and exercises of the US military in East Asia.
The United States and South Korea also responded immediately, launching two ballistic missiles , claiming that these missiles accurately hit the simulated targets and demonstrated the Allied forces' ability to prevent further provocations. Then the Koreans bombed their own Jiangling Air Force Base. South Korea said that the missile failed to launch and fell, which reminded me of the Li Bai's sentence "A thousand miles of Jiangling will return in one day." The
missile flew over Japan. Of course, Japan would react, but did not take an interception action. I saw someone explaining that Japan is just not brave and is subject to the US government. If the American father doesn’t let him stop him, Japan cannot stop him.
is actually not that simple.
First of all, it depends on whether Japan has the power to intercept this missile. If the North Korean missile is less than 100 kilometers in height when it crosses Japan, it will enter Japanese airspace and Japan has the right to intercept it. Japan announced that the missile tested this time had a flight altitude of 1,000 kilometers. This is not Japanese airspace. Where did Japan get the power to intercept North Korean missiles? Even from the perspective of Japanese domestic laws, the legal conditions for interception are not met, because according to the explicit provisions of the Japanese Self-Defense Force Law, the landing point of the ballistic missile is determined to be Japan's local or territorial waters, and then the Prime Minister or Minister of Defense shall order fire to intercept according to the situation. The landing point of North Korea's missile this time was more than 2,000 kilometers away from Japan. Japan judged through the missile's ballistics that there was no actual threat to Japan, so of course it would not intercept it.
Secondly, it depends on Japan's interception ability. Japan's current ballistic missile defense mainly relies on the standard 3 provided by the United States. Its combat altitude is more than 160 kilometers and less than 500 kilometers. Whether it can intercept the medium-range ballistic missile tested by North Korea also depends on the flight altitude of the North Korean missile when it flew over Aomori Prefecture, Japan. Even if it did not reach the highest point of the ballistic at that time, if it exceeded 500, Japan still cannot intercept it, unless the ship from the Japanese sea can approach the North Korean coast in advance to attack the boosting upward section of North Korean missiles. Moreover, if North Korea really wants to use this kind of missile to attack Japan, it can use a missile with a high-spreading trajectory and a range of 6,000 kilometers, and it is enough to retain a range of more than 2,000 kilometers.
Finally, there are political reasons, Japan should not want to intercept it. After all, if it is determined that the missile will not land on Japanese territory, there is no need to stimulate North Korea and let the missile fly over. Moreover, this may not be a good opportunity for Japan. Now everyone is paying attention to the battlefields of Russia and Ukraine, and North Korea's missile test can help Japan remind the United States to give Japan more attention and support. What are you waiting for if you don't cry and roll around?
This matter is also a good thing for Russia. North Korea can issue some nuclear deterrence, which is to some extent, which is equivalent to an extra layer of buffering, adding a bargaining chip to Russia and making Moscow more strategically flexible. After all, North Korea now listens to Russia more.
As for China's attitude, we have said a long time ago that in principle, according to the resolution of United Nations , we oppose North Korea doing this. Of course, we also oppose increasing sanctions on North Korea. After all, sanctions cannot solve the problem, and will only force North Korea to accelerate the development process of nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles. Whoever feels uncomfortable at that time will know, it is not me anyway. What if the United States still hopes that China will help dissuade North Korea? Then the United States does not pay any cost, and North Korea will not listen to us.
So a missile supports Northeast Asia a stage, and everyone can read their lines well on the stage.
