On December 15, Ukrainian Defense Minister Alexei Reznikov issued a statement: "My personal assessment is that the Ukrainian armed forces will not stop their offensive in the winter."

December 15, Ukrainian Defense Minister Alexei Reznikov issued a statement: "My personal assessment is that the Ukrainian armed forces will not stop attacking in winter." He revealed that Ukraine has winter equipment and ammunition inventory, which is three times the average level, so the Ukrainian army only needs to wait until the ground is frozen and stiff before starting the attack. So do the Ukrainian army have the ability to attack in winter?

Although the Ukrainian Defense Minister is very determined, Ukrainian Prime Minister Dennis Smehar admitted that in the difficult winter, Ukraine will suffer from power shortages. Valeri Zaluzhni, commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, also reported to Zelensky that the battle in East Ubakhmut was not going well. Therefore, Russian military expert Shurkin believes that in fact, the Ukrainian army was not prepared for an attack, and Reznikov's statement was more about diverting attention and publishing false information.

Shurkin believes that the Ukrainian army has huge problems in weapons, equipment and ammunition. The Ukrainian officials are not talking about attacking now, but they have said they are attacking for two months, but where is Ukrainian's attack? The only reasonable explanation is that Ukraine has exhausted a lot of manpower and equipment reserves in the direction of Bachmut, and consumed offensive forces in other directions. For this reason, Valeri Zaluzhni, commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, was even nicknamed "Bachmut Executioner" in China.

But Shulkin warned that although Ukraine is unable to launch a full-scale attack, it may launch an attack in some direction in winter. Because if the Ukrainian army does not attack, it is equivalent to giving the initiative to the Russian army. Neither Russian-Ukrainian commanders are fools. Another Russian expert, Andre Koshkin, actually entering winter is a very sensitive period. Both Russia and Ukraine said that they will use the winter to launch an attack, and both sides said that the severe cold will cause huge trouble to their opponents. This is the particularity of war.

He believes that no matter which side it is, the winter offensive depends on a series of conditions. For example, the army should provide winter uniforms and snow motorized equipment. There must be enough tracked vehicles and cannot use civilian transportation, otherwise the road adaptability will be poor. Without a heating spot to serve hot food, soldiers would not be able to continue fighting in the winter. Therefore, the winter offensive relies on logistical capabilities, and the difficulties are even greater in Ukraine, because Ukrainian infrastructure is being bombed by Russian troops, and in addition to personnel, Ukrainian army relies on Western aid.

, and the commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Zaluzhni, made it clear that Western assistance is needed to provide 300 tanks, 600-700 infantry fighting vehicles, and 500 howitzers . When Reznikov proposed to launch a winter offensive, he also emphasized that the speed of the offensive will depend on military supplies from the West. Therefore, Koshkin believes that this is a political statement and a signal to the West: If you want us to attack, please give us more weapons and equipment, otherwise the Ukrainian army will not be able to attack.