[Editor's Note] Original author: Zhishan Taoist, authorizes the "Qin'an Strategy" headline account to exclusively publish original content. It was first published on the public account "International Strategy Frontier". Welcome to pay attention.
On June 24, 2022, the Global Development High-Level Dialogue was held during the 14th BRICS leaders’ meeting; participating countries included China, Russia, India, Brazil, South Africa, Cambodia, Thailand, Malaysia , Indonesia , Fiji , Kazakhstan , Uzbekistan, Iran , Egypt , Ethiopia, Algeria , Senegal , Argentina , a total of 18 countries; the strategy of this high-level dialogue meeting The significance is extraordinary, because it means that in the context of a global uprising, the emergence of future global fighting alliances and governance patterns not only means the end of the post-war "Yalta System", but also means the co-governance of the East and the West The end of the "G20 system"; this also marks the beginning of the alliance of the eighteen princes to jointly fight against "Dong Zhuo", and the global strategic dominance has officially begun to shift from the West to the East.
We explained in the previous article "The global uprising of rural areas to encircle cities has basically taken shape". Currently, the entire third world has set off a global uprising under the leadership of China and Russia, but this is just a trend and background. It will be broken. An old world is only a means, and building a new world is the end; therefore, since the collapse of the old world is inevitable, and even the process is advancing at a speed visible to the naked eye, then the process of building a new world needs to be accelerated at the same time; and More importantly, overthrowing the old world and building a new world complement each other; as the saying goes, "divide the world first and then conquer it", planning the pattern of the new world in advance will give the princes from all walks of life great motivation to destroy the old world. With the position of the new world in the future, internal differences will be greatly eliminated and we can unite to plan for the future; in this way, the process of overthrowing the old world will be greatly accelerated; therefore, this high-level forum on global development, regardless of its content, However, the formal architecture alone has demonstrated its great strategic significance.
Changes in global dominance
Since the outbreak of the industrial revolution, global dominance has gone through four stages, namely the British and French era, the American and Soviet era, the G7 era, and the G20 era. It can be said that all of the previous four eras were The Western era; now, the transition to the G18 without the West has officially begun. This will be an era without the West for hundreds of years. It will be a new Eastern pattern in the post-Western era; let’s first sort out the past few eras.
British and French era; With the invention and large-scale application of the steam engine in the 18th century, Britain and France took the lead in entering the industrial age; with the help of the power of industry, the two old imperialist countries, Britain and France, implemented global colonization; especially Britain, after nearly 2 centuries of By the beginning of the 20th century, it had become the "Empire on which the Sun Never Sets." It and France jointly dominated the colonial era for two centuries; the characteristics of this era were that Britain and France relied on force for global expansion and invaded and enslaved people of all ethnic groups around the world. , politically they dominate the division of influence, and financially the pound sterling and franc have become the world's leading currencies.
The era of the United States and the Soviet Union; In the first half of the 20th century, with the rapid rise of the United States and the Soviet Union, the emerging empires used the two world wars to successfully overturn the world dominated by Britain and France and established the post-war "Yalta System"; at this time, two parallel systems emerged The world, that is, the NATO headed by the United States and the Warsaw Pact headed by the Soviet Union; the two systems operate independently. Although politically they jointly respect the United Nations as the "Emperor", in fact, both parties act independently; militarily Conducted a large-scale arms race, fought proxy wars, and built their own financial standards and circulation systems with US dollars and rubles ; although there were still the "Non-Aligned Movement" and the Third World advocated by China during this period, global dominance There is no dispute that power is controlled by the United States and the Soviet Union.
G7 era; After the end of the Cold War , the Warsaw Pact group completely collapsed, and the West, led by the United States, achieved complete victory. They ushered in their own G7 era or "one super era"; in this era, the Western G7 is the real decision-maker The "Board of Directors" of global affairs; although the "Emperor" of the United Nations is still alive, it is just a tool of the United States, used when needed and discarded when not needed; during this period, whether it was provoking the Taiwan Strait crisis against China or bombing Yugoslavia , whether it is the invasion of Afghanistan, the occupation of Iraq, or all major global affairs, it is the G7 small circle headed by the United States that has the final say; at this time, its military power is at its peak, and the US dollar has become the prevailing international currency in finance, and it is unscrupulous To draw blood from other countries.
G20 era; G7 The good days did not last long. Only 17 years after the end of the Cold War, the West was severely weakened by launching many wars; at this time, the "BRICS" headed by China had made great progress. The strength of the BRIC countries increased greatly, and the BRIC countries held their first meeting in 2006; the West had a premonition that the small circle of G7 could no longer completely control global affairs, especially after the impact of the financial crisis in 2008, the balance of power had undergone major changes; therefore, in 2008, the West On the basis of the G7, powerful developing countries were included, and the G20 was officially launched. The 14 years since the G20 have actually been an era of East and West co-governing the world. They coexist in the midst of changes as the power of the East and the West rises in the east and falls in the west. Transitional era.
Although the G20 era is an era in which East and West co-govern the world, it is generally an era dominated by the West; because first of all, the G20 was founded in Germany, and secondly, it was the West that promoted the formation of the G20. Thirdly, among the country composition of the G20, the Western camp countries account for 12 Developing countries including the "BRICS" plus Indonesia, Mexico , and Argentina only account for 8 seats. Now, with the complete break between East and West, the compromise and coexistence of the G20 is no longer appropriate; in fact, with the United Nations as the The "Yalta System" represented by the United Nations has come to an end. Previously, the West, led by the United States, had already ruined the United Nations, the "global leader", and now it is desperately sucking blood regardless of the life and death of other countries. This is also forcing If he wins the world, he has no choice but to rebel; therefore, since "Dong Zhuo of the West" has reached the point where the world wants to kill him together, it is natural for the eighteen princes to raise their armies.
The Yalta system is nearing completion
In the more than half a century after the war, we have transcended the three eras of the United States and the Soviet Union, the G7 era and the G20. Although its connotation is constantly changing, it still has at least one basic common symbol. That is, the formal "Emperor" of the United Nations is still alive; but the outbreak of the Russo-Ukrainian war marks that the United Nations is actually ineffective, and Guterres specially serves as a lobbyist for the Azov Steel Plant, which marks that its only The image of the United Nations has been completely shattered; in fact, the United Nations became the first and largest cannon fodder in the Russo-Ukrainian war; why do these two points indicate that the United Nations exists in name only?
Since the establishment of the United Nations after the war, the United States and the Soviet Union have never taken the United Nations seriously. Whether it was the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, NATO's bombing of Yugoslavia, or the invasion of Iraq, the United States and the Soviet Union have always gone their own way, and the United Nations is just a decoration; In fact, only China has always taken the trouble to emphasize the role of the United Nations. The fundamental reason for this is because China itself is a country that pursues royal principles, and the United Nations has moral legitimacy. We hold high the banner of international morality and can moderately restrain hegemonic countries; at the same time, , given that China’s national power was weak in the past, using this kind of international morality can speak for the vast majority of small and medium-sized countries, which objectively improves China’s international influence and makes up for its own lack of strength to a certain extent.
Therefore, it is precisely because China has long taken the lead in safeguarding the moral authority of the United Nations that the post-war "Yalta System" has been maintained to this day, and it has also allowed the moral legitimacy of the United Nations Security Council to continue to this day; in the past, the United States The West, led by the United Nations, has repeatedly despised the "authority of the Emperor" of the United Nations. However, with the outbreak of the war in Ukraine, most countries in the world, including China, have understood Russia's attacks; the moral legitimacy of the United Nations' authorization to use force has been questioned. Completely redefined; in this way, the definition formed since the war and based on the authorization of the United Nations Security Council as the standard of international justice has actually been completely overturned, and the global respect for the moral authority of this "Emperor" has disappeared.
Guterres serves as a lobbyist; on April 27, the Secretary-General of the United Nations visited Moscow and held talks with Putin; its core purposes were two, one was to discuss the status of the two states in eastern Ukraine, and the other was to discuss the status of the two states in eastern Ukraine. The "civilians" trapped in the Azov Steel Plant are trying to seize people; what is the identity of the Secretary-General of the United Nations? The United Nations is the "Son of Heaven" elected by all countries around the world and a symbol of global morality and justice, and the Secretary-General of the United Nations is the concrete representative of this morality and justice; but instead of maintaining his due moral stance, Guterres It is the "private use" of the United Nations' public weapons, using the identity of the United Nations Secretary-General to go to Moscow for the selfish interests of the West; therefore, once the United Nations loses its moral and just stance, in fact, it has lost the value of its existence for even one minute. .
Eighteen princes are working together to build a new world for the future.
It is at this moment when the old order is rapidly collapsing that we say that global dominance has begun to officially shift from the west to the east. It is the right time for the eighteen princes to work together to build a new world in the future; and based on The eighteen countries participating in this global high-level dialogue show several major characteristics:
First, there is no Western country in this global high-level dialogue; Western countries include the United States, Japan, South Korea, China, Western Europe, and the Five Eyes and Israel.
Second, except for Russia, strictly speaking, there is no European country; strictly speaking, Russia is not a Western country, it is just that its capital is located in Europe.
Third, the future global order will not be based solely on strength, but on value contribution; this is fundamentally different from the previous eras of Britain, France, the United States and the Soviet Union, the G7 era, and the G20 era. The dominance standards of the previous eras were all Western " A definition based on strength under the legal principles of "Law of the Jungle".
As for the new world order in the future based on the Eastern concept, let’s take a look at what kind of valuable contributions the eighteen princes have; first, let’s take a look at the distribution map of the global uprising.
First, the China section; This global high-level dialogue was initiated and hosted by China. There is no doubt that China is the core of the 18th Route Lords Alliance and the absolute main force of the uprising; without China, the world would be in deep trouble. We are in darkness, so we have to take our place in the future world.
Second, the Russian section; As another leader in the global uprising, and currently fighting a fierce battle with the West on the Western Front, Russia is demonstrating its own value through blood and fire on the battlefield; through its own bloodshed and sacrifice, Russia will conquer the West. I believe no one in Russia will have any objections to the removal.
Third, the Central Asian plate; Geographically speaking, it should include 5 Stans and Afghanistan; the two countries invited to attend this meeting are Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan; Kazakhstan is the country with the largest territory in Central Asia, with an area of 272 million square kilometers, accounting for 58.5% of the total area of the six Central Asian countries; Uzbekistan is the most populous country in Central Asia, with a population of 34.6 million, accounting for approximately 33% of the total population of Central Asia; especially as China-Uzbekistan Railway The strategic position of the two countries is very important. Both countries have experienced chaos from the West. Uzbekistan once had the Andijan riots, and Kazakhstan recently had the Almaty riots. Therefore, the two countries have definitely broken with the West, and With these two countries holding the line, Central Asia can be assured of peace of mind.
Fourth, ASEAN section; ASEAN has 10 countries, and the four countries invited to participate this time are Cambodia, Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia; Singapore is a US minions and will never be invited, Vietnam, the Philippines, , Myanmar, , have all had flirtations with the West, and there have been serious anti-China situations. Such a half-hearted country with weak will cannot be used, and Laos and Brunei are too weak; among the invited countries, Cambodia is the most determined to be anti-Western, and has repeatedly Such friends must of course support China's efforts to rescue China. As the largest country in ASEAN, Indonesia is strong enough and has great strategic value in blocking Australia. In addition, it was beaten by the West and lost a submarine because of its closeness to China. However, it has withstood the It has been tested that he has not changed his original intention. Not long ago, he defended Russia at the G20. Therefore, it is enough to win a seat.
Thailand has always been a quasi-ally of the United States, and the two sides have close military relations. However, Thailand has long wanted to move closer to China for many years. It not only purchases land, sea and air equipment from China, but also vigorously integrates into China in economic cooperation such as high-speed rail; therefore, even for The U.S. influence must be completely eliminated, but it must also have a place; Malaysia, as an island country on the edge of the continent, is the frontline country of continental and maritime power. It has long pursued a policy of neutrality and has always been friendly to China; in the Malaysian Airlines MH370 incident, it suffered heavy losses. Under the pressure of the West, it still maintains friendly relations with China; at the same time, it also serves as a frontline position before Australia in the South China Sea, which is of great value in controlling Malacca and defending the South China Sea; in addition, Thailand and Malaysia are both peninsular countries and have fully managed , which can enable the Chinese army to move forward quickly through the Indochina Peninsula and the Malay Peninsula, and reach Malacca for thousands of kilometers unimpeded; therefore, the two countries can each occupy a place.
Fifth, South Asia plate; For South Asia, India alone occupies more than 80% of the entire South Asia territory, population, and economic aggregate, and India's land is deeply embedded in the Indian Ocean, and its strategic position is extremely important; if India cannot join The ranks of uprisings are equivalent to the whole of South Asia being in a state of cessation; India is in a state of attracting East and West. It is not only a quadrilateral partner of the United States, Japan, India, and Australia, but also a member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization , and a member of the BRICS. Brick; it can be said that he enjoys many favors; however, at the current moment when the West is crumbling, it can no longer give India much of what it wants. India, which wants to be a powerful and powerful country, can only win it by joining the army of uprisings and overthrowing the old world. What they want; therefore, we see that since the outbreak of the Russo-Ukrainian war, India has been standing on the opposite side of the West; therefore, no matter from any angle, even just from the perspective of wooing, India must have a place.
Sixth, Middle East plate; The Middle East originally had five major powers, namely Egypt, Saudi Arabia , Iran, Turkey and Israel; Egypt is located in Africa, so it is classified into the African plate; Israel is a member of the West Of course, they cannot be invited. Although Saudi Arabia has shown signs of breaking away from the control of the United States, at least for now it seems that it is still under the control of the West. Naturally, the time is not yet ripe; Turkey is strong enough, but on the one hand it is a member of NATO, and on the other hand it is a member of NATO. He has always been fastidious, and he is the same "house slave with three surnames" as Lu Bu . This kind of profit-seeking villain can only be used but cannot be entrusted with important tasks; therefore, Iran is the only one left in the Middle East; Iran is determined to resist the United States 40 In the past few years, he has not only been strong-willed but also extremely courageous. He has faced the United States many times without fear, but has repeatedly humiliated the United States. His firm determination to fight against the United States and his strong will to fight are almost unparalleled by other countries except China and Russia. His right; only in this way can he be qualified to build Sino-Russian-Iranian cooperation with China and Russia. Therefore, he is well-deserved to occupy a seat.
The blue dots are the countries invited to participate this time.
The seventh, African section; There are 5 countries invited to participate in this conference, namely South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Algeria, and Senegal; South Africa is the most important country in Africa. An influential country and one of the BRICS countries, it obviously has enough strength to occupy a seat; Egypt's strategic position is extremely important. First of all, as a member of the Arab world, it has a major influence on Middle East affairs. Secondly, Egypt controls . The valve of the Suez Canal is related to the safety of the Atlantic, Mediterranean , Red Sea, and Indian Ocean routes; Egypt alone has the above two points enough to occupy a place, and in addition, it also has a greater geostrategic value, that is, as a The intersection of the three defense lines: the Shia Arc in the north, the Red Sea Defense Line in the south, and the North African Defense Line is a key strategic node in managing Europe, Asia and Africa; it is of great practical significance to the current encirclement of US dollar hegemony in the Middle East by China, Russia and Iran, and at the same time it will cut off the future Europe went south to Africa, and building a defense line in North Africa had long-term significance; therefore, Egypt's position must be given no matter what.
Ethiopia and Algeria are actually poor countries, but their geographical value is huge; Ethiopia is adjacent to the Red Sea, to the northwest is Sudan where China has stationed infantry battalions, to the north is the port of Djibouti , and China’s southern line encircles the US dollar hegemony. The gap is on the southern coast of the Red Sea where Ethiopia and Eritrea are located; and Eritrea was split from Ethiopia . The two countries are actually disconnected. Eritrea has been involved in the Ethiopian civil war many times; therefore, taking Ethiopia is equivalent to blocking the country. On the southern shore of the Red Sea, the last loophole for the US dollar hegemony to break through has great geopolitical value;
Therefore, it needs to be given a seat regardless of its national strength; Algeria in North Africa is also based on great geostrategic value. We published in "China's "Eternal Sword" It has been described in "The Precarious Sheath of Dollar Hegemony" that China has already aimed at the future and built a defense line in North Africa; therefore, Algeria must also be given this seat in order to block European influence on the northern shore of the Mediterranean in the future; and once the future Libya A stable situation will inevitably expel European and American forces; as a result, a North African defense line along Morocco , Algeria, Libya, and Egypt will take shape in an instant.
Among the invited countries in Africa, a country that is unfamiliar to people has appeared. This is Senegal, which is located in West Africa. Senegal is one of the least developed countries in the world, with a land area of only 190,000 square kilometers and most of it is desert. It wants industry but not agriculture, wants agriculture but not agriculture, and wants resources but not resources; but its biggest feature is that it has been ruled by France for nearly 300 years since 1677, and France has provided more economic assistance to it than other countries. Any African country; it can be said that France’s influence on Africa is mainly in West Africa, and the core fulcrum in West Africa is Senegal; and on June 3, the current rotating chairman of the African Union and Senegalese President Sall, withstood the huge pressure of the United States and the West. pressure, visited Russia on behalf of the African Union, and met with Putin in Sochi , demonstrating Africa's support for Russia; therefore, as a poor country that wants nothing but is very poor, it can withstand the pressure of the West and visit Russia has already explained the problem; and its special background with France has allowed it to win this seat; because its invitation to the meeting means that France will lose Senegal in the future and France's influence in Africa will be uprooted.
Eighth, Latin America section; As we all know, Latin America has always been the back garden of the United States and is not allowed to be touched by others. However, in the Latin American region where China and Russia are currently beyond the power of China and Russia, if you want to succeed in the uprising, you must find powerful people. ;Although there are Cuba, Venezuela, Nicaragua and other countries in Latin America that are firmly anti-American, their small and weak countries are simply not enough to shoulder the important task of leading regional uprisings; therefore, this can only be left to the three major Latin American countries: Mexico, Brazil, and Argentina; and Mexico was not invited to the conference this time. You must know that at the Summit of the Americas that just concluded, Mexico refused to participate, directly showing a resolute anti-American attitude; then why was Mexico not invited? That's because despite Mexico's resolute attitude, Mexico is too close and has too close ties with the United States. Although Mexico has serious anti-American tendencies, based on the current comparison of strengths between the United States and Mexico, it is simply easy for the United States to defeat Mexico; therefore, Mexico's Its geographical location determines that its anti-Americanism can only exist verbally for the time being, and it may defect at any time under tremendous pressure from the United States. Therefore, it remains to be seen.
Brazil in South America, as one of the BRICs and the largest country in South America, is certainly enough to carry the banner of Latin American uprisings; but unlike other participating countries where presidents or prime ministers attended, Brazil only sent its vice president to attend, and the recent Summit of the Americas , although Bolsonaro dismissed Biden , he attended in person; therefore, it can be seen that Brazil must know that there will be a seat for itself, but it still has a small balance between China and the United States. I am afraid that we need to wait for the left-wing Lula to come back to power before Brazil can truly take the seat; but Argentina is different. It has been robbed by the United States many times, and Falklands has also been occupied by the United Kingdom. It can be said that it is a threat to the West. I hate it to the core; previously, Argentina had reached an agreement on the purchase of Chinese Dragon fighter jets, and China also publicly supported Argentina in taking back the Falklands. At the same time, China also helped Argentina successfully resist financial looting by the West. When Argentinian President Fernandez visited China this year, he made a special trip Going to the Chairman Mao Memorial Hall to pay homage, it can be said that Argentina has grown into a staunch anti-Western fighter; therefore, it is obviously reasonable to give Argentina a place.
Ninth, South Pacific plate; Among all the invited countries, except Senegal, the most special country is Fiji; we know that since last year, China’s appearance rate in the South Pacific has been very high, and its influence has been huge, not only giving Kiribati built an airport, shipped 205 thousand miles to Tonga for disaster relief, and signed a military agreement with Solomon, which made the United States and Turkey furious; the key is that when the South Pacific strategic angle has gradually taken shape, the United States and Turkey When even Solomon, with only 800 police officers, could not handle it, it was the real protagonist's turn to take the stage. Looking at the map, we can see that the strategic angle drawn by Kiribati, Tonga, and Solomon completely cut off the connection between Hawaii and Australia. It is equivalent to implementing a cross-cutting partition between Australia and the United States; even so, Solomon has an area of only 28,400 square kilometers, a population of 600,000, and no army but only 800 policemen; Kiribati has an area of only 811 square kilometers, a population of only 116,000, and no army but only 300 policemen; Tonga is even smaller, with an area of only 747 square kilometers, a population of only 104,000, and only 600 soldiers and 400 police.
The above three strategic horn countries have excellent strategic positions, but their national endowments are too poor. With this area, population and armed forces, it is simply better than nothing; let alone leading an uprising, whether they can gather a team is a problem; but Fiji has It’s completely different. Although its population is only 885,000 and its area is only 18,300 square kilometers, its armed force strength is as high as 45,000. It has a complete army, navy and air force, and it has also sent troops to participate in Lebanon and Kosovo many times. , East Timor , Papua New Guinea, Solomon and other countries perform peacekeeping missions; and the giant Australia next to it has a total military strength of only 51,000, and New Zealand has a total military strength of only 6,000; therefore, only the military strength of Fiji , is enough to put tremendous pressure on Australia and New Zealand; and Fiji is located exactly in the center of the strategic triangle, and the outer defensive corners can provide Fiji with sufficient strategic depth; therefore, although Fiji is a small country, it is sufficient Take on the important task of leading the uprising in the South Pacific Plate; therefore, Fiji must be the one to take this seat in the South Pacific Plate.
The changing process of the uprising
Nowadays, the global uprising has gradually begun to develop in depth. After the uprising leading countries in each uprising area have been initially selected, then let’s take a look at their respective performances. The so-called "Eight Immortals crossing the sea, each showing his magical powers." "; This global high-level dialogue is just a beginning, not an end, and it is not set in stone, and this is the core part of the mechanism; for the eighteen princes participating in the meeting for the first time, it is equivalent to based on the current situation. Being invited to attend the meeting because of its value not only gives it a chance to have a seat in the future world, but also means that it has assumed the heavy responsibility of the uprising in District 1; the key question is whether it can truly take on the responsibility in the future uprising process. Such an important task requires practical testing; no matter the size or strength of the country, only by fully playing its role in the uprising process and reflecting its own value can it win its due position in the future.
Therefore, the global high-level dialogue, or the future East-dominated G18, will never remain unchanged. In the process of future uprisings, some countries may have high hopes for it at the beginning, but their performance is really unbearable. So, It is possible to lose the opportunity and lose a seat in the future world; and some countries, whose value is not seen at present, may stand out in the future uprising process and win a seat for themselves in the future. This is all It is possible; in addition, today there are eighteen princes, and with the subsequent development, it may be reduced to sixteen, or it may be expanded to twenty, or even thirty, and everything will move forward amidst changes; however, When the old order collapses and the world is in chaos, heroes all over the world will have the opportunity to make contributions and become famous, both for the country and for individuals.
Nowadays, China has set up a stage. How to sing this drama depends on everyone’s performance. Although we have seen a bright future gradually approaching, the process will definitely be extremely bloody and tragic. , the world will surely go through a purgatory-like process. Not only will the global economy and industry suffer heavy losses, but countless innocent people will die tragically. This is the only way before the light comes; we can only unite, help each other, and uphold integrity. Only then can we finally cross the darkness and usher in the light; we also firmly believe that after the baptism of purgatory on earth, a brand new world, a brand new civilization, and a brand new thought will come, and she will relieve people's pain and confusion, and Point out the direction for the future of mankind. After all the hardships, there will be joy. Let us look forward to it together!
