It is reported that earlier this month, the Kremlin released news: Russian President Putin will visit the Donbas area at the appropriate time, of course, the premise is that the conditions are ripe. Since Ukrainian President Zelensky just appeared in the Donbas region, this is also regarded as a direct "confrontation" between the leaders of the two countries. The news mentioned that Putin has been very active recently. He also drove on the Crimea Bridge , which was repaired after being bombed on the 5th, causing rumors such as "the Russian president fell from the stairs seriously" to be broken.
Next he mentioned a very serious issue: there is no need to question that the current risk of nuclear war on the global scale is increasing. First of all, Russia has more advanced power than any other nuclear country, and Russia can use nuclear means to protect its allies; but on this issue, Russia has not been "crazy" and will not always wield nuclear weapon . To a greater extent, it is a defensive force, established around the "strike back" and quite threatening. Putin once again emphasized that they could only carry out nuclear counterattacks after Russian territory were attacked, which was not to expand the conflict; on the contrary, the United States has deployed tactical nuclear forces on many European lands.
Some analysts believe that Putin's remarks are different from before. One is to define the Russian-Ukrainian conflict as a "long-term military operation", which means that Russia has already had the idea of investing military forces in a long-term solution. According to the war potential of the Russian army, they not only have three times the population of Ukraine, but have only carried out reserve recruitment and have not expanded the recruitment task to ordinary people; while Ukrainian recruitment in the country is about to take the third round, Ukrainian Ministry of Defense plans to carry out "expanded recruitment operations" next year to continue to screen adult men suitable for combat, and some female volunteers have also entered the battlefield; according to the comparison of war potential, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has been consumed for a long time, and even if it is "fighting to the last Ukrainian", Russia has an advantage.
The second is that the Russian government has listed nuclear weapons as "optional options" and is only prepared to defend against the West. In this speech, Putin mentioned Russia's nuclear power many times and used "local (alliance) defense and counterattack" to define nuclear deterrence; this is a very likely warning that the West can only go this far in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and that if they intend to provide weapons to attack Russia's mainland, or end up in person, it will trigger a nuclear war. There was a comment on this: "Maybe without Putin's warning, the countries of NATO are not prepared to end. They support Ukraine and do not expect Ukraine to win in the end; Western countries 's purpose was very clear from the beginning: to use the Russian-Ukrainian conflict to minimize Russia's national strength. The so-called Ukrainian sovereignty and territorial issues are not what they worry about at all, otherwise they would have taken action as early as after the Crimea incident in that year."
