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How many have you seized in the gold industry trend in the next five years? Which industries will be suppressed and regulated? What does this have to do with you? After reading it carefully, you will definitely benefit a lot.
At present, it seems that all industries that do not create incremental value will be subject to sanctions . For example, we have witnessed the rectification of the three industries of extracurricular training, real estate and the Internet. These three industries were once in awesome, making the most money, earning the highest income, and expanding the fastest. But now education and training are cold, real estate has entered a cold winter, and Internet giants are also cutting salaries and laying off employees. Can you say that they were sanctioned because they didn’t make money?
is actually the real reason because they are too profitable.
Then why are you punished for making money so much? You have to figure out one thing that the country’s regulation of the economy is actually not aimed at enterprises or industries, but the capital behind it. Because capital is emotional, it will not care whether an industry is healthy or whether it can benefit society. As long as it can make money, it will rush into it.
Before the period of rapid economic development, in order to make money, capital would invest in the most efficient factories and the best startups. Because these things were the most profitable back then, it did not require the guidance of the state. Capital would automatically find these good and healthy enterprises to help them expand and develop.
But now the pace of economic development has slowed down. We have entered the era of stock from the previous incremental era, and there are fewer and fewer opportunities to create new wealth. Just like 20 years ago, it was easy to make a fortune by opening a factory; 10 years ago, each of us had stories of successful entrepreneurship around us, but now, if you open a factory and start a business again, you will face saturated competition, and the success rate will definitely be low. Therefore, capital will definitely not face the challenge, so they no longer invest and create, but instead have bad ideas about the existing stock and start playing the trick of burning money.
When education and training do not teach children real knowledge, they just keep teaching them the skills of exams; when real estate is no longer for Chinese people to live in larger and more comfortable houses, but starts to play debt games for capital turnover; when the overall growth of the Internet industry is almost stagnant, the number of Chinese netizens is as high as the limit, and in order to maintain monopoly and even actively prevent innovation, capital will be restricted.
If you don’t restrain yourself, they all go to make quick money easily. Who will chew on the hard bones of technology? The upgrade of an industry requires huge initial investment, but with this unknown future, capital is not willing to try at all, so you can only force them to go here. In fact, in summary, it is that goes from virtual to real .
As long as you understand these four words, you can predict which industries may be the key targets of sanctions in the future, which industries can take advantage of this opportunity to rise to , how can ordinary people seize the next opportunity? Then how do you understand the loss of virtuality and the real?
Take the real estate industry as an example. Its biggest problem is that it is not expensive, but that it cannot be sold abroad. If the house can be exported to earn foreign exchange, it will not be suppressed. Just because it cannot be exported, when everyone in China has a house to live in, the historical mission of real estate is over. As long as any industry can no longer improve people's living standards and cannot create more incremental value, it should not be the most profitable industry.
so, we want to know what the next industry will be rectified? Want to know which industry can make money next? Just remember four words: goes from virtual to real, which is . The most core requirement of the People's Bank of China for capital flow . If you can tell what is virtual and what is real, you can make money.
Before, capital liked to be a physical entity, open factories, and run businesses, because at that time, it made money by doing this. Just like the real estate industry back then, not only made Chinese people more and more comfortable to live, but also led dozens of huge industries including upstream and downstream, including home appliances, home decoration, , and home furnishing.But when building a house gradually becomes a game of capital turnover and real estate developers start to issue financial products, it will change from real to virtual, and will naturally face supervision and restrictions.
According to this idea, the next is likely to have problems. I expect it to be the financial industry . Today, the 10 most profitable listed companies in China are banks and 1 one is an insurance company. They do not directly engage in production and only allocate funds, so they become the most profitable industry. This matter sounds inappropriate. The names of the financial products you buy are all fancy, but when you open the layers of packaging, you will see that the assets in the end are still loans or speculations on land.
But we can fully understand the greed for comfort of financial institutions. Take the bank as an example. We can think about ourselves. If two friends ask you to borrow money, one says he wants to use the money to open a factory and start a business; the other takes his house to mortgage you, saying that if you can't afford to pay back the money, you will use the house to repay the debt. If it is you, do you have to lend it to the second one?
So, when development stagnates and entities are in trouble, the financial industry will play idle funds. At this time, external forces need to force banks to lend money to projects that may not make money, but benefit the country and the people. The country recently asked banks to give 1.5 trillion yuan to various enterprises. It should be noted that the banking industry's annual profit is only about 2 trillion yuan, which is equivalent to asking banks to give 3/4 of the profit to enterprises. In this way, the banking industry will inevitably begin to compete cruelly.
After all, in China, there is almost no difference between interest rates and products between banks, and what is competing for is services and channels. In the future, the overall profit of the entire industry will decline, and it will be difficult to return to its previous height, whether it is salary space or appreciation space. Young people who are still considering entering the industry are advised to be cautious.
So what industry will take advantage of the situation to rise again?
Is there any bubble in the new energy industry that is very popular recently? Are chip photovoltaics and high-end manufacturing industries inflated? It is certain here that these industries are now bubbles.
In the past year, the company's stock prices have doubled in industries such as new energy chips and other related to industries, and the salaries of employees have also continued to rise, but has this industry itself made money? Leading new energy companies lose hundreds of millions or billions a year, and there is no time to make money. The current prosperity of is actually the result of capital speculation .
But is it a bad thing to have bubbles? It's not a bad thing, it's even a good thing that is deliberately guided. To put it bluntly, the state's means of regulating industries is to make the right people make money and make the relevant people rich. Many times in popular industries, people think that the high salary they get depends on their own efforts and their own abilities. In fact, most of the time, they are still because they have caught up with the industry's rise.
policy is to use these excess returns to attract capable people to industries that are beneficial to the country. When there are enough talents, talents and technology will be accumulated. If you can't go there, the relevant policies will slowly stop. Although this will definitely cause huge waste, it doesn’t matter. It is completely worthwhile to carry out saturated feeding for important areas that concern the country’s progress.
For example, China already has A-share motherboard, why do we need to Science and Technology Innovation Board and Beijing Stock Exchange ? Because in order to prevent scammers, the motherboard has a very high threshold. However, these industries that engage in scientific research and high-tech generally did not make much money in the early stages, or even lost money. Just looking at the surface, it is difficult to distinguish them from scammers. They do not meet the standards for listing on the main board at all. If you cannot raise funds, the boss will not be able to get rich. If the boss does not get rich, it will definitely not work. The country encourages your industry. How can you attract more capital if you don’t get rich? Therefore, on the Science and Technology Innovation Board, high-tech industries can still be listed if they suffer losses.
. The threshold for listing on the Beijing Stock Exchange is even lower. Companies with a minimum market value of 200 million can go to the market. For example, Guodun Quantum, which does quantum communications, rose 9 times on the day of listing on the Science and Technology Innovation Board. The company's boss University of Science and Technology president Pan Jianwei 's net worth soared by 2 billion a day. It means that such people must make money so that capital will see the current attention of the country to high-tech talents.
We can also foresee that a group of scammers and some high-tech scams in this industry may soon appear in this industry, but it doesn’t matter. Only 1 out of 10 projects is real, and this wave will not lose. So in the next few years, related companies such as high-end manufacturing, new energy, and biomedical will definitely be fattened, and talents in related industries will also definitely get higher income. This is a good thing.
But for individuals, we must realize that the industry cycle is constantly shortening. Many of our parents can engage in an industry for the rest of their lives, but today's industry cycles often only take 5 to 10 years from prosperity to decline. For example, real estate 10 years ago, automobiles 5 years ago, and the Internet two years ago were all hot. However, when the popularity grew to the end, only those who prepared in advance could land safely. Are you ready to welcome the next era?
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