The local epidemic situation in Taiwan has slowed down, and the election situation has heated up accordingly. Taiwan's "United Press Public Opinion Polling Center" conducted a series of polls on key constituencies for the year-end election. The latest survey on the Taoyuan mayoral election found that the battle situation is stalemate. In the case of the "three-legged supervisor", Lin Zhijian, recruited by the Democratic Progressive Party, leads with 29% of the support, and Zhang Shanzheng, the former head of the administrative agency recruited by the Kuomintang, ranks second with a slight gap of 27%. The person nominated by the People's Party "Legislator" Lai Xiangling is 5%. Although Lin Zhijian and Zhang Shanzheng are evenly matched, this result is significantly different from the previous netizen voting results conducted on Taiwan's online platform. Zhang Shanzheng is far superior to Lin Zhijian, which has also aroused discussion among netizens.
The latest survey by the "United Daily News" found that if they vote tomorrow, 29% of voters support Lin Zhijian and 27% support Zhang Shanzheng. The gap between the two sides is within the range of sampling error. The election situation is showing a five- to five-wave situation; Lai Xiangling is in the blue and green Under pressure from major political parties, the vote still needs to be opened up, with a support rate of 5%. However, since 38% of voters are still undecided on their support, there is still considerable room for change in future elections.
cross-analysis found that Lin Zhijian is favored by female voters, with 29% support ahead of Zhang Shanzheng's 23%; the two are evenly matched among male voters, with 32% supporting Zhang and 29% supporting Lin. In terms of age difference, Lin Zhijian has the upper hand among voters under 40 years old, with 30% of the support, leading Zhang by 11 percentage points; Zhang Shanzheng has the upper hand among voters over 60 years old, with 31% of the support, leading Lin by 7 percentage points. ; As for voters aged 40 to 59, there is no difference between the two, with support levels around 33%.
In terms of differences in political party leanings, Lin Zhijian is supported by 76% of Democratic Progressive Party supporters, while Zhang Shanzheng is favored by 69% of Kuomintang supporters. Although 26% of People's Party supporters support Lai Xiangling, their support is not as good as Zhang Shanzheng's. Forty-nine percent; as for neutral voters, 23% support Lin, 20% support Zhang, and 54% are still waiting to see.
Although it is difficult to distinguish between the blue and green parties, judging from the chances of winning, 29% of voters expect that Lin Zhijian will succeed Zheng Wencan, 21% think that Zhang Shanzheng has a greater chance of being elected, and 1% are optimistic that Lai Xiangling will win. , 50% of voters cannot judge.
However, although the election situation in Taoyuan City is tense, voters have a great sense of distance from the election results. Nearly 60% of voters believe that the results of the county and mayor elections at the end of the year will not affect their lives at all, only 22% think it will have some impact, and 11% think it will have a great impact.
This survey was conducted from the evening of June 23 to 26, and 1,074 adults registered in Taoyuan City were successfully interviewed, while 152 people refused to be interviewed; at a 95% confidence level, the sampling error Within plus or minus three point zero percentage points. The survey uses residential telephone numbers in Taoyuan City as the matrix for random sampling with two digits, and is weighted according to the gender and age structure of the adult population in Taoyuan City.
Many Taiwanese netizens were surprised by the results of this poll. Someone left a message under the relevant news and lamented, "Is it the Taiwanese's 'goldfish brain' that has manifested itself again?" Lin Zhijian is now running away from Taoyuan. Can you believe the words of politicians?" "Lin Zhijian has no academic qualifications and no content. Compared with Zhang Shanzheng, don't Taoyuan people know how to choose?" "Ke Jianming's political remnants are coming to eat? Taoyuan's meat is gone. If Taoyuan folks are deceived by illusions and make wrong choices, they will have to bear the consequences." However, some netizens pointed out, "A good chess game can develop smoothly. If you insist on inserting the person you want, no wonder Zhang Shanzheng. Only 27%." (Lin Jingxian/editor)
