The United States is the world’s largest power. From economics to military to world influence, no country can match the United States. The United States is the only country in the world with a GDP of more than 20 trillion U.S. dollars, and the only one with more than 10 aircraft carrier battle groups. The country looks so powerful.
But we all know a truth, the peak of prosperity must decline. There is no country in the world that is prosperous, and the United States is no exception. So in what way will the United States decline?
World-renowned strategic expert, Zbigniew Brzezinski, the author of " big chess game", has already given the answer in 2011. He believes that the United States may decline in three ways. One is intense, and the other is mild.
The first method of decline is relatively mild, that is, there is a big problem in the domestic economy of the United States. The domestic situation continues to be turbulent, and national welfare continues to decline.
Externally, the competitiveness of the United States is declining, and internal issues cannot be resolved. Naturally, it is unable to take care of the external world. As a result, the United States’ influence in the world will also decrease. In this process, the United States will also adopt some active policies to change the status quo. But in the end there was nothing I could do.
This kind of fading method is relatively mild, and the corresponding will continue for a relatively long time. In fact, we are familiar with this method. In fact, the Soviet Union declined in this way. Economic development was hindered, economic problems could not be reversed, national welfare continued to decline, and the domestic situation was turbulent, which eventually led to decline and then demise.
Most powerful countries die from within. From this point of view, this is also a kind of destiny.
The second method of decline is actually more interesting. It is a question that is often reflected in Chinese history.
We all know that the main reason for the demise of the Soviet Union was that it was caught in an arms race with the United States. The war in Afghanistan was also an incentive.
Although the United States has won the competition with the Soviet Union because of its strong national power. But the dominance of a single family also breeds arrogant characteristics in the United States.I am used to the rude and arrogant way of solving problems.
Most of the wars in the world after World War II were initiated by the United States. Although most of the wars were won by the United States, the United States itself was actually hit hard.
War to Resist US Aggression and Aid Korea The United States was defeated and suffered heavy losses. Vietnam War 's quagmire is a nightmare for many Americans. In recent decades, we have been able to see the weakness of the United States even more. Whether it is , the Iraq War or the Afghanistan War, the United States has achieved tactical victories at a huge price, but its strategic goals have not been achieved. And it has exacerbated domestic economic problems.
If the United States launches wars like this again, it will lead to the expansion of the war and plunge the United States into an even greater quagmire. Then it may drag the United States down, detonate domestic conflicts, and lead to the decline of the United States.
The third method of decline is more intense, and it is also an extreme method, that is, the outbreak of a severe financial crisis that plunges the United States into a devastating economic depression.
We all know one thing, several economic crises that broke out in the world have caused severe damage to the capitalist world. The 2008 global financial crisis prevented the powers of Western Europe from recovering to this day. The reason why the United States was able to recover quickly after making a small business is because the United States has financial hegemony and can suck blood from many developing countries to recover itself.
However, the world situation today has undergone great changes. Countries such as Brazil and Argentina have plunged into severe economic recession, and the United States is limited in trying to transfer the contradiction to them.
Many countries are guarding against the financial harvest in the United States and have established a strong preventive mechanism. At the same time, de-dollarization is gradually unfolding around the world. The United States wants to suck the world again, and it is no longer able to do whatever it wants to restore the economy.
The biggest problem is the economic problems accumulated in the United States now, which are much larger than in 2008.A Greece debt crisis dragged the entire European Union into it, and it continued for more than ten years without completely solving the problem. Given the size of the US economy and the scale of its debts, the occurrence of problems is definitely a crisis of collapse and tsunami, which cannot be saved by the strength of the European Union.
The above three decay methods may also affect each other at the same time. We look at the strategic contraction of the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan this year, the scary high inflation rate in the United States, the crazy printing of money by the United States, and the sharp depreciation of the U.S. dollar. There is a feeling of rain.
It can be imagined that the recession of the United States must be a long process, but this result will inevitably occur no matter how slow it is. The United States can only choose to delay this progress and cannot avoid this process.
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