I wrote an article two days ago. I once wrote that the United States forced Putin to fight this war. I think some people said they didn’t understand, saying that it was Russia who took the initiative to attack Ukraine . If you don’t want to fight, who can force you to fight? If we only look at the surface, it is true that Russia took the initiative, but international relations cannot be completely compared with interpersonal relationships under a unified country. It is no wonder that some people have misunderstandings based on experience.
In our daily interpersonal relationships, there is a saying that "if you win, you will lose money; if you lose, you will go to jail." It is definitely wrong to hit someone first, because you can turn to the law for everything. But the international community is a more dangerous jungle. The so-called international law does not care about powers like the United States. The offense and defense at this time are not exactly what we have seen.
With Russia’s use of force against Ukraine this time, Putin did adopt an offensive posture tactically, but strategically it was a defensive posture. In other words, Putin's tactical offensive in Ukraine was completely forced by the crazy strategic offensive of the United States and NATO . Let’s think about it again, why do we want to resist U.S. aggression, aid Korea, aid Vietnam, and fight back in self-defense on the southwest border?
Many people only see the fear of Ukraine in the war, but have you ever seen the fear of the Russians in the face of NATO's eastward expansion .
When the Soviet Union collapsed , the Americans made vague verbal promises to the Russians that NATO would not expand eastward. However, in just a few years, they completely forgot about these promises and restarted NATO's eastward expansion in 1998. In order to avoid the impact of NATO's eastward expansion on their own national security, Yeltsin, who was still very pro-Western at the time, and later Putin proposed to join NATO, but they were both rejected.
Think about it, everyone, NATO was originally a product of the Cold War to fight against the Warsaw Pact. Today, without the threat of the Warsaw Pact, NATO is still expanding to Russia's doorstep, but it does not accept Russia's membership. Can Moscow not panic? In 2007, Putin said at the Munich Security Conference: "It is clear that NATO expansion has nothing to do with the modernization of the Alliance itself and ensuring European security. On the contrary, it is a serious provocation that reduces the level of mutual trust. We have the right to question this expansion Who is it aimed at? "
At the same time, the United States through the Rose Revolution and Orange Revolution overturned the pro-Russian and not anti-American Georgian and Ukrainian governments, and replaced them with pro-American and anti-Russian puppet governments. In Belarus and Russia, there are also voices of color revolutions from time to time. The United States is methodically implementing the rumored strategic concept of dismembering Russia from both internal and external aspects.
has been targeted by the most powerful political, military and economic groups in the world. If the Russian elite does not panic in their hearts, it is absolutely false. Putin, the strongman who promised to "take good care of Russia", cannot sit still and wait for death. Therefore, whether he used troops in Georgia in 2008 or today's attack on Ukraine, these were Putin's desperate counterattacks after being cornered by the United States and NATO.
Why is it said that Ukraine’s membership in NATO is an unacceptable red line for Russia’s national security? Because after NATO's cruise missile is deployed to Ukraine, it can reach Moscow in only 8 minutes at the fastest. ballistic missile only takes 3 minutes. hypersonic missile is even faster. The Russians have no time to react at all. I can only live in endless fear for the rest of my life.
At the end of last year, NATO reiterated the established policy of Ukraine's eventual membership in NATO, which was established in 2008. This became the trigger for Putin to station troops on the Russian-Ukrainian border in an attempt to use force to promote peace. Think about it, everyone, the United States and NATO can avoid a war as long as they promise not to let Ukraine join NATO. Why would they rather have Ukraine destroyed than make a promise?
Reasonable strategic scholars in the United States know this very well. Kissinger and Kennan (the author of the Long Telegram) have repeatedly discouraged American politicians from giving up NATO's eastward expansion. On February 15 this year, University of Chicago political scientist Mearsheimer said in an interview that the United States and its allies should be responsible for this crisis, not Putin and Russia.Why? Because Ukraine is becoming a "de facto member" of NATO and an "existential threat" to Russia.
It was also under the instigation of the United States that the Ukrainian Zelensky government launched an attack on the "Second Skate" at this time, which became the last straw that aroused the anger of the Russians. In the nearly eight years of war, more than 13,000 ordinary Russians were killed, including a large number of women and children. The situation of the Russians in these two republics is actually very miserable.
is actually not only the "Second Sk", the Russians in Ukraine have also been very miserable in recent years. Nazi organizations such as the "Azov Battalion" and "Right Zone" in Ukraine have repeatedly killed ordinary Russian people in the country. The most famous one is the "Odessa Massacre." However, the international community has never paid attention to the poor living conditions of the Russians in Ukraine, and it has been completely covered up by public opinion controlled by the United States.
The two demands Russia has made to the United States and the West are actually not excessive at all. But we have seen that the United States not only flatly rejected Putin's conditions, but also repeatedly collaborated with the West to impose sanctions on Russia, claiming that Putin would send troops to invade Ukraine for fear that Russia would not use force against Ukraine. Hostaged by American public opinion, Putin is in a dilemma.
If Putin does not fight, the United States will say that his sanctions have worked, causing Russia to lose all face and dignity. Not only will national security not be improved at all by mobilizing troops, but it will also be unable to explain to the country. At the same time, the Zelensky government will be encouraged by this "victory" to completely eliminate the "Second Skate" armed organization.
It is not an exaggeration to say that the United States and NATO are the main culprits of this war. They forced Putin to attack Ukraine. Although they claimed to oppose the war, they actually instigated the war. There is such a saying that is worthy of our careful consideration: The most powerful knife in the world is a knife that kills people without blood.
