Direct news: Wang Yi had a phone call with US Secretary of State Blinken today at request, emphasizing that Sino-US relations should have a new atmosphere in the new year, but he also warned the United States that it cannot talk about cooperation and stab a knife at the same time. What do you think of this?
Special commentator Guan Yao: This is a major communication between senior diplomatic officials of China and the United States at the end of the year. Xinhua News Agency's cable stressed that the Chinese side responded to the call and showed that the call was initiated by the United States. As for the main purpose of the call, the first sentence of the brief statement issued by US State Department spokesperson Price today made it clear. The Secretary discussed the need to maintain open lines of communication and responsibly manage the U.S.-PRC relationship, Blinken Secretary of State discussed the need to maintain open lines of communication and responsibly manage the U.S.-PRC relationship. I noticed that according to the press release issued by Xinhua News Agency, Wang Yi also expressed the need to strengthen consultations on the guiding principles of China-US relations, advance dialogue at all levels and in all fields in an orderly manner, and resolve specific issues between the two countries through joint working groups. So when it comes to the New Year and new outlook for the world's most important bilateral relationship, one real-time observation indicator is whether Blinken himself, who initiated the call, will visit China as scheduled. This is the core subtext of Price's statement emphasizing on maintaining open communication. In fact, after the Chinese and American heads of state Bali successfully held a face-to-face meeting for more than three hours and provided strong guidance on the direction of Sino-US relations, Blinken has stated many times that he hopes to visit China early next year to discuss and implement the consensus agenda of the two heads of state. On Thursday afternoon local time, Blinken attended a media briefing at the State Department to take stock of U.S. foreign policy over the past year. He used two English words to describe "Xi's visit": candid, productive, frank and fruitful. Blinken once again emphasized that he looks forward to advancing U.S.-China dialogue when he visits China early next year. Therefore, based on the respective statements of China and the United States, Blinken's visit to China early next year should be a high probability event. This will also be the first time in his third year as Secretary of State. In terms of the importance of Sino-US relations and the complex challenges faced, it is indeed too late for the top diplomat of the United States to come to China.
Of course, Wang Yi was unambiguous in his explanation of China's position and made harsh words for the United States: We cannot have dialogue while engaging in containment; we cannot talk about cooperation while stabbing the United States. Blinken will not be unclear about which actions of the US are targeted containment of unreasonable suppression and which are stabbing actions that intensify conflicts. China is also unequivocal: the old routine of unilateral bullying did not work in China in the past, and it will not work in the future.
Direct news: Wang Yi specifically pointed out that the United States must pay attention to China's legitimate concerns, and in particular cannot continue to challenge China's red lines by "slicing sausages". What message does this send?
Special commentator Guan Yao: Wang Yi’s statement has actually attracted special attention from many media at home and abroad. Today’s Hong Kong English-language " South China Morning Post " live report on the call was specifically titled: China-US relations: Wang Yi warns of ‘head-on collision’ threat over Taiwan. Sino-US relations: Wang Yi warns of "head-on" threat on Taiwan issue. Wang Yi warned the United States not to constantly challenge China's red lines by "slicing sausages", and the biggest red line in Sino-US relations is of course the Taiwan issue. During the "Xi visit" in Bali, the Chinese head of state reiterated that the Taiwan issue is the core of China's core interests, the basis of the political basis of Sino-US relations, and an insurmountable red line. Today Wang Yi once again warned that zero-sum thinking will only lead to two major countries consuming each other and colliding head-on. The highest-risk area where China and the United States are most likely to collide is precisely the Taiwan Strait. No wonder the media wants to focus on the Taiwan issue.
China firmly opposes the US’s “salami-slicing” action. The latest "National Defense Authorization Prevention Act" passed by the House of Representatives and the Senate contains so-called Taiwan-related provisions, and even promises to provide so-called tens of billions of dollars in military aid in the next five years. This is the most typical sausage-cutting behavior, and it involves cutting into large pieces of sausage.Although I have analyzed in previous programs, it is still unclear where the tens of billions of dollars will come from. Even the name itself, whether it is aid, loans or credit, also faces great uncertainty. What confirms my prediction is that some people in the United States have let slip. At least next year, don’t count on the so-called US$2 billion in military aid. But equally, the danger of a head-on collision caused by the U.S.'s "salami-slicing" actions related to Taiwan is self-evident. From to Biden , including Blinken himself, the U.S. has repeatedly emphasized the need to responsibly manage bilateral relations, and they are all talking about building guardrails. Isn't it the Taiwan Strait issue that should be most controlled and built?
Did Blinken listen to Wang Yi’s warning? I noticed this statement in the Xinhua News Agency telegram. Blinken said that the United States continues to pursue the one-China policy and does not support Taiwan's "independence." However, at the State Council press briefing, Blinken still talked about the so-called commitment to maintaining peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait, and deliberately emphasized that we are united. We are coordinated. The we that Blinken refers to is one of the so-called "coordination" of one of the three major strategies in competition with China, which is to coerce more allies and stir up trouble in the Taiwan Strait. This also means that friction and collision between China and the United States on the Taiwan issue will continue in the future.
Direct news: It is worth noting that on the day of the phone call between the Chinese and American foreign ministers, China issued Foreign Ministry Order No. 4 to take countermeasures against the American Yu Maochun and Stein. What are your observations on this?
Special commentator Guan Yao: As emphasized in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs Order No. 4, this is a countermeasure by China and a reciprocal action. Just at the beginning of this month, the United States indiscriminately used the so-called "Tibetan human rights card" and imposed so-called sanctions on two Chinese officials, including Wu Yingjie, the former party secretary of the Tibet Autonomous Region, and the implementing agency was the U.S. Department of the Treasury. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs’ Order No. 4, signed and issued by Wang Yi, responded accordingly. Some people have noticed that the Ministry of Foreign Affairs Order No. 1 was promulgated and implemented on February 1, 2013. In calculation, it is roughly equivalent to a "Ministry of Foreign Affairs Order" every three years. In this regard, the punishment standards for the two Americans are quite high. What can be compared is that the Chinese who was sanctioned this time, Yu Maochun, has the same name as Pompeo, the worst Secretary of State in the history of the United States, whom he always clings to. On the day Pompeo left office, China ushered in sanctions, but it was announced in the form of a "spokesman's statement" at the time. Of course, this also means that after the "Counter-Sanctions Law" is promulgated and implemented, our legal enforcement toolbox still has many options. The two targets subject to Chinese sanctions this time are a former mid-level official in the Trump administration, and the deputy director of the Office of the Congressional-Executive China Commission. In fact, whether it is the Capitol Hill or the State Department, these are departments that intensively introduce China-related bills or implement related policies. In the future, these departments may become the focus of fierce and intensive confrontations and confrontations between the two major countries in sanctions and countermeasures. For example, McCarthy , who is expected to take over as Speaker of the House of Representatives, has promised to initiate the establishment of the so-called House China Special Committee. Last week, Blinken and Deputy Secretary of State Sherman jointly unveiled the "China House", a new organization within the State Council.
Yu Maochun, who was born in China and received university and basic education in the mainland, set another "record" and became the first overseas Chinese to be sanctioned by the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs. He was completely nailed to the pillar of shame in history. Although Yu had changed his nationality and identity, his roots and yellow skin could not be whitened. This was actually a moment of shame for his blood relatives in the mainland and even for his entire clan. Although he had been removed from the same clan before, his name was also removed from the school alumni list.
It is necessary to remind that after Yu Maochun left the State Council, he followed Pompeo to join the Hudson Institute and continued to stage an academic anti-China drama. Therefore, Chinese companies, institutions and individuals must tighten sanctions and completely draw a clear line with the think tanks where he works.
Author丨Guan Yao, special commentator of Shenzhen TV's "Live Broadcast of Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan"
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