According to China Review News Agency, Zhao Shaokang, chairman of Taiwan's China Guangxi and initiator of the Chinese Kuomintang Battle Blue, released a poll of eight indicator counties and city mayors today. Among them, Taoyuan City was led by Zheng Yunpeng, the Democratic Progressive Party, 24.77% of the Kuomintang Zhang Shanzheng . Zhao Shaokang said that he was most surprised when he saw the polls. Zhang Shanzheng lost. The investigation time was done before the 9/18 earthquake, so it seems that the ceiling collapse incident in Taoyuan Badminton Hall has not yet fermented; former Kuomintang vice chairman Hao Longbin also said that Zhang Shanzheng's poll was also behind.
This poll was commissioned by China Guangxi Gallup Credit Report to a series of polls for key counties and cities, and selected the most suspense, representative, indicator and controversial counties and cities in the county and city mayor election, including Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Keelung City, Yilan County , New Taipei City , Hsinchu City, Miaoli County , Penghu County , and random surveys and visits were conducted on residential phone books and mobile phone numbers. Among them, the Chinese Democratic Party only leads in Taipei City, New Taipei City and Yilan County, winning 3 and losing 5, and the election situation is not as expected.
The participants of the poll press conference were not only the host of the poll plan and the chief consultant of Gallup Credit Reporting, Ding Tingyu , the executive director of the Gallup Credit Reporting Committee, Dai Xialing , as well as Zhao Shaokang, Hao Longbin, former Kuomintang "legislator" Lin Yufang and Donghua University Professor Shi Zhengfeng.
Zhao Shaokang said that this survey was cooperated by China Guangxi and Gallup polling agencies. Outside the city, they called 12,000 numbers on their mobile phones, and finally only successfully conducted more than 200, accounting for 5% of the survey proportion. In the future, relevant polls will be released two to three times. The eight counties and cities will decide the number of samples based on the population and the degree of competition. As long as the sampling is correct, 400 will be representative.
Zhao Shaokang said that he was most surprised when he saw the polls. Zhang Shanzheng lost. This survey was done before the 9/18 earthquake, so the badminton hall incident has not yet fermented. However, in the polls, Zhang Shanzheng lost between the young voters 20 and 39 years old, 10% behind Zheng Yunpeng. The political party’s support for the Democratic Progressive Party is also twice the support for the Kuomintang. Although the polls are still within the error range, Zhang Shanzheng must catch up.
For Taipei City, Zhao Shaokang said that Huang Shanshan has the most advantage in young ethnic groups, Chen Shizhong is just a mess, but over 60 years old is reversed. 30% of the supporters of the People's Party want to vote for Jiang Wan'an, but Huang Shanshan caught many parts of people who look at people but not the party; but overall, only Miaoli and Taipei support the Kuomintang is overwhelming and supporting the Democratic Progressive Party, which is a warning to the Kuomintang.
Hao Longbin said that he was very worried after reading the polls. First of all, the DPP was deeply resentful in governing the people, but the election situation did not have a great impact on the green camp. The KMT did not make any profit, and secondly, the KMT fell behind significantly in young ethnic groups.
was also surprised by the Taoyuan poll. He emphasized that this means that the integration of the party has not been completed, the supporters have not yet fully returned, and Zhang Shanzheng's election steps are not in line with the needs of supporters of the blue camp. We must work harder. In addition, Miaoli needs to worry the most. The Kuomintang candidate Xie Fuhong’s poll is the lowest, and there is also a clear gap. How the Kuomintang integrates the vote concentration and ensures that the Blue Army candidates can be elected needs to be carefully considered.
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