2021 Luo Zhenyu's New Year's Eve speech: China's economy will be good, everyone is almost trapped in the system, "relying on the system to face people"

2021/01/0115:05:13 technology 2912


2021 Luo Zhenyu's New Year's Eve speech: China's economy will be good, everyone is almost trapped in the system,

Source: 21Tech (News-21)
Author: Yang Qingqing

Editor: Li Qingyu, Liu Xueying


December 31, " time friend " New Year's Eve speech held in Wuhan, the theme "grow up" . This is also the sixth time that Luo Zhenyu and give a New Year's Eve speech.


This year's New Year's Eve speech was held under a special background. The new crown epidemic, from the beginning of the year until December 31, is still affecting everyone's work and life. Two days ago, due to the uncertainty of the epidemic situation in Beijing, the company had to issue a notice to advise the audience who had not yet arrived in Wuhan to not travel and to refund their tickets.


At the opening, Luo Zhenyu first paid tribute to the heroic city of Wuhan. Luo Zhenyu exhibited a picture of candy, which was a performance artwork created by an artist named Gonzalez, in memory of his dead wife.


"Life is sweet, and life is helpless, it will always be lost, but people who love it always have the ability and ways to make it reborn again and again." Luo Zhenyu said. In the past year, the city of Wuhan has experienced the loss and return of love. At the same time, when the new crown epidemic was at its worst at the beginning of the year, many retrogrades came to Wuhan to support Wuhan. Luo Zhenyu paid tribute to 15 million people in Wuhan with this story. The


epidemic has brought too much uncertainty this year. Luo Zhenyu said that since the beginning of this year, many friends have asked whether the New Year's Eve speech will be held during the special season, but Luo Zhenyu firmly stated that he will do it, "even if there is only one person", just to give some "certainty" to the current era.


In Luo Zhenyu’s view, in 2020, bottom-line thinking will become the norm, and “just do it, but if we don’t, we will think about it. This is our 2020.”


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But over time, what is certainty? What is more valuable as time goes by? The answer given by Luo Zhenyu is the "friend of time" effect, "We are actually full of certainty, but you don't know what it looks like. How do you know that people around you will not be bright people in the future."


Luo Zhenyu talks The first topic touched is the Chinese economy. "In the past year, everyone has been in a debate. The topic is Will China's economy be good?" The answer he gave was "it will be good" , because he considers himself an optimist and a rational optimist. In his view, pessimism is a liar, it attracts our attention and does not allow us to participate in change. In the


"debate competition", a proposition is whether India, which has the advantages of a younger labor force and lower labor costs, will replace it as the next global supply chain center.


Luo Zhenyu quoted the Peterson report as saying that although China’s manufacturing industry has shed some low-end manufacturing market share, India’s global manufacturing market share has not risen by more than 1%. India has not been able to capture the capacity transferred from Chinese manufacturing. However, it is , Vietnam, and Indonesia that "catch" the outflow market share.


"Manufacturing is not a simple population, size, number, but also how people are organized, and it depends on the organization style within the country," Luo Zhenyu said, India is unlikely to replace China in the global supply chain . itsThere is no strategic determination to embed the global supply chain within society.


Luo Zhenyu pointed out the perspective of observing China, he pointed out the four words "local era" given by economist He Fan. For example, when a bridge is as big as the Wuhan Yangtze River Bridge, the internal structure should be concerned, otherwise its own weight will "crush it". "Just like a country, the bigger the bridge, the more important the internal structure."


What is the internal structure of China? The Luo Zhenyu team deliberately studied Lenovo's Wuhan factory this year. Wuhan was closed on January 23. In February, Lenovo's factory considered how to resume production. It started at the end of February, and 10,000 people started production on March 31.


Lenovo’s Wuhan factory director Qi Yue revealed that the factory recruits 1,000 people a day at its peak, and only China can recruit workers of this size and with relevant skills. However, in Lenovo's overseas factories, it is "astronomical" to recruit 1,000 people. After the recruitment of


, the follow-up work is nucleic acid testing, involving hospitals, nurses and other links. Qi Yue said that these things were completely unconcerned and the local government completely covered them. After get off work, workers can also ensure their own safety in closed communities. In overseas factories, such a thing can hardly be thought of.


“Lenovo’s overseas factories are almost suspended in society, fighting alone.” Luo Zhenyu said, “In contrast, Lenovo’s Wuhan factory has achieved zero infections since the resumption of work and production.”


Lenovo’s Wuhan factory is just the hero of Wuhan. A miniature of the city. In the first quarter of this year, under the influence of the epidemic, Wuhan's GDP fell by 40% year-on-year. In the second quarter of this year, the city achieved a year-on-year tie-in, and the third quarter experienced strong growth. Wuhan has truly changed from "eye of the storm" to "weathervane".


The watershed of “stuck in the system”


After talking about the Chinese economy, the next thought is: "Will you be okay in 2020?" The topic of system caused controversy. The three-kilometer meal delivery time limit was 60 minutes in 2016, reduced to 45 minutes in 2017, and 38 minutes in 2018. “The takeaway boy is indeed trapped in the digital system.” Luo Zhenyu pointed out.


is not only a takeaway brother. During the epidemic this year, many people were isolated at home and almost all employees were trapped in digital systems for online work. “In 2020, we suddenly felt that digitalization means tension, oppression and involuntary.”


xiangshuai Wealth released this year The report pointed out that digitalization means an accelerated process for our generation. The 2020 epidemic will accelerate the digitalization process for at least six years, and this will accelerate the differentiation of the population.


What can cause differentiation? Who are trapped and who can escape the cage? Xiang Shuai pointed out that the watershed of 's ​​fate depends on whether it is responsible for things or people.


For example, the principal of Beijing Eleventh School Li proposed to "move the library out of the classroom". His original intention was to transform the profession of librarian and change the librarian from being responsible for things to being responsible for people. Luo Zhenyu asked, if a child loves to read so much that he takes the book away without permission, facing such a child who loves to read, he must be punished and stand on the opposite side of it. Is this the ultimate goal of the librarian? Obviously not.


The librarian in charge of the book has a single skill. The workload of the librarian is obviously greater for the library to enter the classroom. HeWe need to be responsible and serve different individuals. "Different challenges lead to different solutions." Luo Zhenyu said that after this kind of work is done, librarians no longer stay in a single professional work, but have a variety of options, opening their ceiling.


Another example, this year Beijing Tiantan Hospital has used software that can diagnose intracranial tumors with an accuracy of 90%. If, as a doctor, you will only be responsible for the disease, not the patient, you will naturally be replaced and “trapped in the system”. "From the perspective of being responsible to people, re-understand every profession." Luo Zhenyu said.


On the other hand, looking back at the digital system itself, it may not be so hideous. The victory of the machine is, as always, the victory of mankind. Luo Zhenyu pointed out that in the face of a seemingly scary system, you can actually "rely on the system and face people."


Now everyone in the workplace is almost trapped in the system. But in many cases, the system can also be empowered. Even the social network of each individual can be digitized. A good system can really be seen.


breaks through the "stuck neck"


In 2020, the chip is the focus of China's attention. The chip semiconductors that China can currently produce only account for 5% of the world's total. The proposition of "stuck neck" echoes in the hearts of Chinese people this year.


Can China make its own high-end chips? After consulting with many experts in the industry, Luo Zhenyu got surprisingly consistent answers: is very difficult, but it certainly works. The Chinese chip problem is not a scientific problem, but an engineering problem. "5nm and 3nm are okay. It is a matter of time."


2021 Luo Zhenyu's New Year's Eve speech: China's economy will be good, everyone is almost trapped in the system,


At the same time, facing China's "stuck neck" problem, Luo Zhenyu also looked to history for answers. He pointed out that the first emperor of France, , and Napoleon , two hundred years ago, led an army of 600,000 in 1812, but defeated Russia.


What is interesting is that just 5 years before the war, France and Russia signed an agreement. Why did the two go to war? Luo Zhenyu said that the origin of the story lies in Napoleon facing Britain , playing the moral card, accusing Britain of not recognizing all civilized countries, and then came up with the "decoupling" policy of continental blockade: as long as British ships are not allowed to dock in Europe, British goods are not allowed on the European continent Sales.


However, the result is that "one's own" Russia can't stand it first: a large number of British goods enter Russia through Russian ports and then flow into Europe. In a rage, Napoleon launched an expedition to Russia, and his empire was buried in Russia's ice and snow.


Ironically, the United Kingdom, which Napoleon tried to blockade, increased its exports during the five-year period from 51 million pounds to more than 6000 pounds. Luo Zhenyu pointed out that the current state of China is playing the role of the "blue ocean" in the globalization system, holding high the banner of global trade, "We are the UK in the story 200 years ago."


At the same time, after growing up Chinese innovation can be illuminated in many ways. It is no longer confined to high-end scientists, but blossoms everywhere.


"Today's scientific innovation is the contribution of almost every factory worker. Two hundred million industrial workers and 3 million graduates every year are the innovations that move forward a little bit every day and the water level continues to rise." Luo Zhenyu pointed out, "We Pile in funds, resources, and talents. Every day, no donations are made. Such innovations are happening every day."


Moreover, Luo Zhenyu said that is a key frontier technology, and Chinese technology is catching up quickly. is, for example, "In the most serious material science of "stuck neck", there are few international cutting-edge materials papers without Chinese participation. Chinese participation in cutting-edge materials science is at least more than half. "We must not only see the reality gap, but also the speed of catching up. "Z12z


On the other hand, China's attraction to talents is also increasing, including a large number of overseas talents. The world is not determined by products and technology, but by people. The flow of talent is an unstoppable trend. It’s also hard to be "stuck".


Luo Zhenyu also pointed out that strategic determination is the most precious fruit. If there were still disputes over independent innovation in China in the past, but a consensus has been basically reached in 2020, this is also a heavy harvest. After this year, The list of companies that good science and engineering college students can participate in is very clear. Behind the "stuck neck" is a clear direction in life, and domestically-made alternative companies are a clear list of opportunities.


And once again look back at the "stuck neck" list that has been widely spread this year. , Including mobile phone radio frequency devices, chip manufacturing, robot core algorithms, high-end lithography machines, core industrial software, etc., they are our "bullss eye." "When we grow up, we will turn the card neck list into a list of opportunities. "Z30z Luo Zhenyu pointed out, "In the middle of winter, we finally know that I have an invincible summer. "Z12z


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After listening to this year's "Time Speech", what is your new wish for 2021?

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