According to a report by the Global Network on the 30th, Russian President Putin signed a decree on Friday local time to recognize Khlsong and Zaporoze as "independent" areas in Ukraine, and these decrees will come into effect immediately.

is set! ! ! According to the Global Network 30th report, Russian President html Putin signed a decree on Friday (September 30) local time, recognizing Khlsong and Zaporoze as "independent" areas in Ukraine, and these decrees will come into effect immediately. After the decree takes effect, it may lead to the tension in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine again! This has caused global food prices to rise again! What tests farmers is that our soybean meal and feed prices may continue to rise...

Putin officially announced that

Since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, global food prices have experienced "rollercoaster fluctuations". Although they have dropped now, with Putin's latest signing of the law to recognize the "independence" of the two key regions, the relationship between Russia and Ukraine has become tense again! Not only is the day when the two countries negotiate to resolve the dispute is far away, but with the arrival of winter, food prices may be pushed to new highs!

The International Monetary Fund html pointed out on the 229th that even if food prices have dropped in recent months, the global food security situation may worsen based on factors such as supply bottlenecks, challenges facing Ukrainian crops, and rising fertilizer and energy prices.

For example, Russia, as a major grain supplier, is currently in a situation where the grain harvest is bumper but exports are difficult.

It is reported that Russia's grain harvest this year has reached 138.7 million tons, an increase of up to 1/3 last year! experts predict that the total grain harvest this year may reach 150 million tons, of which wheat accounts for about 100 million tons, setting a new harvest record in Russia! But Putin pointed out that it is still difficult for Russia to export grain and fertilizers to at present.

When Russia is facing difficulties in exporting due to sanctions, Ukraine's food is transported in large quantities to Western countries that are "not short of food". Therefore, it is no wonder that some international experts call the current food crisis a "man-made crisis."

Chief economist of the United Nations World Food Programme (WFP) said: "The driving force of this current food crisis is the soaring food price, not a supply problem. In other words, food is actually enough, but the price is really high."

It is obvious that the reason why food prices are so high is that some countries are not only major grain-producing countries, but also interfere with food trade and raise prices, trying to pass on their own economic crisis ! Who is this country? I believe everyone has a clear mind!

So don’t think that our feed is expensive now, it is really not something that feed manufacturers can decide. And under the influence of " global integrated ", our grain prices are indeed impossible to completely "stay alone"...

soybean meal and feed have begun to rise sharply!

9 September has passed, and the biggest feeling this month gave me is that feed has risen too hard, and soybean meal has simply risen madly!

Since early September, the price of soybean meal has been breaking through new highs. vaguely remembers that it was only about 4,500 yuan/ton in early September , but later it rose to 5,000 yuan/ton and 5,500 yuan/ton, and there was an astonishing quotation of 6,100 yuan/ton!

The price increase of soybean meal has made friends in the breeding and feed industry "numb" and even started to shout "soybean meal feed". Some feed manufacturers in Guangxi have also begun to promote their own "soybean meal production". After all, the highest day actually rose by 50-120 yuan/ton, and this raw material has begun to make manufacturers "can't afford it".

But no matter how much pressure the feed manufacturers are, it will be borne by our farmers in the end! According to incomplete statistics, the large-scale price increase of feed in September has gone through four rounds, with an increase of 50-150 yuan/ton in early September, an increase of 50-250 yuan/ton around September 10, and a concentration increase of 300 yuan/ton around September 20, and now it has announced the highest price increase of 350 yuan/ton!

Recently, feed companies such as New Hope , Zhengda , Haida , Anyou, Oriental Hope, Tefu, Xiangda Luotuo, Guangzhongwang, Coenhefeng, Grit recently announced a price increase of 50 to 350 yuan/ton. The effective date of the price increase of ranges from September 27 to October 1.

Nowadays, the cost of breeding is getting higher and higher, and everyone is looking forward to the decline in feed prices.But from the perspective of the international situation, grain prices are in a situation where they "will rise at any time and are difficult to fall", because the "food crisis" has evolved into a "price crisis", and some " person " have broken up and promoted grain prices to rise...

grain price crisis!

In fact, we have already experienced a "food crisis" this year.

According to a report released by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, in August, the global food price index was 138 points, a month-on-month decrease of 1.9%, the lowest level since January this year. The index has fallen for five consecutive months since hitting a record high in March this year.

But it must be noted that although the world has survived a food supply crisis, the current food prices are still rising by 7.9% compared with last year. It can be seen that the food crisis has not gone far away, and with the four major factors of , , , it is likely that grain prices will even rise further:

First, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict continues, affecting fertilizers, grain exports and supply. Russia is the world's largest fertilizer producer and exporter, and many producing countries rely on Russia's fertilizer supply. For example, we buy a large amount of Brazilian soybeans every year. In August, my country imported a total of 7.16 million tons of soybeans, of which 6.25 million tons came from Brazilian ! If Brazil's fertilizer supply is hindered in the future, it is likely to lead to soybean price increase!

Second, frequent extreme weather around the world, seriously affecting grain production and easily pushing up international grain prices. For example, the northern hemisphere encountered extremely high temperature and drought this year, which seriously affected grain production. European Commission has lowered its corn production expectations for two consecutive months, has been lowered from 65.8 million tons to 59.3 million tons, a reduction of nearly 10%. In addition to corn, soybeans, sunflower seeds, etc. have also been lowered to varying degrees.

Third, under the global shortage of food, they are "burning grain". In recent years, biofuels have developed rapidly, especially when oil prices rise rapidly, some countries are burning more and more food to obtain fuel, and the magical phenomenon of "poor countries lack food, and rich countries burning food." Taking the United States as an example, from 2021 to 2022, the total amount of corn used by the United States to produce biofuel ethanol reached 136 million tons, equivalent to 73% of the total global corn trade.

Fourth, some people are "hungry in food" and some people are "hoarding grain to make money"! The current international grain prices are rising continuously. In addition to extreme climates, the impact of human factors is even more severe! In the eyes of some Western countries, crisis is business. The global food supply is tight, so they can just raise the price of grain and make huge profits! On the one hand, the continued conflict between Russia and Ukraine is one aspect, and on the other hand, the continued hike of interest rates of the Federal Reserve is also one aspect, the cost of food transportation is constantly increasing, and the cost of food usage is constantly increasing.

It can be seen from this that "food security" must be firmly controlled in one's own hands! Because of this, the country is constantly promoting a bumper grain harvest and accelerating the promotion of "reducing and replacing corn and soybean meal". We must have the ability to buy, and we must also have the plan to select different sellers, and we must also have the confidence to accept changes at any time and reduce imports!