Introduction Kweichow Moutai is expected to have revenue exceeding 100 billion yuan for the first time last year, and the news of price increase has also come; the year-end list of new car-making forces has been released, and Xiaopeng won the championship; how will A-shares go after the holiday? 11 years of big data reveal: the probability of rising in the first week is more than 70%. Jay Chou entered the Metaverse and sold 62 million yuan in 40 minutes, and there is also big news for virtual people.
Quick review of the morning news
1, Kweichow Moutai expects revenue to exceed 100 billion yuan for the first time last year and net profit of 52 billion yuan! The news of price increases has also come.
Importance: ★★★★
On the evening of December 31, 2021, Kweichow Moutai issued an announcement on the production revenue and operation status of 2021. is expected to achieve operating income of about 109 billion yuan, and may exceed the target at the beginning of the year. entered the early 2022, and Kweichow Moutai finally announced a price increase, but the price increase product is not Feitian Moutai, but its two high-end products.
It is reported that starting from , the price of two new rare Moutai and aged Kweichow Moutai 15 products will be increased. Among them, the retail guide price of the new rare Moutai liquor was raised by 100 yuan, from 4499 yuan/bottle to 4599 yuan/bottle; the retail guide price of the aged Kweichow Moutai liquor was raised by 1000 yuan, from 4999 yuan/bottle to 5999 yuan/bottle.
2, 2, New car manufacturing forces in 2021 were released: Xiaopeng won the championship, NIO and Ideal ranked second and third respectively
Importance: ★★★★
At the beginning of the new year, new car manufacturing forces announced the delivery situation for the whole year in 2021. Among them, Xiaopeng Motors ranked first in the annual delivery volume, while NIO and Ideal ranked second and third. In 2021, the total annual delivery volume of Xiaopeng Motors reached 98,155 vehicles, 3.6 times that of 2020. The annual delivery volume of Ideal Auto is 90,491 vehicles, and NIO has lost its dominant position as the new car-making force with a delivery volume of 91,429 vehicles.
In addition, Tesla delivered 308,600 cars in the fourth quarter of 2021 (market estimate of 263,422 million vehicles), and a total of 936,000 cars were delivered in 2021.
For BYD, in 2021, 593,745 new energy passenger cars were sold, an increase of 231.6% year-on-year. Rongbai Technology's performance in 2021 soared by more than 400%.
3, How to turn A-shares after the festival? 11 years of big data reveal: the probability of rising in the first week is more than 70%, and the military industry sector may lead the rise
Importance: ★★★★
According to the Securities Times, according to the past 11 years, it was found that from the end of the year to the beginning of the year, the market will have certain expectations for the "spring restlessness" market. The probability of the market rising in the first trading day after New Year's Day is more than 60%, and the probability of rising in the first week after the holiday will be higher. In the first week after the holiday, the probability of the market rising will be higher. Data shows that the probability of the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index rising in the first week after New Year's Day is more than 70%.
4, were crazy! Jay Chou entered the Yuanshi and sold 62 million yuan in 40 minutes. There is also big news for virtual people
importance: ★★★★
On November 1, the Yuanshi platform Ezek and Jay Chou's trendy brand PHANTACi released the first limited edition NFT project Phanta Bear (Phanta Bear). The maximum issuance is 10,000, with a unit price of 0.26 Ether (about RMB 6,200), with a total price of over 62 million yuan.
In addition, on the evening of December 31, 2021, at the 2022 New Year's Eve concert of Jiangsu Satellite TV, singer Zhou Shen and Teresa Teng, presented through virtual technology, sang classic songs such as "Big Fish". Judging from the current momentum, more virtual people will appear in 2022. By 2030, the market size of virtual people will exceed 270 billion yuan. (Note: Affected by this news, the stock price of Hong Kong stock digital kingdom rose by 25% yesterday.)
5, again saw a big meat sign? 8 new stocks debuted in the first week of the new year. The first A-share listed bank stock will be launched this year
Importance: ★★★
There will be 8 new stocks available for subscription in the first week of 2022, and the amount of funds raised by Aojie Technology, Maiwei Biologics, Xinghui Huan Materials and Lanzhou Bank all exceed 2 billion yuan. Among them, Aojie Technology raised funds of 6.8 billion yuan and the issue price reached 164.45 yuan. It is worth noting that the online subscription of Lanzhou Bank on Wednesday was the first listed bank this year.
6, At the beginning of the new year, I am optimistic about Moutai! 24 brokerage firms have released gold stocks in January (list)
Importance: ★★★
Currently, securities firms have successively announced the gold stock portfolio in January, Kweichow Moutai has once again become the most optimistic stock of securities firms, and gold stocks in the power equipment, pharmaceutical and biological industries are also crowded. is optimistic about the market in January 2022, and believes that the market is expected to rise, and the highly-watched "spring restlessness" market is also expected to continue to take place; from the perspective of industry layout, new infrastructure, consumption and other fields are worth grasping.
7. China Mobile was listed on January 5. Experts interviewed: The possibility of breaking the issue price is very small, which may have an impact on the stock prices of Telecom and China Unicom.
8, hit a new low in five years! The investment intensity of real estate companies has dropped significantly, and the land acquisition and sales ratio continued to decline last year.
9. US stocks have started well! Apple's market value exceeded $3 trillion intraday, and Tesla soared more than 13%.
10. Evergrande responded that the 39th building of Haihua Island was ordered to be demolished: other plots of Haihua Island will not be involved in Haihua Island, and will be properly handled according to the decision.
11, doubled in three days of listing! SenseTime's market value exceeds HK$250 billion, and the AI track is undergoing a revaluation of its value.
12, the central bank and other seven departments issued a document: No institution or individual may provide online marketing services for illegal stock recommendations, virtual currency transactions, etc.
13, the Ministry of Finance and other four departments: The subsidy standard for new energy vehicles in 2022 will be reduced by 30% from 2021.
14. National Development and Reform Commission: The first batch of large-scale wind power photovoltaic base projects have started construction of about 75 million kilowatts.
Financial calendar
Walking in the financial market reminds you that you can subscribe to new stocks such as Xinghui Huan Materials, Maiwei Biologics, and Aojie Technology today, and there are no new stocks listed.
1, to be determined Ministerial Meeting of OPEC + Oil-producing Countries
2, 09:45 China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI
3, 23:00 US December ISM Manufacturing PMI
Opportunities in advance
Wandering in the financial market to sort out the investment opportunities that the market is concerned about, found that concepts such as traditional Chinese medicine and metaverse are highly concerned.
1. The product continues to increase under the stimulation of major policies, and the product has both consumer attributes and has a broad space for upgrading
The National Medical Insurance Bureau and the State Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine issued guiding opinions on medical insurance to support the inheritance, innovation and development of traditional Chinese medicine on the 30th. The opinions propose that it is stipulated that Chinese herbal medicines, Chinese patent medicines, Chinese medicine preparations, etc. that meet the conditions will be included in the medical insurance drug catalog.
In recent years, the country has intensively introduced various policies to support and encourage the inheritance, innovation and development of traditional Chinese medicine: the number of patent medicines in the basic drug catalog accounts for 39.12%, and the continuous promotion of the "986" goal is expected to stimulate the increase in the volume of traditional Chinese medicine. Since 2021, my country's innovative traditional Chinese medicine drugs have been approved at an accelerated pace. As of December 24, 2021, 11 innovative traditional Chinese patent medicines have been approved. Recently, the ex-factory prices of Tongrentang's Angong Niuhuang Wan and Taiji Group's Huoxiang Zhengqi Oral Liquid have been raised, which has attracted market attention to the ability of brand traditional Chinese medicine to increase prices.
2. The metaverse was written into the local "14th Five-Year Plan" industrial plan for the first time. Other provinces and cities may follow up on
in the future. Shanghai Economic and Information Commission issued the "Shanghai Electronic Information Industry Development "14th Five-Year Plan"" to propose that it is necessary to strengthen the forward-looking research and development of basic capabilities of the underlying core technology of the metaverse, promote the development of new terminals that deepen perceptual interaction and systematic virtual content construction, and explore industry applications.
The meta-universe is in its early stages of development, and the underlying technology still needs to be upgraded. According to the article "How the Metaverse Rewrites Human Social Life" on the official website of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection and the National Supervisory Commission, "There is no single technology called the "Metaverse" in the world. The Metaverse is a combination and upgrade of various existing technologies"; according to the IDC official website, as an indispensable infrastructure in the process of the formation of the metaverse, the cloud computing technology that relies on the continuous and effective operation of the metaverse platform, the credible economic system and the blockchain technology that relies on the clear ownership of the asset all entrusted the high expectations of users and platforms.
3. The mainstream solution for mass production of autonomous driving is expected to become the standard for autonomous driving of L3 and above
Inertial navigation has become the mainstream solution for mass production of autonomous driving by many car companies. Xiaopeng P5/P7 has standard inertial navigation, and models such as NIO ET7, Zhiji L7, Huawei AITO, Nezha Auto and other models will also be equipped with inertial navigation. In addition, autonomous driving technology companies such as Waymo, Apollo, and Momenta that are targeting L4 routes also use inertial navigation as the standard hardware for autonomous driving.
Inertial Navigation (INS) is a navigation device based on Newton's law of mechanics, using the inertial measurement unit (IMU) to measure the acceleration and angular velocity information of the carrier, combined with the given initial motion conditions, so as to calculate the parameters such as velocity, position, and posture in real time. Inertial navigation systems are expected to become an indispensable key component in high-precision positioning of autonomous driving with their autonomy.
4. Virtual Teresa Teng sang a new song, and the virtual digital human industry entered a period of acceleration;
5. The Ministry of Water Resources issued a document: A number of national water network backbone projects will be built;
6. Indonesia's coal supply is in short supply. Indonesia bans coal exports this month.
Research and judgment on future market
CITIC Securities believes that the spread of blue chips has promoted a "good start" market; Haitong Securities believes that the "stable growth" signal is clear and optimistic about the first quarter market.
1. The king's strategy: This round of New Year's Eve offensive has a smooth wave and a slow progress in the rhythm
Guotai Junan believes that this round of New Year's Eve offensive has a smooth wave and a slow progress in the rhythm, and it is even more necessary to make steady progress in adjusting the structure. The allocation is in the marginal direction of stabilizing growth, and is optimistic about the consumption and infrastructure chain. Recommended: 1) Consumption: Accelerate the bottom of expectations, and recommend the directions of liquor, pig, home appliances, furniture, social services/tourism, which are supported by performance and weakened negative expectations; 2) Infrastructure: Grasp the new infrastructure focus such as BIPV and power operations, and also attach importance to the efforts of traditional infrastructure under stable growth; 3) Finance: securities companies, banks; 4) Consumer electronics.
2. Guangdong Development Strategy: The 14th Five-Year Plan in the field of science and technology is released intensively, and A-shares can start well. It is expected that with the recovery of economic data and the gradual implementation of policies and the support of performance, A-shares are expected to achieve a good start in 2022. Investors are advised to focus on three main investment opportunities: 1. Investment opportunities in the technology sector with favorable policies; 2. The consumer sector is expected to usher in the Davis double-click market driven by the dual valuation performance; 3. Investment opportunities in sectors with higher annual forecast rates and higher winning rates after New Year's Day in previous years.
3. CITIC Strategy: Blue chip diffusion promotes a "good start" market
CITIC Securities research report stated that policy synergy is gradually forming, and it is expected that the economic stabilization and the recovery of the credit cycle will be verified in January. After the New Year's Eve, incremental funds accelerate influx and existing funds actively increase their positions. It is expected that the "good start" market will be opened. After the rehearsal of the blue chip market in the fourth quarter of last year, it is expected to spread. The first quarter may be the best time for participation throughout the year. In terms of configuration, it is recommended to continue to actively participate in the "good start" market around the "three lows".
4. CICC: Seize the opportunities at the beginning of the year and lay out three major directions
CICC Strategy Chen Guo’s team released a research report saying that A-shares have recently adjusted, long-term and short-term interest rates have differentiated, and the term spread has narrowed, which reflects more expectations of economic recession and concerns about the effect of loose credit policies. Against this background, looking forward to the market trend in January this year, we believe that the A-share market is expected to usher in a rebound, and the overall performance should be stronger than in December last year, and the opportunity should be seized at the beginning of the year. The main reason for the market recovery in January is that risk preferences and liquidity will improve at the beginning of the year. Currently, we are optimistic about three major directions: opportunities for transformation and revaluation of traditional industries with low valuations; opportunities for completion of hard technology adjustments; and directions for focus on fiscal efforts.
5. Haitong Strategy: The signal of "stable growth" is clear. I am optimistic about the first quarter market
Haitong Strategy Xun Yugen's team released a research report saying that the signal of "stable growth" in 2022 is clear, and subsequent policy efforts are expected to continue to strengthen. It is expected that GDP in 2022 will be 5%-5.5% year-on-year, and the ROE high of A-shares will be in the first quarter of 2022.In terms of liquidity, the long-term trend of asset allocation to equity migration remains unchanged, and the supply and demand of funds in the stock market will be relatively balanced in 2022. We are optimistic about the first quarter market and have a balanced allocation, such as undervalued financial real estate, high prosperity and hard technology, and consumption following the rebound.
Positive negative announcements for listed companies
In terms of positive announcements, walking in the financial market reminds you to pay attention to the concept of positive and ecological meta-universe; in terms of negative announcements, pay attention to the significant reduction of Saito Bio's holdings.
positive announcement
1. Zhenghe Ecology: Signing an investment cooperation framework agreement with the People's Government of Kaiping District, Tangshan City, and intends to participate in the creation of China's first meta-universe • Kingdom of Life Theme Park
2. Tianmai Technology: Signing a contract for 62.9699 million yuan for Changchun bus intelligent construction first phase project project
3. Shuangliang Energy Saving: Winning the bid for an auxiliary machine equipment procurement project of 169 million yuan
negative announcement
1. Saito Biologics: The controlling shareholder intends to reduce his holdings of 18.5% of the shares by transferring to strategic investors and other methods
2. ST Hongtu: Suspected of information disclosure Illegal and irregularities, the company and its controlling shareholder filed a case by the China Securities Regulatory Commission
3, National Technology: The controlling shareholder Yonglu Industrial plans to reduce its holdings of no more than 10% of the shares
4, Mubang Hi-Tech: Bangling International plans to reduce its holdings of no more than 4% of the shares of the company
5, Wanxun Automation: The actual controller Fu Yuchen plans to reduce its holdings of no more than 3.15% of the shares of the company
html ml06. New open source: Wuhu Changqian plans to reduce his holdings of no more than 3% of the company's sharesList of unbanned
From the perspective of the ratio of unbanned ban, Huitai Medical's unbanned ban will reach 41.46% in the next 5 days, followed by Jiangtian Chemical and Huaan Xinchuang. From the perspective of the market value of unbanned ban, Huitai Medical, Huaan Xinchuang, Jiangtian Chemical and other stocks have the highest market value of unbanned banned ban.
Overseas market
Walking in the financial market, U.S. stocks closed up collectively overnight, Dow Jones and S&P 500 index hit new highs, Tesla rose more than 13%, and Apple's market value once exceeded US$3 trillion; gold futures prices closed down on Monday, and U.S. oil futures prices closed up higher.
Brief description of overseas asset market
. US stock market: US stocks closed higher on Monday, technology stocks led the rise, and both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 index hit record closing highs. Apple's market value once exceeded US$3 trillion. Tesla rose 13.5%. Investors continue to pay attention to the uncertainty factors brought about by the Omickron mutant strain.
. Chinese stocks: Popular Chinese stocks closed mixed on Monday, with Monster Charging and Renren Company leading the gains; NIO rose by more than 5%, and the company delivered 10,489 cars in December, an increase of 49.7% year-on-year.
3. Precious metal futures: gold futures prices closed down on Monday. U.S. stocks and Treasury yields rose on the first day of the new year, bringing gold futures prices to their lowest levels in two weeks.
4. Crude oil futures: US crude oil futures prices closed higher on Monday. The market generally expects the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) to stick to a plan to increase monthly crude oil production by 400,000 barrels per day at a meeting on Tuesday.
5, European market: Germany's DAX 30 index closed up 0.86%, France's CAC 40 rose 0.90%, Italy's FTSE MIB rose 1.40%, and Spain's IBEX 35 rose 0.54%. Lufthansa European stocks rose nearly 9%, approaching a two-month high, and Citi directly raised it from selling to buying.
solemnly stated: All research reports and daily comments and analysis are not investment advice. All content published in the column is for reference only. Any investment decisions made based on this have nothing to do with the author of this column.
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