The most important international news these days should be whether the second Ukrainian civil war will break out in full swing. After five years of restoring energy, the Ukrainian government forces have invested a large amount of combat forces in this battle, and have set up 7 combat brigades in line with the Dongwu front line. At present, the Ukrainian government forces have invested about two army forces on the Dongwu front line. If the reserve force is included, the total force it invests may be close to the level of three army forces.
At the earliest attack distribution map of Ukrainian government forces
At present, the 10th Brigade has replaced the previous 35th Brigade
In addition to the considerable number, in order to prevent accidents, the Ukrainian government forces also invested heavy troops such as the 28th Mechanized Brigade and the 72nd Mechanized Brigade in this battle. More than 150 main battle tanks have been gathered on the front line, as well as heavy artillery and infantry fighting vehicles that cooperate with the main battle tanks. At present, some Ukrainian government troops are only 30 kilometers away from the Crimea border. In order to ensure the security of Crimea, the Russian Defense Minister has declared that Russia will use all means to safeguard Russia's rights and interests, and it is not ruled out the use of nuclear weapon .
Ukrainian armored forces mobilized to the front line
At present, Russia is very concerned about the security of Crimea
00 The main reason why Russia is so nervous is because both the United States and NATO have begun to intervene in the second Ukrainian civil war. Earlier this month, the United States announced that it would provide the Ukrainian government forces with a "javelin" portable anti-tank missile worth US$125 million to enhance the combat strength of the Ukrainian government forces. As the Ukrainian government forces began to exchange sporadic fire with the East Ukrainian armed forces, the NATO ground forces commander delegation led by NATO Army Lieutenant General Roger Klujie has also arrived in Ukraine, and the possibility of directly commanding the Ukrainian government forces to fight is not ruled out.
The United States has provided a batch of "javelin" anti-tank missiles
NATO commander delegation has also arrived in Ukraine
In order to ensure victory in this battle, the Ukrainian government forces can be said to be very cautious. During the first Ukrainian civil war, the Ukrainian government forces once wanted to rely on the advantage of the fast maneuvering speed of the mechanized troops in to bring a "blitzkrieg" style to a rapid division and siege against the Dongwu armed forces. However, due to various reasons such as insufficient troops and low quality of soldiers, some Ukrainian government troops that were encircled through intersecting and surrounded were even made dumplings by the Dongwu armed forces.
Ukrainian government forces captured in the first Ukrainian civil war
During the first Ukrainian civil war, the Ukrainian government forces performed poorly
At the beginning of the outbreak of the first Ukrainian civil war, the Ukrainian government forces could use only 6,000 troops directly, and the rest of the troops were basically volunteer soldiers organized temporarily. At present, the forces of about two armies are regular troops, and the overall advantage is relatively large.
Of course, because there are currently few experienced veterans in the Ukrainian government army, and most of the soldiers are new soldiers. In order to avoid the situation of being counter-encircled in the first Ukrainian civil war, the Ukrainian government forces adopted a very conservative "one-character long snake formation" this time. The troops of the seven brigades lined up from south to north and advanced in unison, and then the reserve team waited behind. Wherever the Dongwu armed forces wanted to break out of counter-encircled, they would immediately plug the loophole. In layman's terms, it is intended to use its military advantages to squeeze the living space of the Dongwu armed forces step by step.
Ukrainian government forces have recruited a large number of female soldiers to make up for the disadvantage of insufficient troops
The combat effectiveness of the Eastern Ukrainian armed forces is not weak
At present, what the United States, NATO and Ukrainian government forces are most concerned about is whether Russia will directly send troops to help the Eastern Ukrainian armed forces fight. After all, the Ukrainian government forces are very close to Crimea this time, and the Ukrainian government forces have never given up their request for Crimea. Of course, for Russia, we also hope that the East Ukrainian armed forces can exist all the time, so that there will be a buffer zone between itself and the United States, NATO and Ukraine.
There is a saying that the Ukrainian government army learned the essence of "modern war" in the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh War and planned to use drones to deal with possible Russian armored forces. For this reason, it also specially imported 48 TB-2 type of reconnaissance and attack drones from Turkey . 7 have arrived. The Ukrainian government army plans to verify the actual combat effectiveness of the TB-2 type of reconnaissance and attack drones in this conflict.
Ukrainian government forces currently have 7 TB-2 drones
Russian Western Military Region Armored Forces
But I personally think that the Ukrainian government forces are afraid that they have not been beaten decently in five years, and I don’t know what level of combat capability of the Russian Army is. Although many domestic military self-media giants believe that Russia's "Armor S1" ammunition system cannot intercept drones at all, NATO has a different view on this, believing that Russia's "Armor S1" ammunition system will not perform too poorly when facing drones.
"Armor S1"
. Even if it is assumed that Russia's "Armor S1" ammunition system cannot effectively deal with the attacks of drones, the Russian Army does not only have such a field air defense weapon. The "Doy M1" air defense missile system and the Russian Army have equipped a large number of other field air defense missile systems. If it is smashed with missiles, it can smash 7 TB-2 drones from the sky.
"Doal M1" air defense missile system
It is precisely because Russia may take action directly when the East Ukrainian armed forces cannot withstand that the United States and NATO are now more restrained. One dares to take out some anti-tank missiles, and the other only sends a commander delegation to try to avoid direct conflict with Russia. After all, the Ukrainian government forces are just chess pieces, and there is no need to directly play hard for the chess pieces and Russia.
Russian attitude is very important
Next, it depends on what it can be made
Of course, the Ukrainian government army also has its own plans. That is, like Azerbaijan in the Nagorno-Karabakh War, compressing and occupying the territory controlled by the East Ukrainian armed forces as much as possible before Russia intervenes. After the Russian side intervened, the Ukrainian government forces immediately accepted the ceasefire agreement and then drew a new dividing line between the two sides on the spot. As for the subsequent results, it depends on how the Ukrainian government troops can fight in the past few days.
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