Chat :
The atmosphere is really important. Last week, after staying at home for a week, when I started moving bricks this week, I thought about how to actively update videos or articles. Then on Tuesday afternoon, my colleague passed by a high-risk place when he was out for a walk, and then he was notified to stay at home by phone. The main reason was that he came back from walking outside and was still stuck in my office for half an afternoon. There is nothing new about this market, and with the indolence of family members, I just want to lie down except for occasionally looking at the market.
News: Next week, there will be a Federal Reserve interest rate decision. What is expected to be 75 basis points for interest rate hikes in December? It will be cleared soon. The main tone of the market will come out soon, and the recent fluctuations will continue. If USD index yesterday, fell in volume, and the daily line is dark. So today we first pay attention to the continued decline, and then today is Thursday. The weekly line closes next Monday, and the html April monthly line closes, which will affect the strength of the next round of market. Therefore, we also pay attention to whether the US dollar index can stop falling and rebound after the continuous decline within the day. The RMB offshore exchange rate soared 1,000 points the next day, and this continuity remains to be seen. After all, as long as the US dollar index continues to be strong, the depreciation of non-US currencies will not be avoided. Of course, policies will also interfere with the continued upward trend of the exchange rate. It is currently at a relatively high level. Although the stability period will be a little later, it will still come.
Although the market the next day still looks a bit stormy, after all, the US dollar index fell sharply, the RMB exchange rate of soared 1,000 points, and gold and silver also ended the narrow range fluctuations to test the second resistance level, but looking back at the relationship between Shanghai and Shanghai banks, good guys, basically the market is on the spot, and there is chaos outside, but in fact it is peaceful. The problem now is that the strong US dollar will drive the depreciation of the RMB and will also stimulate the weakening of spot gold and silver, but it will support the high prices of Shanghai gold and Shanghai silver. However, if the prices of Shanghai gold and Shanghai silver are needed to weaken, the premise is that the RMB exchange rate continues to soar (the K-line trend is down), the US dollar index weakens, and the spot gold and silver fluctuate and rebound. This is a very contradictory issue. In this market where one is rising and the other is getting worse, the circle has also been updated. Whether it is the trend layout or the short-term rhythm, or the idea of how to deal with it when being trapped, you are welcome to join if you need it.
Gold technical side:
This week, gold began to rebound and repair after testing the first support of $1638. It broke through the resistance of $1666 the next day, which also means that the market has a demand for weekly resistance around 1680. The highest of the next day also hit a slight decline of $1675. There is nothing to repeat on the technical side. The large cycle lacks the support of fundamentals and for continuous stimulation and decline in volume. The small cycle lacks volume support for rising volume, so continue to be treated with oscillation.
Looking at the previous market double bottom support to test key support such as 1780, 1680, 1640, etc., there was a weak recovery period of 1 to 2 weeks. After the repair is over, the big negative breakdown will be made. At present, we can pay attention to whether gold can maintain the pace of weak recovery. Intraday resistance will continue to focus on US$1675-1680. If support is supported, pay attention to US$1660 first. Breakdown will also test around US$1638 again.
silver, paper silver technical surface :
spot silver This week, when the first support of the test is around US$18.8, it failed to break down and further support, it is currently also a rebound and repair. The next day it is also breaking through the first resistance level of this week 1 9.5, then the next round of resistance is US$19.8-19.9. After all, the silver time cycle has fluctuated for four months recently. In terms of space rhythm, except for a sideways fluctuation before the festival, most of the situation is that box fluctuates , slow rise or slow fall, and then sway back to the starting point. The rhythm is very important. If you take a wrong pace, you will feel uncomfortable for 1 to 2 weeks, but if you don’t chase the rise and sell the fall, the basic problem is not big. On
4 hours, silver is currently rebounding in volume shrinkage, and there is a lack of momentum for continuous rebound in the day. Based on the current fluctuation, a sharp drop is also difficult to occur. Intraday support is focused on US$19.2-18.9.
Shanghai Gold and Shanghai Banking Events can be followed in the circle or update the content of the morning newspaper.
Commodity The pace has been very good recently. Whether it is the downward fluctuation of threads and manganese silicon, or the continuous breakdown of PVC, there is basically no problem, but recently we are focusing on soybean oil. After all, although the above products are weak, the space is limited and time-consuming, and soybean oil has given a key resistance of around 9650. , plus the gap in the previous period is 8900, and the market that must be filled in every shortage must have a profit margin of 400-700, soybean oil must have a profit margin of 400-700, which is naturally the focus of care in the near future. After the daily soybean oil hits the expected resistance level, it contacted the sideways fluctuation, which consumed rebound potential energy. At present, the daily MACD has begun to shrink extremely. With the lack of upward action energy, it is also a concern whether soybean oil can successfully repair the expected space of and support 9280-8900. If you have any ideas about live broadcasts, you also need to control the risk rhythm by yourself.
This article is original by Haoyue Dianjin. Welcome to follow and communicate and take you to gain knowledge.
