After experiencing the magical final of the World Cup last night, Argentina fell into a sleepless carnival from the capital Buenos Aires to the small town of Pampas grasslands Epekun .
Football, Argentina team, Messi , Hercules Cup made more than 50 million Argentines boil over the whole country because the national honor is supreme.
In normal times, Argentina is not a very united country. Various forces such as the gap between the rich and the poor, differences between the left and right, anti-American and pro-American, radical and conservative have been quarreling endlessly. Only football can allow people to temporarily let go of their differences and pray for the Argentina team together.
Argentina has had a good relationship with China over the years and has in-depth cooperation, including the military field.
For several years, there have been rumors at home and abroad that Argentina plans to purchase Chinese "JF-1" fighter jets. Commander of the Argentine Air Force has also publicly stated that he hopes to introduce JF-13 fighter jets from China to update its outdated military equipment.
Argentine Ambassador to China Niu Wangdao also met with the delegation of AVIC to discuss the purchase of Xiaolong 3.
This is the second time that the Joint Chief of Staff of Argentina Armed Forces Pareo led a delegation to visit the JF-1 fighter jet production line of Pakistan .
Argentine netizens are very excited about this. After all, the experience of the Cabernet War in the 1980s was conspired by Western countries.
However, on December 9, the Argentine government officially announced that temporarily freezes its Air Force's advanced fighter project.
actually interrupted the procurement process of the JF-1 fighter jet.
Many Argentine netizens called it a "traitor's behavior" and were extremely disappointed. After all, the atmosphere has come to this point. Suddenly a basin of cold water comes down, what do those people who are full of expectations think?
What made them even more angry was that the British interfered with this matter.
htmlIn early October, the British magazine Defence revealed that it is imperative for Argentina to purchase modern fighter jets. Then, the UK would rather persuade the United States to approve the sale of second-hand F-16 fighter to Argentina than to prevent it from obtaining China's FF-16 fighter jets.
For the UK, if both sides start war again for Holy Island , the threat of the JF-16Holy fighter jet is much greater than that of F-16.
The United States accepted the UK's advice.
But the main problem is still in Argentina. The Argentine parliament has passed a budget for the introduction of modern fighter jets and supporting facilities of US$684 million. They have four choices:
Russian MiG-35, Indian Glory, China JF-11, US F-16 (second-hand can also be used)
Russian MiG-35, Indian Glory have all been eliminated, leaving only two models from China and the United States.
Argentine political arena is divided into two factions, supporting the procurement of the F-16 and F-16 respectively. However, the negative attitude of the United States has made Argentina tend to sign formal procurement contracts with China (or maybe introduced production line assembly).
If an agreement is reached with China, then Argentina will also become the "general agent" of Latin American , and the maintenance work will be included.
The reason why the United States is reluctant to sell F-16 to Argentina is mainly because it is considered that if other Latin American countries also make the same request, the United States will not be able to refuse. The United States does not want to see neighboring countries improve their combat effectiveness.
"Two evils are the least of the right", and the United States agreed to open the F-16 to Argentina, provided that it must give up its purchase of the F-16.
Argentina's "pro-American faction" sees hope again and actively promotes negotiations with the United States.
html In mid-November, Argentina officials sent a high-level delegation to Denmark to evaluate the second-hand F-16A/B fighter jets on site. The United States has authorized Denmark to resell.
At the end of 2022, Argentine President Fernandez must express his purchasing intention, which is a dilemma for him.
If it announces its decision to purchase fighter jets from Denmark (the United States), although it will satisfy the "pro-American faction", it will inevitably trigger strong domestic resistance and pose serious political risks.
If it announces the purchase of JF-17 fighter jets, the risks will be equally huge, and retaliation will be imminent.
In fact, the real pressure on Fernandez is not that the United States agrees to let Argentina send people to Denmark to inspect the goods. He himself does not advocate choosing the F-16.
The real pressure is Argentina's economic crisis. The Argentine government has been trapped in the " routine loan " of the United States and it is difficult to escape. How to survive the economic difficulties in 2023? Still have to rely on debt. Who can
borrow from? It is IMF ( International Monetary Fund ), and Argentina is its "regular customer".
Next year, the Argentine government will need at least US$44 billion to maintain the basic operation of society.
However, the IMF has been reviewing it. Argentina has submitted various materials and is still reviewing it. It is not saying whether it will be approved or not.
The problem lies with the Xiaolong fighter. Of course, the IMF will not admit it even if it kills it.
After Argentina sent people to Denmark to inspect the goods, the IMF's review subsequently passed.
On December 5, the IMF issued the latest notice stating that Argentina and IMF staff had reached an agreement on the third review of its US$44 billion borrowing plan.
is waiting for the executive committee to approve the loan, and the meeting will be held at the end of this month.
The United States has the final say in the IMF and has the only veto power . The United States has the right to decide whether the US$44 billion can be received.
So on December 9, the Fernandez government announced a freeze on the fighter aircraft procurement plan.
The United Kingdom is satisfied. The United Kingdom just wants to prevent the Xiaolong from reaching Argentina. As for the F-16, it also knows that Fernandez may not dare to buy it.
What is the most liked comment on Fernandez’s Twitter account?
"Have you forgotten the British base in the Falklands? Your statement only shows that you have ignored the constitution, which marks the need to provide funds to defend sovereignty, and you are a traitor to the country."
Fernandez can only bear all criticism silently. He cannot explain to the society that it was because the United States choked his neck with IMF loans that he decided to freeze the Xiaolong procurement plan.
Military equipment procurement is Argentina’s sovereign matter. When it faces huge pressure, it is not a big deal to slow down.
It is only a matter of time before the Argentine economy gets rid of "routine loans". With its rich natural resources and some unique industries, it is only a matter of time before it recovers.
What the United States is really worried about is that China will further expand its "military presence" in Argentina through cooperation with the Xiaolong fighter jets.
In 2015, the American media once hyped that Cristina had signed some "secret agreements" with China when she was the president of Argentina (current vice president).
China has established a "deep space station" (aerospace monitoring station) in the Patagonia region. The "deep space station" covers an area of about 200 hectares and has deployed a large number of aviation tracking equipment and control systems. 247 kilometers to the north is the European Space Agency's satellite station.
The reward for Argentina is to obtain strategic intelligence from China's powerful reconnaissance satellite group.
Argentine media analysis believes that the main contents of the China-Argentina "deep space station" agreement are:
1. The agreement period is 50 years, and tax exemptions will be provided during the agreement period.
2. Local governments shall not interfere with the normal operation of the observation station.
3. Chinese employees are governed by Chinese laws.
4. China is not responsible for solving any remaining problems before or after the lease.
media analysis can only be used as a reference and does not have to be fully accepted.
The countries that are most concerned about this base are the United States and Japan. Japan's "Diplomat" magazine believes that the People's Liberation Army is managing it.
The most low-key country is China. The domestic official media has basically not mentioned this matter.
However, American public opinion continues to render it a "military base" to collect sensitive information of the US military.
After right-wing politician Macri came to power at the end of 2015, Argentina shifted from "leaving the United States" and "rejecting the United States" to a "pro-American" line. But he did not touch China's space monitoring station, but agreed to the United States building several bases in Argentina (for police training).
Now Fernandez comes up and Cristina is the vice president, both left-wing figures. Then other projects in the original agreement between China and Arab countries will also be restarted.
The United States considers these to be "military projects." When Argentina takes the step of purchasing JF-17 fighter jets and becomes the "general agent," China's military presence in Latin America will appear next.
Christina had already suffered an assassination on September 1, but she escaped death only because the gunman's pistol malfunctioned. Now she has been sentenced to six years in prison by the court on corruption charges and banned from holding public office for life. She is still appealing. The presidents of Mexico and other Latin American countries have come out to support her, believing that the judiciary is engaging in political persecution.
The vice president is being punished, and another target is President Fernandez. Whether it is a personal security risk or a political risk, he must consider it.
Argentina has the opportunity to choose its own development path. The United States and Britain cannot dominate Latin America forever. The key is that the countries here must have the courage to fight against it.
Although China and the United States have not directly confronted each other on the issue of fighter jets, there will definitely be many stories between Argentina and the Xiaolong fighter jets in the future.