China Xiaokang Network, October 26th News Lao Ma The University of Washington said in an analysis that driven by the winter months in the Northern Hemisphere, it is expected that by February, the global daily number of new coronavirus infections will slowly rise from the current average of 16.7 million to about 18.7 million.
The average daily number of new coronavirus infections in the world has risen slowly
Reuters reported that the report said that compared with the peak daily average number of approximately 80 million cases per day estimated last winter in January 2022, the number of infections is expected to be much smaller. This stage of the epidemic is driven by the rapid spread of the Omicron variant.
The Institute of Health Indicators and Assessment of the University of Washington (IHME) said the increase in cases is not expected to lead to a surge in deaths.
It predicts that the global average daily death toll will be 2,748 on February 1, compared with about 1,660 people at present. In January, the number of deaths worldwide exceeded 11 million daily.
IHME estimates that the number of daily infections in the United States will increase by one third to more than one million due to students returning to school and indoor gatherings related to cold weather.
It said in its October 24 report that Germany's surge has reached its peak. IHME expects cases there to drop by more than a third to about 190,000 by February.
The report suggests that the recent surge in COVID in Germany may be due to the Omicron subvariable BQ.1 or BQ.1.1 and may spread to other parts of Europe in the coming weeks.
It says the rapid growth in hospitalizations in Germany — the highest level since the COVID outbreak in 2020 — remains a worrying area. Analysis of
IHME also found that the new Omicron sub-variant XBB, currently driving the surge in hospitalizations in Singapore, is more contagious, but less severe.
reports that the global impact of XBB is expected to weaken due to the possibility of immunity to it by people who have previously infected with the BA.5 subvariant of Omicron.
