Article Author: Beifeng Xuelin
In the past decade, China's high-speed rail and Japan's Shinkansen have competed fiercely in many overseas markets.
Among them, China and Japan are in . Indonesia , India and Vietnam. I think it can be called the "three major battles" of infrastructure construction in the world's major powers from standards to technology to production capacity !
my country won the Jakarta-Bandung High-speed Railway in Indonesia in 2015, and Japan won the Meng-Ai High-speed Railway in India in 2016. The Japanese people believe that everyone will win and lose.
Now six years have passed. Looking at the current situation of the high-speed rail built by China and Japan, will there be a victory or defeat for each other?
1, Indonesia's high-speed rail, my country's tiger's mouth snatch food!
just ended. At the summit of the G20 heads of state that is focused on the world, the host Indonesia carried out the trial operation of the "Jia-Bandung High-speed Railway" built by China.
On November 16, a high-speed rail train built with Chinese standards ran at high speed. With the attention of dozens of heads of state, the Jakarta-Bandung High-speed Railway was a complete success.
After half a year of route debugging and trial operation, the Jakarta-Bandung High-speed Railway, as the first high-speed railway in Southeast Asia, will be opened to traffic in June next year.
The construction standards of the Jakarta-Bandung High-speed Railway come completely from our country, with a designed speed of 350 km/h, and initial operation is 300 km/h.
Southeast Asian countries can take a high-speed rail with a speed of 350 kilometers per hour in 2023. This miracle was created by China.
Indonesian high-speed railway was not like this at first. The Shinkansen in Japan was once "infinitely close" to the project.
In 2005, Indonesian officials revealed to the international community, hoping to build a high-speed railway between the city of population and economy, the city of population and economy, Banlong .
At that time, my country's high-speed railways were still in the early stage of "working hard", and Germany and Japan were the ones who were nailing the Jakarta-Bangkok High-speed Railway.
Due to the comprehensive balance of infrastructure and credit capacity, the German plan was quickly abandoned by Indonesia. Japan officially submitted the "Jia-Bangkok High-speed Railway Feasibility Report" to Indonesia in 2010.
However, in the following years, the rapid development and operating mileage of China's high-speed railways have attracted more and more attention from the world.
In March and April 2015, the current Indonesian President Joko Haram 3 and Xi Jinping achieved mutual visits between the two heads of state and signed the "Series of Preliminary Agreements for the Jakarta-Bandung High-speed Railway".
In August 2015, my country submitted the "Jia-Bandung High-speed Railway Feasibility Report (China Version)", and then in the global public bidding in September, China solution won.
Japan has been paying attention to and following up on the Jakarta-Bandung High-speed Railway for a long time, and also provided Indonesia with an extremely low loan of 1%. However, Japan's Shinkansen plan is 1.5 times that of my country's high-speed railway. Even if the interest discount is included, a 140-kilometer high-speed railway will be more expensive. What is more important is the construction period. The construction period that my country promises to start construction is 3 years. The initial construction plan for the Shinkansen in Japan was 11 years. Later, after competition from China, it was modified to 5 to 8 years.
Therefore, China's high-speed rail has obvious advantages in terms of cost and construction period. This time, the order is not based on conspiracy and intrigue, and the crushing is entirely based on hard strength.
2, India fled private life, Japan won a game
After my country's high-speed rail "counterattacked the order" on the Jakarta-Bandung high-speed rail project in Indonesia in 2015, the Abe government of Japan was greatly criticized at home.
Japanese people cannot see the advantages of China's high-speed rail from cost, construction period, and operating mileage. Japanese people firmly believe that Japan passed the first Shinkansen in the 1960s.
Japan is the first country in the world to successfully operate the national high-speed rail network today. Therefore, the Japanese people demanded that the Abe government "grab orders from China with greater efforts" in other countries.
So the Abe government targeted the India high-speed rail plan.
Although India is full of envy, jealousy and hatred for our country, as a country with a population of over one billion, India hopes to imitate the high-speed rail network that guarantees the travel of a huge population in my country.
Therefore, when India initially announced the "Diamond Quadrilateral High-speed Railway Plan", China's plan was obviously ahead of all countries.
The "Diamond Quadrilateral National High-speed Railway Plan" proposed by India around 2010 is to connect Kolkata in the eastern part of India with Mumbai in the western part, Chennai in the southern part, and New Delhi in the northern part.
You will find that this high-speed rail planning connecting India's four major "central cities" has already taken the prototype of my country's four horizontal and four vertical high-speed rail planning back then.
However, after Modi took office as Prime Minister of India, Abe strengthened his friendship and diplomacy with Modi.
In 2016, after Japan lost to my country at the Indonesian high-speed rail project, it gave India a lower price, a longer loan period, and a near interest-free loan, and agreed to technology transfer.
At first, India and Japan negotiated the most important part of the construction of the "Diamond Quadrilateral High-speed Railway Planning", from the capital Madrid to the most important commercial city of Mumbai.
, the main high-speed rail line, has a mileage of more than 1,700 kilometers, which is 12 times that of the Jakarta-Bandung High-speed Railway in Indonesia.
If Japan can grab this order, of course it will be possible to report that Indonesia's high-speed rail will lose to my country.
However, when India and Japan finally signed the contract, the section of the road built became a commercial city of Mumbai to Prime Minister Modi's hometown, and the capital of India's border province Ahmedabad . Although the total mileage of
still reaches 500 kilometers, it deviates from the original "four main lines of India's core planning".
However, in order to save the bidding of the Indonesian Jakarta-Bandung High-speed Railway, Japan still took over the shrinking Indian project.
Japan took the Indian high-speed rail almost the same as China took the Indonesian high-speed rail. Japan promised that India's completion time would be in 2022.
Therefore, the world is paying attention to it, in 2022, compared with the Japanese Shinkansen in South Asia and the Chinese high-speed rail in Southeast Asia, which is better and worse!
3, the current situation of high-speed rail in India, Vietnam's choice!
On November 16 this year, Indonesian officials started the trial operation of the Jakarta-Bandung High-speed Railway in front of the G20 head of state.
, the high-speed railway, shows Indonesia, a country with a population of 270 million, the fourth largest in the world, and its ambition to develop modernization and industrialization.
Of course, on the other hand, after three years of impact from the epidemic, China's infrastructure can still withstand the pressure, earn face for Indonesia at key nodes, and also give China's infrastructure ambition!
So what about the Japanese high-speed railway built in India?
In 2018, Japan announced that it would start construction, but in fact, the Indian government's land acquisition has never been completed.
As of this month, the 550-kilometer mileage of India's first high-speed rail has only completed about 50% of the land acquisition along the road. The Japanese construction party has only completed less than 10 kilometers of "display routes" in four years.
is to create a "face window" for India, and the construction mileage is only more than 1% of the 500 kilometers.
The completion commitment date given to India by the Japanese construction party has also been postponed from 2022 to 2028.
But can the Indian high-speed railway be completed as scheduled in 2028?
India's high-speed rail faces three major risks, or China's high-speed rail perfectly avoids three huge pits.
The first one is the land acquisition by the Indian local government. Although the Indian government has completed 50% of the land acquisition in four years, it does not mean that it can complete it in the next four years. It is very likely that after 90% of the land acquisition is completed, the last 10% of Indian private individuals are unwilling to "acquire land" and the project will continue to be delayed.
The second risk is that this high-speed rail is the capital city of Mumbai, and it is not India's economic trunk. By 2028, once the parties in the Indian general election rotate, India is likely to refuse to recognize this project, and all the funds in Japan will be wasted.
The third risk is that in the past five years, Japan's economy has collapsed sharply, and the yen exchange rate has fallen even harder. The longer the construction time, the higher the budget required by Japan will be. India will feel that the exchange rate depreciation is serious and is unwilling to pay according to Japan's calculations.
has these three pits, and the first high-speed rail built by Japan in India is probably far away.
Japan Shinkansen lost a game in the Jakarta-Bandung high-speed railway in Indonesia. After the Indian high-speed railway was trapped in a deep pit, it did not give up on competing with my country in many countries.
Both China and Japan have set their sights on ASEAN countries, Vietnam, which has the best development momentum in recent years.
Because Vietnam has intensive manufacturing and light industry have taken over part of my country's production capacity, and its economic policies and reform measures have almost "copied our country's documents". Therefore, its development in recent years has been called the "Miracle of Little China".
is Vietnam's infrastructure, whether it is freight railways or high-speed railways, it is extremely backward or blank. This is a "fatal point" for manufacturing countries.
After Vietnam announced the national high-speed rail plan that runs through the north and south, it was initially closer to the Shinkansen plan for the northern neighbors.
However, in the past decade, my country's trade and tourism exchanges with Vietnam have continued to grow rapidly. The impact of the epidemic has not blocked Vietnam's economic dependence on our country.
Both sides have been increasing demand in both production of raw materials and personnel exchanges, but the two countries have not connected to railways!
If Vietnam wants to integrate into the Chinese economic circle more efficiently, the railway must be in line with our country.
At the end of last month, General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam Ruan Zhongfu led a large team to visit my country. This was the first foreign leader to be received by our country after the conference.
During this high-standard visit, China and Vietnam reached many consensuses and cooperation, one of which is that northern Vietnam will connect to my country's railway track standards.
Once Vietnam is “on the same track” with my country, the exchanges between economy and material personnel will inevitably surge. Then it is inevitable that the high-speed rail will be integrated into the high-speed rail network between China and Southeast Asia.
In the hearts of the Japanese government and the people, Japan won the Indian high-speed rail. Even if it lost the Southeast Asian high-speed rail network, it would be "a win-win and five-5" with our country.
However, my country's railways have connected Laos , Vietnam, Thailand, Cambodia , and Singapore have all put forward a strong desire to "union". The opening of the Jakarta-Bandung High-speed Railway marks that China's high-speed railway has been integrated into the southernmost tip of Southeast Asia. In contrast, the current 1% progress of the high-speed rail in India and Japan is probably the day when my country's high-speed rail network integrates with Southeast Asia, Japan's high-speed rail in India is still far away!
