According to Taiwan media reports, pro-green media person Zhou Yukou controversial words and deeds have dragged down Zhou Li-sponsored Democratic Progressive Party Taipei Mayor Candidate Chen Shizhong's election. The atmosphere of "abandoning Chen and protecting Huang" has fermented. Analysis of local key actors in Taipei City in Lanying, Zhou was insulted by Chen, and if Huang Shanshan, an unparty mayor, stands firmly second, it may indeed allow anti-Chiang people to concentrate on supporting Huang.
pic source Taiwanese media
The key actor believes that if Chen Shizhong polls continue to fall, they do not want the green camp people elected by the Kuomintang Taipei mayor Jiang Wanan, who is elected as the green camp, mayor, may seek the next best choice. At that time, "abandoning Chen and protecting Huang" will happen, but Chen's votes will still be greater than the threshold of Yao Wenzhi in 2018 (the vote rate is 17.28%), and Jiang and Huang will have five or five waves in elections.
Jiang Wan'an's competitive office spokesperson Li Dewei also said that if the Taipei mayoral election battle is finally abandoned, it should be between green and white, especially Chen Shizhong is affected by the Zhou Yukou incident; and if "abandoned Chen and Huang" happen, Chen will be ranked third, and Tsai Ing-wen, the leader of Taiwan who designated Chen to run for Taipei mayor, will be lame immediately.
Jiang Wan'an's camp person added that the three mayor candidates represent three major political parties respectively, and the green camp will not allow Tsai Ing-wen to be lame in advance; but even if each camp does not operate to abandon the security, the highly intelligent Taipei citizens' election will still make the best choices, and abandoning the security will inevitably ferment.
Korean Party officials said that according to the Kuomintang polls, more than 80% of the supporters of Taipei City's blue camp have returned to support Jiang Wan'an. In other words, Huang Shanshan's support is currently in line with the basic market, and a considerable proportion comes from the support of the green camp. There is a possibility of vote flow between green and white. Therefore, if Chen Shizhong's support goes down again, it is not impossible to "abandon Chen and protect Huang".
Korean Taipei City Councilman Xu Qiaoxin said that there will be a natural vote flow in Taipei mayoral elections this time. The third candidate will receive fewer votes than expected (poll), but there will still be a certain market. The situation will not be felt more clearly until the last three weeks before the election.
However, DPP party officials who are familiar with the election situation in Taipei City analyzed that there are many citizens in Taipei who hate Jiang Wan'an and Chen Shizhong, but Huang Shanshan also bears the burden of Ko Wen-je The city government has its own haters, and at least about 20% of its loyal fans. The election may indeed be abandoned at the end of the election, but it may be a circular abandonment of insurance, which offsets each other.
The DPP party official believes that most of the DPP supporters are loyal fans. Unless the DPP Central Committee expresses politeness, as long as the DPP nomination is, it will last to the end, "those who are willing to vote for those who will not be elected." Huang Shanshan is not green at all now, and it is difficult to "abandon Chen and throw himself into yellow".
As for Zhou Yuke's impact on the election, people from Jiang Wan'an's camp analyzed that Chen Shizhong's inappropriate epidemic prevention and excessive politicization have long saved a lot of hatred for his election. In addition to adding hatred value to Chen, the Zhou Yuke's rebellion will also catalyze the atmosphere of "hate the Democratic Progressive Party". The voting day on November 26 is the catharsis point.
However, DPP party officials believe that although Chen Shizhong suffered a lot of support after the public toilet incident, he also caused the whispers of "submitting to Chen Shizhong is supporting Zhou Yukou" by Zhou Yukou, who was repeatedly whispered by Zhou Yukou's " Miss China " and other misunderstandings, which caused great damage to the election, but Zhou had already let Chen stop bleeding. He believed that the election situation could return to the original basic situation in October. (Editor: Fang Yanyan)
