On the afternoon of the 27th local time, the referendum on entry to Russia, including the Russian army and pro-Russian armed forces, completed the referendum on entry to Russia.
voting results released that night showed that these four regions met the conditions for joining the Russian Federation with extremely high support rates, namely Donetsk 99.23%, Lugansk 98.42%, Zaporoze 93.11% and Khlsson 87.05% .
Although the Khlsun region has the lowest approval rate among them, with only 87.05%, this is also far higher than the 50% approval threshold stipulated by its law.
So that is to say, the referendum results in these four regions can be considered valid and legal. According to the process, these four regions will be connected with Moscow and officially become "part" of the Russian Federation.
However, for the results of this referendum, European and American countries refused to recognize , which made the situation in Ukraine even more tense.
I believe everyone still remembers that Crimean Peninsula completed the referendum as early as 2014, achieving the goal of "geting out of Ukraine and entering Russia", but at the same time, this has seriously intensified the tension between Russia and Ukraine and even European and American countries.
So it is foreseeable that if Moscow really turns the above four regions into the "territories" of the Russian Federation, the negotiation gate between Russia and Ukraine will be welded to death, and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is very likely to continue for a long time.
It should be pointed out that while the four regions of Ukraine announced that they would launch a referendum on "entering Russia", Putin also officially issued a partial mobilization order in Russia. The intention behind this can be imagined.
According to Russian Defense Minister Shoigu, there is a front line of thousands of kilometers long between Russia and Ukraine, and the Russian army is currently in a state of insufficient troops. Russia needs more military forces to ensure its control area.
Judging from the development and changes of the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield, Shoigu's words make some sense, , that is, the Russian army does lack troops .
Just recently, the Ukrainian army flew a shot at the Khlsong area in the south and instead launched an offensive against the Russian troops stationed in the Kharkiv area. Judging from the changes in the war situation, the Ukrainian army moved the northern front forward greatly and claimed that it had "recovered" nearly 6,000 square kilometers of territory.
Although this number is different from what Russia announced, it is certain that the Russian army did not resist the Ukrainian army in the Kharkiv region, which also alerted the top Russian military leaders.
Russia deeply realizes that it has insufficient troops, so in order to ensure the existing "war achievements", Russia announced the mobilization of recruitment and supported the referendum operations in the four regions of Ukraine.
In fact, as early as March this year, the leaders of the Luhansk region had requested a referendum on "entering Russia", but the conflict between Russia and Ukraine had not yet developed to this level, so the matter was left unresolved.
Nowadays, Russia has its own considerations for its explicit support for Lugansk and other places to join Russia. On the one hand, Russian law stipulates that only Russia's " contract soldier " can be used to fight abroad, and the vast majority of "conscripts" in can only be used to defend Russian local .
Therefore, if these four regions become "territories" in the legal sense of Russia, the Russian army can send a large number of "conscripts", which is what we call the famous division.
More importantly, according to the special clause of Russia's "Basic Theory of National Policy in the Field of Nuclear Containment", Russia can launch an nuclear strike against any country that invades its territory. This has been confirmed by Medvedev previous remarks.
htmlOn the 22nd, Medvedev said on social media that Russia will use all weapons, including strategic nuclear weapons, to defend Russia's "new territory.", and Zelensky , which has always been "iron", also chose to bow his head in this matter. On the 25th, Zelensky publicly admitted that Ukraine should take Russia's "nuclear warning" seriously and that Russia may use the nuclear weapon .
Obviously, Russia's approach to expanding its military has initially constituted a "nuclear deterrence" to Ukraine and NATO , which is of great significance to the development of its subsequent military operations.
On the other hand, Russia has launched a "special military operation" against Ukraine for more than half a year, but it has not been able to advance the front as smoothly as expected. Therefore, in order to maintain the domestic situation and enhance the morale of the military and the hearts of the people, Russia needs to achieve substantial "results".
For this consideration, Russia may make the referendum results in these four regions a reality as soon as possible .
But at the same time, Russia will also face a more severe crisis. Because on the same day the referendum results were announced, both the " Nord Stream-1" and " Nord Stream-2" natural gas pipelines that Russia supplied gas to Europe were leaked.
Although the natural gas energy in Russia's hands is a powerful trump card for negotiations with EU , the gas pipeline is damaged. Even if they reach a consensus, it will be difficult for Russia to ensure stable gas supply in a short period of time.
What's more, the EU will not compromise with Russia so quickly, so if nothing unexpected happens, the dialogue window between Russia and Europe will be closed .
These problems arise at the critical moment when Ukraine's four regions "joined" the Russian Federation, which is obviously aimed at Russia. Some people hope to see the Russian-Ukrainian conflict continue for a long time and hope that the situation in Europe will be further divided. As for who it is, I believe everyone has already understood it.
