After the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the most embarrassing country is Iran.
Theoretically speaking, Iran is definitely the most influential country in the Middle East. In this regard, , Türkiye, and Israel are hard to come by. However, in the end, the development result is that other countries are prosperous relying on oil and gas resources, and only Iran is like a crocodile in dry land, getting more and more miserable.
What's going on? It all starts with Iran and Russia, the plastic brothers.
said that during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Iran was almost the country that supported Russia the most, no one.
However, Russia turned around and sold it to him.
That’s right, I’m talking about a small motorcycle.
Iran's industrial strength is not weak even in the whole of Asia. The Iranian drone that showed off its skills in the Russia-Ukraine conflict is called a scooter because it makes a roar like a motorcycle when it takes off. This kind of small motorcycle is low-cost and accurate, and is much cheaper than Ukrainian interceptor missiles. Therefore, Ukraine, which receives a large amount of aid from the United States and Europe, would waste expensive missiles to intercept small motorcycles. If it does not intercept, there will be casualties and damage to facilities, creating a lose-lose situation.
At this time, Russia got the advantage and behaved well, directly announcing that the motorcycles were the Migrant and Witness drones provided by Iran. Iran is in chaos in an instant - I will give it to you and you can use it secretly. Why bother to see through it and tell it off? You plastic brother did me harm, right?
Of course, standing on Russia’s side is also a helpless move.
Because none of Russia’s traditional friends was willing to provide him with military help.
Friend No. 1 Belarus , the support for Russia is limited to spiritual support, no physical support, no technical and financial support, and no intention to give Russia any weapons assistance. What makes Russia even more troubled is that even though they are good brothers who have almost merged, they don't even give them a way to attack Ukraine.
friend number two Kazakhstan. Since the civil unrest broke out, we have also received strong assistance from Russia. However, Kazakhstan has never intended to support Russia militarily.
Friend No. 3 North Korea. North Korea expressed its firm support for Russia's special military operations in Ukraine and even directly recognized the referendum results of the four eastern Ukrainian states. However, North Korea's conventional weapons are among the best in the world, but they have not given any to Russia.
Among countries with certain influence and strength, only these three voted in favor of Russia. Others who voted in favor, such as Syria , could not cause any trouble.
Other countries, such as China, India, Brazil and other countries, expressed neutrality when voting. Tell Russia very clearly that I will not sanction you, but you also don’t want to get military assistance from me.
On the contrary, Iran, as the only country that provided military assistance to Russia, abstained from the vote at that time. This shows that Iran has wanted to follow a path of both sides since then, not only to offend the United States, but also to maintain its traditional friendship with Russia, killing two birds with one stone. It would be better if it could get assistance from both sides like Turkey.
However, Iran never expected that military assistance would be directly betrayed by Russia.
Russia is also shameless enough. It wants to completely tie Iran to its own tank through this method, and even block Iran's other options and possibilities. In fact, not only will this not bring Iran closer to Russia, but it may push Iran into the arms of the United States.
Iran has paid more and more attention to peaceful development in recent years, especially after US President Biden came to power. In particular, the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs has issued statements more than once that the dialogue window for negotiations to resume implementation of the Iran nuclear agreement is still open. The Iran nuclear agreement was originally reached with President Obama, but Trump withdrew. Biden originally had the idea of returning to the Iran nuclear agreement. Now, the idea of the United States returning to the Iran nuclear agreement has been completely abandoned by Russia.
Why do Iran and Russia show I love you behind MMP? Essentially, it is because these two countries are far from modern enough.
For example, Russia, on the issue of the four Udong states, has not yet settled the war, and can’t wait to annex the Udong region through a referendum. This is tantamount to announcing to the world that it has territorial claims to neighboring countries. Russia spans two continents: Europe and Asia , and its influence has also penetrated into the Americas and Africa. By doing this, Russia is telling those countries that have communications with or are directly adjacent to Russia that Russia's land requirements will never be met. Such a "personality" and public image prevent all neighboring countries from liking him.
For countries like Iran, after experiencing the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, they will be more afraid of Russia. Because since 1826, there have been many wars between Russia and Iran. Tsarist Russia united with its old enemy Ottoman Türkiye to carve up Iran. The lands in northern Iran that originally controlled the Caucasus Mountains, the Caspian Sea and the Aral Sea were all annexed by Russia, forming today's Armenia, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan and other countries. In the end, Iran, as one of the few independent Central Asian countries, became the Russian sphere of influence in the north and the British sphere of influence in the east. Such historical origins make it impossible for Iran to fully coexist in peace and good neighborliness with Russia.
Russia’s unrestricted thirst for land is essentially because this country does not know how to use capital and technology to expand its economic territory and cannot use economic means to maximize benefits. Since the Second World War, most capitalist countries have long abandoned their colonialist ideas and begun to use investment and foreign trade to control other countries, and seize greater benefits from other countries at a lower cost and more efficiently. Russia will not do this simply because the country's modernization level is too poor.
The same problem also exists in Iran. With Russia on its back, Iran supports various Shia organizations in the southwest and operates in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen, forming a "Shia Arc" that countries in the Middle East are frightened by. To the east, the border issues between Iran and Afghanistan and Pakistan have never been properly resolved. Iran's behavior is simply "Russian Islam".
In terms of economic structure, Iran and Russia are also highly similar. Their strengths are the military industry and the oil and gas industry. This means that the exchanges between Iran and Russia cannot maximize their own interests.
Finally, what is the future of Iran? I think Russia’s option will become less and less important, while China will become a more important partner. After all, China can give everything other countries in the world can give. What China can give, European and American countries may not be able to give.
hopes that Russia and Iran, the plastic brothers, will wake up soon and embark on the path of peaceful development and win-win cooperation with China.
I am a historical governor and I have made many omissions. I hope you can enlighten me!
