is really here, and the El Niño Monitoring Bulletin (No. 360) has announced that the La Niña phenomenon is still continuing, which means that the rare "triple" La Niña phenomenon is really here, and the probability of continuing winter reaches 70%.
Of course, under the influence of the La Nina phenomenon, the impact on climate change in our country is an inevitable trend, and in autumn and winter, it will have obvious impacts. After all, this is an atmospheric phenomenon.
So, many people always discuss whether it is cold or warm this winter when they see the La Nina phenomenon. So how does this winter develop? Let's take a look at
Rare triple La Nina attack
That's right, in the release of the El Niño Monitoring Bulletin (No. 360), we saw that La Nina is still explaining that this means that the rare triple latitude has been attacked. Nothing wrong.
The subsequent continuous development may bring greater fluctuations to the climate in my country and the global world. Under the fluctuations of global warming , another rare triple La Nina will inevitably accelerate the earth's climate fluctuations.
Of course, as the climate background of global warming, there are already many extreme climate phenomena that humans have encountered. In 2022, we have been given a clear "warning". Extreme high temperatures, droughts, and even the development of storms are all very clear.
For example: my country has encountered extreme high temperature effects and has remained above 40 degrees for a long time. Even Chongqing, my country even experienced a rare high temperature of 45 degrees. This is a climate that is rare in history.
Also, Shanghai encountered a once-in-a-century high temperature, and the continuous 40 degrees + high temperature also created history. However, we saw that 40 degrees create history. In September, the United States encountered a high temperature attack of nearly 53 degrees, which also created a rare high temperature, so the high temperature is very obvious.
Anyway, there are many rare high temperatures in Asia, Europe, Africa and other places. And in addition to this, there is drought. Europe has encountered droughts that occur once in 500 years, and my country's Yangtze River , basin has encountered the strongest drought in 61 years, and some areas have also experienced continuous droughts in "summer and autumn".
Therefore, extreme climate change is still developing in our country. However, global warming under the root causes is still continuing, which means that these climate changes will be more responsible in the future.
On the other hand, in 2022, my country encountered extreme high temperatures and droughts, and there was also some La Nina phenomenon. After the appearance of the La Niña phenomenon, its effect cannot disappear directly, but will continue.
However, in 2022, climate change will be different. Although the development of the La Nina phenomenon weakened in the first half of the year, it quickly developed again. Therefore, its impact is actually continuing. Therefore, the rare triple La Nina is coming, everyone should be prepared.
What impact does the rare triple La Nina come on?
First of all, under the influence of La Nina, the climate change in my country in autumn may be very complicated, and the fluctuations of typhoon in autumn may be large.
According to normal circumstances, the La Nina phenomenon is conducive to typhoon activities when it develops. However, after the "Double La Nina Year", the typhoons in 2022 also showed a relatively abnormal phenomenon, that is, there have been not many typhoons in the Northwest Pacific region since this year.
. In view of the expected typhoon development trend in autumn 2022, my country once again gave 8 to 10 tropical cyclones (central wind force ≥8) in the Northwest Pacific and South China Sea waters, which is less than the same period (11).
However, according to the trend of autumn typhoons, it seems that the explosive power is a bit strong. Just like the abnormality of the prediction, these "three typhoons" are dancing together again. Therefore, it may not be too small. Moreover, according to the development trend of the La Niña phenomenon, after its formation, it is more beneficial to the formation of typhoons.
Therefore, the impact of typhoons on my country may be more likely to follow. Of course, no matter whether it is more or less, it is enough to focus on National Climate Center , after all, it is a trend.
Under the influence of the La Nina phenomenon, there is a phenomenon that appears. Statistics show that after the La Nina event, my country's autumn precipitation is prone to the characteristics of "more north and less south", and many areas in the Yangtze River Basin in my country have already shown . Therefore, this is in line with the characteristics of the La Nina phenomenon.
Many people are a little confused when they see this. Simply put, in normal circumstances, after the La Nina phenomenon occurs, it may lead to more typhoons, but the autumn forecast is relatively small, and there may be room for change.
Secondly, autumn precipitation is prone to "more north and less south". This state has been reflected and has indeed happened. Therefore, there are trends that are accurate and there are differences in trends. Let’s continue to observe.
And for winter, is this winter cold or warm? For winter, under the development of the La Nina phenomenon, the probability of low temperatures in winter is high, my country is significantly affected by cold air, and the possibility of cold waves is very high.
However, here is also an explanation of special circumstances. That is, in the "Double La Nina Year", we encountered another abnormal pattern. In the first two months, our country encountered extreme cold climates and a large-scale cold wave climate also appeared.
2021, most parts of central and eastern my country encountered a cold wave, and the daily minimum temperature in more than 50 cities (counties) may reach the historical extreme since the website was established.
However, in the last month of winter, the winter climate in my country showed a contrast, and the temperature quickly recovered. There was even a daily maximum temperature in more than 25% of cities (counties) in the country that exceeded February's historical extreme value, and it directly appeared. A major change in warmth and cold”.
Therefore, the national average temperature in winter is -2.5℃, which is 0.8℃ higher than the same period in the previous year (-3.3℃), and is the eighth highest in the same period since 1961. In the last month of winter alone, the national average temperature reached 1.2℃ , 2.9℃ higher than the same period in the previous year, the highest in the same period since 1961.
Now, warm winter appears. Have you said you've been cold? It must have been cold, has it been warm? It must have been warmed up too.
But this matter tells us that the cold and warm problems this winter are "changeable". In addition, under the high temperature and drought in 2022, we have seen that climate change is stronger, which will inevitably show that our country has reached new highs. Extreme climates may also be very strong this winter.
So, the rare triple La Nina is coming, whether this winter is cold or warm, and only when winter is over will you know it. Anyway, you have seen a comprehensive analysis that the climate in 2022 is more complicated.
Summary
Many people may think that Science and technology has developed, and climate prediction is becoming more and more difficult, and it is not as accurate as before. Is this really true?
In fact, everyone is really misunderstood. Climate forecasts are actually stronger than before. How many meteorological satellites in the world are working, and this is urgently locking down on climate change.
In the eyes of many people, climate prediction seems to be a bigger gap than before. This is indeed true, but everyone should have considered that climate changes have become more complicated.
We won’t talk about it anymore. In the summer of 2022, many countries around the world have made mistakes. The rainfall has occurred in the dry season. The rivers have been cut off in many countries. Do you think that the technology of all countries in the world has become worse?
is obviously not the case. In fact, climate change is more complicated, making it difficult for everyone to guard against.
So, for everyone to refer to climate trends, what should be prepared is still to prepare. Extreme climate may only continue to increase, but not decrease in the future.Because the "climate factors" that cause huge climate change have become more and more complicated, there is no way to do so.
