Russia recently; Kharkov area retreated one after another, and in just three days, more than 8,000 square kilometers of land were lost. The voices on the Internet are now polarized; some say that the Russian army was completely defeated. (I think that Russia is a large-scale retreat in eastern Ukraine! The reason for the defeat is analyzed in another article, so I will not explain it specifically here.) Some say that Russia is taking the next big move. Prepare to conduct a large encirclement of the Ukrainian Ukrainian army in eastern Ukrainian . I personally analyze the feasibility of this siege.
free pictures, for reference only.
Since World War II , armored forces have become the dominant force of the army. After the end of World War II, the Soviet Union's armor was the best in the world. It has been proud of the world for more than 40 years. At that time, neither Europe nor our motherland could stand in the way of steel in the Soviet Union. Especially after the Soviet Union conducted Western 81 military exercise ; there were even Western military experts sadly believed that if the Soviet Union launched an attack, Europe would last for up to one week, and the war would have ended before the American reinforcements arrived in Europe.
After the collapse of the Soviet Union ; Russia inherited most of the Soviet Union's armored power. Like the theory proposed by the Soviets, what they emphasize is to use armored forces to intersect and surround them. Russia's tactics are basically followed by Soviet armor tactics. (The Russian-Ukrainian conflict broke out; Russia used its armored forces to attack, and its troops arrived at the airport around Kiev . It was a replica of the Prague incident in the Soviet Union, but Russia copied the homework and did not copy it well. The armored forces did not hit Kiev from beginning to end. The two troops attacking Kiev were stuck in Chernykov and Ivankif.)
these two places are still major transportation routes.
What the armor power cares most about is its mobility. If an encirclement is to be formed, then first of all, this area must be able to gather enough enemy armed forces. Secondly, in this area where enemy armed forces are gathered, there must be a dense highway network around it. At least it cannot be like next to Ijium , it is a big swamp. Then the speed of armored forces in the process of encirclement must be slow. In modern warfare, the reconnaissance forces of both sides are quite powerful. (The Kiev City above the picture is suitable for siege and annihilation. Because the surrounding highway network is dense enough! The armored force can form an encirclement extremely quickly. Moreover, relying on highway defense, it is difficult for people in the encirclement to escape.)
If the speed cannot keep up, it will be discovered by the enemy's satellite . Then the so-called siege plan will also fail. How many cities in Wudong have such conditions? First of all, if the encirclement is combined, the Russian army needs to master transportation hub cities, if these cities are lost! Then the statement of surrounding will not be valid. It is impossible for the troops to march on a large scale in the fields. (The Russian armored troops have poor off-road capabilities! You can refer to the recent battle of Ijium; after the Russian army was surrounded by Ukraine in Ijium, the Russian army was surrounded on three sides, leaving only a southeastern opening. And this place left behind is a large swamp. The 1st Army of the Russian Guards and the 20th Army of the Guards, more than 500 tanks and armored vehicles were dropped. If Russia's tank armored vehicles have strong off-road capabilities? Then running in a tank is not faster than two legs? Why does the Russian army abandon its own tanks and armored vehicles? The biggest possibility is to drive them as a burden.)
The red surround is the encirclement, and the green arrow is the direction where the Russian army runs away.
(The encirclement formed by the Ukrainian army leaves the green arrows. That whole place is full of swamps and forests. Why does the Ukrainian army leave such a large place? Let the Russian army escape? After all, it is not just the Russian army. It is like; as I said in the previous paragraph, there is a big swamp around, which is more than willing but not enough. In this case, it is impossible to surround it. When the Ukrainian army advances, it is also armored forces.Armored power is very susceptible to this geographical condition, so no one can form a siege here! Because there is no road. Even if the encirclement is joined, the enemy's vitality will escape from that opening. It seems that large-scale encirclement is not possible around the city, so don’t think about field battles! )
forms a huge encirclement of thousands of square kilometers, and the troops needed can cost at least tens of thousands of people. The mobilization and marching of more than 100,000 people require extremely good transportation conditions. The Russian army, like what I introduced earlier, is basically armored forces. Large-scale armored forces require railways and highways to carry the army forward. When the Russian army retreated, it threw most of the transportation hub cities to the Ukrainian army. So how will their armored power move forward? How to form an clamp-shaped offensive to surround the Wu army in eastern Wu? (At present, the Kharkiv region liberated by the Ukrainian army has more than 8,000 square kilometers. According to the Internet, these areas are Russia's "drag plan". This is a "big chess" step for the Russian army, so the encirclement should also be surrounded by this 8,000 square kilometers range. The Russian army does not have the strength to form a larger encirclement.)
free pictures, for reference only.
(Kharkov region; all the highway and railway networks are in the hands of the Ukrainian army. Even if Russia launches a large-scale counterattack and wants to surround the Ukrainian army in this area, their armored force cannot quickly occupy these highway and railway networks. The interspersion of large-scale armored forces is simply an impossible problem. Modern warfare is a logistical support. Highway and railway networks are the most important logistics support. These transportation networks are controlled in the hands of the Ukrainian army. Even if the Russian army can successfully penetrate the rear of the Ukrainian army. Without ammunition and gasoline, the tanks are tin cans. The Russian army that detours the rear will become a lonely army and will soon be wiped out by the Ukrainian army.)
Where does this equipment of more than 100,000 people come from? When the Russian army evacuated the Kharkiv area, they handed over all their equipment, weapons and ammunition to the Ukrainian army. According to Ukrainian reports, the Ukrainian army received 543 complete tanks in the Kharkiv region. There is no problem with these tanks forming a new armored division! When the Russian Guards 20th Army and the 1st Army of Guards ran in the Ijium area, they passed through the swamp, so they didn't bring anything and ran away directly. Therefore, these two people are known as the elite among the elite, and currently do not have combat capabilities. Not to mention the other troops in Kharkov.
It is estimated that only Cao Cao can keep up with the speed of these two troops. Free pictures for reference only.
(The escaped troops; even if they are not scared, they no longer have the ability to fight within a few months. But they still have the ability to collapse the front line. On other fronts, various propaganda exaggerate the power of the Ukrainian army so that they can cover up their failure. This is human nature!)
Do the Russian army have reserve personnel? Although on August 25, Putin signed a decree: expanding 130,000 troops. But can these people be recruited and go to the battlefield? It is definitely impossible! Now the remaining Ukrainian troops on the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield are all veterans of a hundred battles. Russia put these new recruits on the front line to give Ukrainian veterans experience!
Highway network, the railway network is lost, and the possibility of armored troops encircling is gone! So will this plan be feasible with infantry interspersed with it? Just like our great volunteer army , on the Korean battlefield. Infantry interspersed into the rear of the Ukrainian army, guarding those intersections and transportation hubs. Then the large army launched a general attack in front and wiped out the enemy. Foreigners call our tactic: cut butter with a knife.
free pictures, for reference only.
This tactic; our great Chinese People's Volunteer Army was used on the Korean battlefield. But it is definitely not possible to switch to the Ukrainian battlefield. More than 95% of the terrain of the Korean Peninsula is mountainous.And those highways, railway lines. They are all in the valleys and are built against the mountains, with an extremely dangerous terrain. Our People's Volunteer Army only needs to blow up the cliffs on both sides of the road and guard them in danger. United Nations Army , we can only use infantry to fight with us.
But Ukraine is different. If the Russian army uses infantry and interspers into the rear of the enemy, and wants to block the Ukrainian army's retreat, it will not work at all. You know, Ukraine is a vast plain with a flat mountain. There is no danger around highways and railway lines, so it is said. Even if there are infantrymen who are not afraid of death, they are brave! From the perimeter of the highway, go dig a trench and plan to block the retreating Ukrainian army. Large-scale armored troops have been withdrawn. Even if you block half of the road, what effect will it be? Ukraine is full of plains and can bypass this small half of the road. Tanks and armored vehicles all have off-road capabilities! Although long-distance off-road, the ability is limited. But short-distance off-roading is not a problem at all. What will Russian soldiers use to block Ukraine's armored forces? Go and carry explosives and fry them? (Plain terrain; infantry to block tanks is basically free. Even if there are individual anti-tank weapons, they cannot be stopped at all. Because they are behind enemy lines, how many individual anti-tank weapons can Russian soldiers bring? Although the Ukrainian army successfully dragged the steel torrent of the Russian army with guerrilla warfare . However, the Ukrainian army has home advantage and logistics, which is not cut off by the Russian army, which is also a form of head-on confrontation. The Russian army is different. If infantry penetrates directly to the rear of the Ukrainian army, there is no need to think about supply! Now is not the time when the war broke out, the Russian Air and Space Army dare not fly over the line of fire. The Russian Air and Space Army does not even have local air supremacy.)
free pictures, for reference only.
The Russian army can also use large-scale paratroopers to airborne to form a large-scale encirclement. Instead, you can use paratroopers to airborne to block some gaps. Therefore, the possibility of forming an encirclement still exists. But if you don’t handle it well, the fate of the paratroopers will not be much better than that of the infantry! For example, during World War II; Market Garden Operation , a large-scale Allied forces arrived at the rear of the German army. As a result, the large troops on the front could not advance quickly, and the end of these paratroopers was the only way to be annihilated. (Parkmenisters, like infantry, have no danger to defend, basically just sending people to their heads.)
This big problem occurred when Russia occupied the airport in the suburbs of Kiev when it first started the war; the special forces , which was originally airborne, occupied Vasilykiv Airport. Russia uses more than a dozen Il76 transport aircraft to prepare to increase troops to the airport. As a result, the first two transport planes pulled two full planes. As soon as I arrived at the airport, I was shot down by the individual air defense missiles of the Ukrainian army. This directly led to the failure of this action!
Even if this action is feasible! How many airports are there in Kharkiv? Where are these airports? It is all the issues that the army needs to consider when fighting: the airport is too close to the front line, so the encirclement will definitely not be large. The surround cannot be highlighted, its effect. (It is impossible to have a big fantasy operation to surround a few people, right?) If the airport is too far, can the Russian field troops reach this place when the paratroopers can't hold on? Maybe it’s the 21st century market garden action.
If the netizens said, since Russia plans to play a big game, the encirclement will definitely not be small! The encirclement is too small to wipe out many Ukrainian troops. If a circle of tens of thousands of square kilometers is formed. How many transportation hub-type cities are there around? How many airborne troops to airborne these transportation hub-type towns? Does Russia have so many airborne troops? If Russia really had so many airborne troops, then at the beginning of the war, Kiev had already been taken down. Is it still necessary to fight so hard? If this trick works? Russia really did it: to win Kiev in one hour and twenty-two minutes, Shoigu became the gods in one battle.
free pictures, for reference only.
What war emphasizes is quick battle and quick decision. From the beginning, Russia has not solved these problems, so this plan will definitely not work. If it works, the Prague incident that year was the best textbook in Russia.
So I personally think; Russia is not ready to lure the Ukrainian army into deep and come to a big siege, as it is boasted online. This escape was simply a defeat. If it is not a defeat, it is prepared to lure the enemy into depth. Then Ijium and Kupiyansk, these transportation hub-type towns should not be lost. This is related to the transfer of the large army. Once lost, there is no possibility of encircling the Ukrainian army!
In fact, when the Russian army fled, it blew up the power plant in Kharkov. You can see that they don't plan to go back. If they really plan to go back, there is no need to blow up the power plant, because they have to manage the subsequent land. What are the benefits for them to blow up the power plant? Even if they form an encirclement and encircle and annihilate the Ukrainian army here, will the power outage problem in the Kharkiv area still have to be solved by Russia?
(The discarded equipment itself also shows a huge problem. If the Russian army wants to go back, then these equipment and weapons and ammunition should be hidden. Just so blatantly, are the Ukrainian soldiers shooting at them without weapons and ammunition when they are afraid that they will not have weapons and ammunition to shoot at them?)
The army of the Azov Battalion was at Mariupol ; there were only a few rifles, and they tried their best to hide them in the reservoir when they surrendered. It is to allow your troops to have weapons and ammunition more quickly when they counterattack in the future. But the Russian army did not do this, proving that they did not intend to return to this place from their inner thoughts. (The Japanese were thief-hearted and were still in China when they surrendered, so many ammunition databases were hidden. By the 1960s and 1970s, there were new discoveries.)
All of this proved that the Russian army was defeated, without any acting skills.
free pictures, for reference only.
As for the news released by Russia, they are preparing to lure the enemy into depth, and then have a large encirclement to wipe out the Ukrainian army in this area. That's just to find some face for yourself so that you won't be embarrassed. If there is really such a plan, will the Russian experts tell you? Will the Russian military let them speak out? Can these Chinese self-media also know? (Does these people treat the Russian General Staff as the editor? Do I talk like this? I dare to write anything out! I dare to say anything out. They are the army and they are disciplined. Some plans have not been implemented yet, and they will not say them. Now they can say them, which proves that they have no plans to implement this plan at all.)
said these plans, but the Russian army is just looking for a reasonable excuse for their avoidance of war.
No matter what the statement is, it is the reason why Russia defeated in the Kharkiv region in order to cover up. They are typical defeats and there will be no other possibility. NATO and the United States will not give them this opportunity. The US intelligence network can accurately predict the time when the war breaks out, and even speak it out in front of international media.
Same; if Russia makes any big moves in eastern Ukraine, then the intelligence systems of the United States and NATO were discovered early in the morning. As I wrote earlier, more than 100,000 people plan to form a huge encirclement. The mobilization of these more than 100,000 people and the United States' investigative methods can be found anytime and anywhere.
is now the 21st century, not the period of Han Xin and Liu Bang . You can build a plank road openly and travel to Chen Cang secretly. Modern Warfare : It is a head-on collision between intelligence networks. Small-scale conflicts will not occur in NATO's General Staff, but large-scale military mobilizations will definitely receive intelligence from NATO and the US General Staff.All Russia's actions are transparent in the face of NATO and the United States. So if Russia makes any big moves, the United States and NATO will definitely inform Ukraine in advance.
free pictures, for reference only.
is as described by many netizens; this place will become the "Maling Road" of Ukraine. Even among the Russians, there is a top " Sun Bin " sitting in the formation. Could it be that the group of commanders on the Ukrainian front line are all " Pangjuan "? Kharkov will never be the "Maling Road"! ( Zelensky is not a "big eater"! As soon as the war broke out, Russian airborne troops had already arrived outside the city of Kiev. This was no different from besieging Wei and saving Zhao, but Zelensky neither ran away nor transferred the Ukrainian army in eastern Ukrainian to rescue Kiev. Facts proved that this person was definitely not what netizens said, the so-called "actor"! There is no real talent. This person is quite powerful, and he directly broke this With one move, the Ukrainian army did not let the "Maling Road". If the main force in Ukrainian east returned to aid, the Russian army would definitely encircle and annihilate them halfway. The Americans asked him to run, but he didn't even run! Such a smart person, even if "Pang Juan" was under his command, he would never let "Pang Juan" go "Maling Road"! )
When Russia's transportation network is lost, it is absolutely impossible to form an encirclement in the Kharkiv region. Because Russia is not superior in all aspects. So this "retreat" is definitely a defeat! (End) Some of the information from
comes from the Internet and Russian Satellite News Agency.
Reference book "Soviet-German War Eastward Advance"
Most of the rest are my personal opinions and opinions.
