Stimulated by favorable real estate policies, the stock market opened high and closed high on November 29, 2022, driven by the rise of the real estate sector. Currently (13:40) the Shanghai Composite Index rose by more than 2%. The rise in the real estate sector has also led to t

2025/09/0119:58:36 hotcomm 1877

Stimulated by favorable real estate policies, on November 29, 2022, the stock market opened higher and closed higher, driven by the rise of the real estate sector. Currently (13:40) the Shanghai Composite Index rose by more than 2%. The rise in the real estate sector has also led to the rise in other weight sectors such as insurance and banks. The market has indeed risen a lot, and stock also has more rises and less falls.

However, judging from the historical experience in the past three years, the market driven by the rise in the real estate sector generally will not continue.

In February and March 2019, the real estate index rose by more than 30%. After that, fell back to for 12 consecutive months, basically falling back to the origin;

In July and August 2020, the real estate index rose by more than 11%, and then it fell back to the origin for 11 consecutive months;

In February and March 2022, the real estate index rose by more than 17%, and then it fell back to the origin for 7 consecutive months.

After three consecutive short-term surges in the real estate index in the past three years, there have been long and large drawdowns, and we should not forget them.

, and the Shanghai Composite Index in the same period was even more slumped after reaching 3731 points in February 2021, and did not even have a decent rebound.

history of course will not be simply repeated, but it will be surprisingly similar.

Policy stimulation will certainly play a short-term role. But for enterprises, the decisive factor is the market and the supply and demand relationship.

The current stimulus policy can give real estate companies a shot of heart-wrenching agent, external blood transfusions, and save lives. However, for many companies in the real estate industry, what they need is their own hematopoietic function recovery. With external blood transfusions alone, life will not last long.

Only real estate companies with strong hematopoietic functions will be at ease in the market, and the trend of survival of the fittest will be staged faster in the real estate industry.

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