creates a quantitative analysis for the next week, just for verification, no trading. Based on
1, the predicted trend of the market in the left picture will directly affect and lead the trend of individual stocks.
2, the middle picture shows the predicted value of the rise and fall of stock in the next five days. The trend is more important than the number. At the same time, you also need to refer to the market trend in the left picture and the size of the upward momentum (yellow line) in the right picture. In the backtesting of historical trading data of individual stocks, the positive correlation rate between the predicted value of rise and fall and the actual trend is 75%, and the proportion of positive correlation greater than 50% is 70%.
3, when the yellow rising power line in the right picture is high When the red dotted line "Chaos Upper Limit" is exceeded and it is in the red rising area, there is a high probability of rising. The success rate of historical backtesting is 90%, and the frequency of this rising signal is 52% of all rising days.
4. When the yellow rising power line in the right picture is lower than the green dotted line "chaos lower limit" and is in the green falling zone, there is a high probability of falling. The accuracy rate of historical backtesting is 90%, and the frequency of this falling signal is 48% of all falling days.
5. When the yellow rising power line in the right picture is between the upper and lower limits of chaos, its direction will change at any time due to the influence of individual stocks or market news of the day. This state is chaotic and unpredictable, accounting for half of all trading days. .
6. Quantitative statistics: For any stock, the trend in half of the trading days has its own rules. The trend in the other half of the trading days is affected by good and bad effects.
