text | Cjunkexun typesetting | Cjunkexun
original article. Plagiarism is prohibited. Violators will be prosecuted.
After 2008, Google relied on the open source business model to bring the Android system to the pinnacle of the mobile system market. I guess Google itself did not expect that Android, which was once weak, could grow into the mobile operating system with the largest share of in the global market.
However, starting in 2019, the truth about Android’s open source was “exposed”, and therefore, Android’s market position began to be impacted.
text | Technology King
In 2019, due to a series of actions against Huawei by the United States, Google directly officially announced that it would stop providing GMS services for Huawei mobile phones . This is very important for Huawei mobile phones. It has had a great impact on the development of mobile phones in overseas markets. Because of this, the outside world has clearly seen that although Google has built the Android system into an open operating system platform in accordance with open source regulations, Google controls the Android system through the GMS service, allowing GMS and the Android system to be deeply bundled.
After seeing the essence of Android, Huawei launched its self-developed HarmonyOS operating system and began to lay out the HMS ecosystem to replace GMS services. Now, after three years of hard work, Huawei has achieved initial success. The number of terminal accesses to Harmony OS has also exceeded the 300 million mark, making it the third largest mobile operating system in the world.
Seeing Huawei's successful breakthrough, the Indian market has also proposed alternatives. According to news from foreign media on January 20, India will also develop and promote its self-developed IndOS. This means that after losing Huawei, Google has once again suffered a "backstab".
From Huawei's point of view, the success of Hongmeng operating system will inevitably bring more mobile phone manufacturers in my country to join OpenHarmonyOS in the future and customize their own Hongmeng operating system. Because the excellence of Hongmeng has been confirmed, and Hongmeng's ecology continues to extend. This extension will push Hongmeng to a broader application market, and the model of Hongmeng Internet will also help Hongmeng system be accepted by more manufacturers.
Perhaps seeing the potential of the self-developed operating system market and worrying that one day it will be restricted by the United States, India has also begun to engage in system self-research. However, if this IndOS wants to develop smoothly, it will most likely be compatible with the Android open source framework in the early stage. After all, this is the most correct path at present. The success of Hongmeng system is through this method. At that time, Samsung was a maverick, completely going against Android, and eventually killed itself.
Of course, it is unknown how long this compatibility will last. After all, IndOS and the Hongmeng system built by Huawei are not comparable, and the development efficiency of IndOS is expected to be very low. However, no matter what, this is suppressing Android's market share, and it is still suppressing Android's market share while grabbing Google's wool.
However, in the face of this situation, Google has no solution. Who told you that Android is an open source operating system? And Android is not something you can take back if you want. Because Google’s share of Android’s later code contributions is not very good, so to put it bluntly, today’s Google is more like a synthesizer of the Android system, integrating excellent codes, and then it becomes a new version of the Android system.
In the face of the advent of IndOS, foreign media also commented that "this has just begun." The reason why this is said is because the Russian market is also actively promoting the development of localized operating systems. As for whether the European market will also follow up and launch self-developed operating systems in the future, it is still unknown for the time being. However, what can be seen is that the next 10 years will be Android's lost decade, and Android's market share will begin to slowly decline.
As for the reasons, they mainly focus on two aspects. One is that the development of Android is limited and cannot adapt well to the future multi-terminal market. Google itself has also realized this, , so it began to accelerate the development of the multi-terminal operating system Fuchsia OS as early as 2016. However, currently, the ecological construction is not very successful.
The second is that various regions are accelerating the layout of self-developed operating systems, and the result must be a shrinking of Android market share.
Do you think Android will be gradually eliminated in the future?
Technology self-media writers interpret different technologies from different perspectives.
