200 million shareholders, please pay attention! This week, the A-share market showed a trend of rising first and then declining. It attacked 3400 points on Monday and Tuesday. Since 3410 is the heavy pressure area of the February-March platform, the main bulls began to be timid, which caused a rise in the next three trading days. A high and volatile trend. If nothing goes as expected, the market will soon turn into a shock pattern after two months of unilateral rebound!
For us ordinary retail investors, if we are unable to make any gains in the previous mindless winning period, the shock in the next three days of this week will surely cause a sharp retracement of the rate of return. This is mainly because everyone has not followed the market rhythm. If you still cannot find the main line of the market, you can imagine how difficult it will be to escape from the market shock period!
In view of this, in order to enable everyone to successfully survive the turbulent period of the market, Jingyang will combine the fundamentals, news, capital and technical aspects of the current mainline hot sectors in the A-share market to sort out next week's outlook for everyone. Main line of investment:
First, power batteries and new energy: two major bundled tracks, one prosperous and the other prosperous!
The power battery theme and the new energy theme are the two most closely tied themes in the recent A-share market, and the overall operating trends are basically synchronized. The characteristics of these two major themes are also relatively distinct. On the one hand, the news has been continuously positive, and on the other hand, the industry's prosperity has remained high.
Judging from the recent news, the many positive news disclosed by Jingyang’s “A share fierce news” have formed continuous support for these two major themes:
lithium battery: Recently CATL released CTP3.0 Kirin The battery and system integration have reached a new high in the world, the volume utilization rate has exceeded 72%, the energy density can reach 255Wh/kg, and the vehicle has a battery life of 1,000 kilometers. The energy density has exceeded the Tesla 4680. In addition, some media reported that upstream and downstream companies in the lithium battery industry chain have been increasing their efforts recently, and many companies in the A-share market have launched related projects.
Photovoltaic aspect: production capacity is tight and the demand of the photovoltaic industry is growing. Recently, silicon giant Tongwei Co., Ltd. has frequently received large orders! In less than three months, the company has already won a large order of 100 billion yuan, which undoubtedly confirms the extremely high prosperity of the entire industry. In addition to upstream silicon materials, many photovoltaic equipment companies have recently been expanding photovoltaic production capacity, such as JA Solar Technology, King Kong Glass , Maiwei Holdings , etc.
Wind power: Starting in May this year, a large number of domestic wind power projects have started construction one after another; after June, the "14th Five-Year Plan" offshore wind power development plans of coastal provinces such as Fujian, Guangdong, Zhejiang, and Guangxi were released one after another. According to industry forecasts, wind power installed capacity will usher in a periodic peak season in the second half of the year. According to rough statistics, the offshore wind power development target in each coastal province has exceeded 50 million kilowatts, which also means that my country's offshore wind power is entering the fast lane.
Not only that, there are recent news about sodium-ion battery , HJT battery, silicone price increase, energy storage installation and other branches. Due to space reasons, Jingyang will not be traced one by one here.
In the A-share market, power batteries and new energy have been closely aligned recently, indicating that the entry and exit of main funds are in sync. From a financial perspective, the entry points for institutional seats in the two core branches of lithium batteries and photovoltaics were in mid-May, and intensive positions began to be added in June. It is worth noting that throughout June, the main institutions have the intention to expand their layout, because among these two major themes, in addition to lithium batteries and photovoltaics, the above-mentioned sodium-ion batteries, HJT batteries, salt lake lithium extraction, and rare earth permanent magnets , silicone, and energy storage all show signs of institutional funds sweeping away goods in bulk. Even in this week's volatile market, major institutions still focus on adding positions, and even further spread the flames of war to wind power!
Judging from the trend, on Friday, the two subdivided track sector indexes of sodium-ion battery and salt lake lithium extraction took the lead in breaking through the 5-day line to complete the recovery and strengthen.In Jingyang's view, these two major themes may diverge with the market next week and will not rise sharply across the board. However, due to the large number of sub-sectors and the wide coverage of stocks, there will definitely be a large number of active stocks emerging and forming the next wave. The main investment opportunity in the weekly market!
2. Robots and automation equipment: Tesla is driven by positive sentiment, and major institutions are entering the market to add to the fun!
Recently, the concept of robots has been stimulated by two major good news, and there has been a round of pulsating market. First, Tesla previously released a 31-second video on its official Douyin account, titled "Tesla's "Top Secret" Human Creation Plan", which introduced its humanoid robot products; 2. The 2022 World Robot Conference will be held in Beijing from August 18th to 22nd. This conference includes forums, expos, robot competitions and other activities. In addition, as the original creator of the world's first adaptive robot, Feixi Technology has recently completed nearly US$100 million in Series B+ financing, and its post-financing valuation has reached unicorn level.
Among these two positives, “Tesla’s “Top Secret” Human Creation Plan” has become a catalyst for the short-term explosion of the robotics sector. Although in Jingyang's view, this positive news is a very typical emotional positive, it will not change the prosperity of the industry in the short to medium term. However, due to the improvement of the investment environment in the entire A-share market, some major institutions are interested in finding new breakthroughs. So within a week of the news coming out, starting from June 23, 8 companies in the entire sector were heavily bought by institutional seats! Until this Friday, major institutions have been adding positions.
From a technical point of view, the robot sector index and the broader market rose and fluctuated simultaneously. Although it closed below the 5-day line on Friday and moved from the strong zone to the shock zone, the sector index did not significantly deviate downward from the 5-day line destruction pattern. And judging from the time when institutions enter the market, it can also be inferred that the stage trend of the entire sector has not yet ended.
In Jingyang’s view, although the robot concept is a short-term speculation opportunity and the sector will diverge next week, there will still be some stocks that will gradually come to the forefront. We can dig out stocks within the sector that have bucked the trend in terms of volume over the past two days and are not obviously overbought.
Third, pork: The inflection point of the pig cycle has been further clarified, and the repairs have been completed after digging holes in the sector!
Data shows that the live pig market has been growing significantly recently, especially in northern regions such as Henan and Shandong where production capacity has dropped significantly year-on-year. Judging from the price performance of pig futures , it rebounded sharply on Friday and has reached a new high in the past year! In this regard, some people in the industry said that the last round of "pig cycle" ended when pig prices bottomed out in March this year, and the new round of " pig cycle " has been started for more than two months. At present, pig prices are on an upward channel. It is expected that overall pig prices will be within a reasonable range in the second half of the year, and breeding profits will be at normal levels. Increases in breeding costs such as epidemic prevention costs and feed costs will greatly increase the bottom of pig prices. In addition, as the epidemic situation improves and catering resumes, the demand for live pigs is expected to improve.
Regardless of the news or fundamentals, the pork sector has improved significantly. However, in the A-share market, the pork sector has not kept up with the fundamental turning point. In terms of sector indexes, while the market surged higher on Tuesday, the pork sector opened higher and moved lower , and even dug a deep hole for adjustment on Wednesday. However, it is worth noting that on Thursday and Friday, the sector index bucked the trend and strengthened when the market was turbulent. It has basically recovered the long negative trend on Wednesday and returned to the 5-day line, which is technically stronger. Judging from the operating trend of the sector index stage, the current position of is basically the same as that from January to April this year, when pork prices were still low. In other words, although the price of pigs has risen so much, the stock prices of pork stocks in the A-share market have not kept up.
In terms of capital, according to the capital monitoring statistics of Jingyang's "A-share news", from June 16 to June 22, major institutions have gradually increased their positions in pork stocks, but many institutions also sold during the adjustment this week. Considering that the fundamentals of the entire sector are relatively solid, and there has been a rapid recovery trend after digging holes this week, it can be judged that the institutional selling pressure on Tuesday was a deliberate washout.Activity across the board will be fixed next week!
As for the automobile stocks that have led the A-share rebound in the past two months, the two core sub-sectors of auto parts and vehicle technology have seen significant loosening this week. Therefore, the differentiation within the sector will definitely intensify next week. There may not be an overall decline of and in the entire theme, but the risks have begun to outweigh the opportunities!
In addition to the main line sector, there are also some non-mainline hot spots that have received very high market attention recently. Some of them may develop into new directions in the market, while others are obvious traps:
1, post-epidemic theme: in the news Shanghai will open up dine-in dining in an orderly manner; the "asterisk" mark will be removed from itinerary cards; 11 departments including the Ministry of Commerce issued documents to implement support policies in six aspects to promote the recovery and development of the catering industry. Stimulated by many other positive factors, there has been a pulse upward trend in the past week. trend. This theme mainly includes the three major sectors of scenic spots and tourism, restaurants and hotels, and airport shipping. It can also be extended to consumer stocks such as liquor. From a fundamental point of view, the impact of the epidemic has kept these sectors in a downturn for several years, so the cooling of the epidemic and the above-mentioned positive news may lead to a reversal of the industry's predicament. Therefore, this theme is likely to become a hot spot in the market later. During the recent pulse upswing, it has always been driven by hot money . When it was overbought and made up for the decline on Friday, Jingyang finally saw the agency buying the bottom of . Although the current intensity of institutions entering the market is not enough, they can still keep track. Once institutions increase their layout efforts in the later period, the entire theme has the potential to continue to strengthen.
2, cultivated diamonds: On Friday, "A-share news" revealed that the production and sales of cultivated diamonds are booming. Stimulated by this news, many stocks in the sector bucked the trend and strengthened. After-hours trading data show that among the leading stocks, Binghongjian has traces of institutional operations. This is also a sector with good news, industry prosperity, and institutional capital participation. Although the institution's entry into the market is not strong enough, it can still keep track.
| 3, chip semiconductor: has a lot of good news, but there is not much institutional participation! As a super branch of track stocks, the performance of chip semiconductors in this round of market is obviously weaker than that of power batteries and new energy. However, the entire theme has also shown signs of heating up in the past week or two, and some active stocks have appeared. Unfortunately, so far, the participation of individual stock institutions in this sector is not high, and they mainly focus on increasing and reducing positions. If subsequent institutions do not increase their efforts to enter the market, sustainability will be a problem.
4, brokerage firm: is a major financial pressure, and institutional attention has not been high. Judging from historical performance, securities companies are always considered to be the standard bearers of the bull market. Because when the bull market is coming, market trading volume will increase significantly, allowing the performance of brokerage firms to drive a surge in stock prices. However, this situation has changed significantly in recent years, so much so that many retail investors have been caught chasing high prices due to the many changes made by securities companies. The situation in this recent round of promotion is basically the same. Institutions did not participate, it was all hot money. Up to now, many retail investors have been trapped in it. As for why brokerage stock cannot become the standard bearer of the bull market, Jingyang will send out an informative article later today! And tell you which sectors have the potential to continue to strengthen!
| 5, digital currency , Eastern Digital and Western Calculation, Metaverse, Medicine: In the bottoming period after cools down, it is difficult to fall sharply, and it is difficult to rise sharply! These themes are all themes that have been participated by major funds in the past few months and formed a trending market, but have gradually cooled down. Since the main funds have just left the market not long ago, they will not return quickly. Since there are not many institutions on the market at the moment, no one is reducing their positions and there will be no big drop. But no institution is willing to return quickly, so it is unlikely to become a trend. There is a high probability that these sectors will fluctuate in a narrow range for some time in the future. If you are impatient and don’t lose much, you can consider leaving the market.
