There is an old Chinese saying that the cycle of cause and effect is unhappy. Four hundred years ago, the east coast of the Atlantic began to invade the West Coast on a large scale, and various colonial plunders. Although they were finally beaten away, they also left behind "children". I never thought that today hundreds of years later, the east coast was like water and fire, and the west coast was robbed by fire.
Not long ago, Germany and France successively called out to the United States. Since it is a friend, why bother us? The representative of EU also said that the United States cannot make money like this.
However, from January to September this year, the United States exported 35.1 million tons of natural gas to Europe, an increase of 2.6 year-on-year. If it weren't for the Texas accident in the United States, this number would have been even more.
Originally, in March, Biden said it doesn’t matter if it robs Russia, and the United States does not have enough natural gas, so it promised to supply 11 million tons this year. I never thought that the price of natural gas is getting higher and higher, and the United States makes a lot of money.
So I sold an additional 21.6 million tons if I was not careful. You should know that there are still three months left this year, and it is the winter with the highest demand.
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecast in July, Europe will import 80 billion cubic meters of natural gas from Russia through pipelines in 2022, a year-on-year decrease of 45%. Based on liquefied natural gas equivalent, a reduction of 47.8 million tons.
The United States is making a good fortune, Europe is suffering. The current natural gas price is currently 40 US dollars per million BTU (British thermal units), which was once 10 times that of early February.
In order to change this situation, the EU has come up with a solution to set an upper limit on the price of natural gas, but only half of the countries support it, and there is basically no chance.
, in desperation, he began to make the idea of the financial market, with a simple purpose as a weather vane for prices. After this, you will not be afraid that the spot price will not be able to be lowered.
Currently, the benchmark price of natural gas financial market in Europe refers to Netherlands TTF. What the EU wants to set dynamic price restrictions for it:
, for example, includes allowing price fluctuations + (-) 5%, and raising the liquidation threshold of non-financial counterparties to 4 billion euros. The implication is to let those rich people come in and play. These people have a lot of funds and dare not mess around, so as to clear some investment transactions to a certain extent.
In terms of finance itself, it is understandable to do this, but since we are playing new jobs, the EU plans to regularly evaluate it, mainly referring to North American energy benchmarks, and secondly, it also includes Asian crude oil and coal.
If you play this way, European strategic independence will be completely devastated. You should know that the current global natural gas prices are North America, Europe and Asia. They are of equal importance and sometimes they are "dominate independently".
Nowadays, if you buy American spot in Europe, refer to American financially, the price of natural gas is basically decided by the United States in the future. Now, Europe is out of stock and you can sell four times the price. In the future, you can still find another reason to sell it.
This operation is like giving the lifeblood of Europe to the United States, and foreign affairs have been completely kidnapped. There are two benefits to the United States doing this. On the one hand, it knows that he and China are competing, so it is a bit like raising a helper to be precise.
Americans think that if they win in the future (of course it is impossible) Europe will be completely controlled. If they lose, Europe will support them below, and no matter how they do, they will be on par with China.
Helplessly, no matter how the United States abacus fights, Europe will definitely be the worst in the future. The so-called European Union will not defeat itself, and its life will not last long.
