01 New virus attracts much attention
In the past two days, news about the new coronavirus Omicron variant XBB has attracted much attention. Topics related to
have repeatedly hit the hot search list. On the day the news came out, several items occupied the hot search list.
Obviously, the rumors are not rumors, because Shanghai and other places have detected the input of XBB strains..
However, the good news is that Shanghai expert team member Yuan Zhengan said that the Omicron BQ.1 and XBB strains currently discovered in Shanghai have only been detected in a very small number of incoming quarantine personnel, and have not yet caused local spread in society.
Ling Yun, deputy director of the Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, said that the Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, as the designated hospital for the treatment of confirmed inbound cases in Shanghai, implements strict closed-loop management of imported cases as required, and will be released from isolation after meeting discharge standards. No local transmission of imported strains has been found.
Even so, people are still panicking about new viruses.
Experts said that local transmission has not yet occurred in society, and no local transmission of imported strains has been found so far.
However, experts did not answer whether it will cause local spread in the future.
may be understood as is still possible.
After all, the country will be fully liberalized on January 3, and controls on outsiders will be relaxed.
Many situations cannot be controlled by experts, so it is difficult to make a conclusion.
03 The peak of the second wave
In fact, what everyone is more concerned about is when will the peak of the second wave of infections arrive? How many people will be infected?
In this regard, Meng Guoyu, a professor at Ruijin Hospital affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, said in an interview:
The peak of the second wave may be in May and June.
According to the assessment of surrounding cities and regions, the scale of the second wave of epidemic will be much smaller than the current one, and will be about 25%-50% of the current one.
So there is no need to be overly nervous.
However, these views are not widely recognized by netizens.
Some netizens questioned: January 8? Entry into Japan was fully liberalized, and the second wave only came in June. This expert’s judgment is not credible.
Some netizens retorted: An expert previously said that the epidemic was expected to end in June. Now after reading the expert's interpretation, I feel even more irritated and don't know who to believe.
Some netizens put forward different opinions based on foreign data:
Lao Bei is not an expert and can only analyze based on his own limited knowledge. He basically agrees with the above-mentioned netizens’ views:
1. The second wave peak should be earlier than the time estimated by experts, and will not wait until May or June.
2, the number of infected people is between 25-50%. This data is a bit too broad and can only show that many people will be infected.
It depends. Can the current vaccine be used against the new virus?
Will the antibodies of domestic infected people after they recover become ineffective against the new virus?
Therefore, Lao Bei said, experts’ judgments are not particularly reliable.
But this cannot be blamed on the experts. There are some situations that experts cannot control, so when making judgments, we can only use the principle of caution.
Be cautious in your words and deeds and seek truth from facts. This is the progress of experts!
04 A society cannot live without experts
A big problem now is that the people's trust in experts has almost collapsed.
Everything experts say will almost always raise a question mark without hesitation. The comments of these two netizens
may be the current mentality of most people towards experts!
is scared when he sees the expert’s judgment.
After what the experts said, I feel more and more nervous. What should I do?
A society cannot be without experts, nor should it be without experts!
In fact, experts make some predictions based on their own experience and knowledge, which may sometimes be inaccurate. However, as long as they are based on the principle of seeking truth from facts, reverence for science, and the spirit of being responsible for society, ordinary people can still understand their voices.
But in the past and in the present, individual experts have made irresponsible remarks and sophistry, completely ruining the reputation of experts and shattering the people's trust in experts.
