Uncle Mu’s international commentary analyzes the Russia-Ukraine war.
Since entering 2023, although the war situation has not seriously escalated, there are already obvious signs that all parties are preparing for a new round of war.
For example, when Ukrainian President Zelensky delivered a video speech at the Davos Forum in Switzerland on January 18, he said that winter has indeed slowed down the offensive, but they know what Russia is doing, so they will prepare for a new war escalation to save face for failing to achieve the war goals last year.
In addition, Polish President Duda also emphasized in a speech at the Davos Economic Forum that there may be a critical moment in the Russia-Ukraine war in the next few weeks to months.
He said that Russia is preparing to launch a new offensive in the near future and that the weapons the West has provided to Ukraine may not be enough.
He called on the West to step up its response.
Uncle Mu noticed two signs that indeed confirm the inevitable escalation of the war in Ukraine in the new year.
Because both Russia and the West are speaking harshly.
First, Russian President Putin declared on November 18 that he had "no doubt" about Russia's victory.
Putin said that Russia tried its best to solve the problem of Donbass through peaceful means in the past, but was deceived by the West.
So he said that he would not be deceived again in the future and would continue to achieve what he believed to be the goal management of special military operations.
Russian officials also warned the West to support Ukraine with more weapons, believing that the war will naturally expand and Russia will reserve any force, including nuclear weapons , to respond.
Second, the West has increased its efforts to provide weapons to Ukraine.
January 18, NATO Secretary General emphasized that the alliance must provide Ukraine with more powerful and modern weapons. And expressed support for Ukraine to fight to the end.
Recently, major Western countries such as Britain, France, Germany, and the United States have abandoned their past restricted areas in providing weapons to Ukraine, and have or are preparing to provide Ukraine with advanced tanks and combat vehicles.
Once the Ukrainian army has more advanced Western tanks than Russia, it can launch a more violent offensive and occupy more territory. The war situation is more likely to be reversed.
Uncle Mu believes that these signs indicate that Russia and the West are preparing to continue to face each other head-on in the new year, and no one will admit defeat easily.
In other words, a new round of escalation in the Ukrainian war is more likely to be inevitable.
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