Source: CNR-PLA military media center of the financial media: Li Yue
Iranian nuclear scientist Mohsen 法赫里扎德 were killed, making the Gulf of high tension again. US Navy officials stated on November 28 that the USS Nimitz was returning to the Gulf region. However, Rebecca Lebaric, spokesperson for the US Navy’s Fifth Fleet, said that the actions of the USS Nimitz’s aircraft carrier group’s return to the Gulf have nothing to do with any “specific threats” and are to maintain “regional security”. So, what is the real reason for the USS Nimitz aircraft carrier group to return to the Gulf? What actions might be taken afterwards? Related topics, military observer Du Wenlong will give you a detailed analysis.
data map: The USS Nimitz aircraft carrier
, spokesman for the US Navy’s Fifth Fleet, Rebecca Lebaric, said in a statement that the USS Nimitz’s aircraft carrier combat group returned to the Gulf and joined the United States from Afghanistan. The withdrawal of troops from the Iraqi battlefield is related and not triggered by specific threats. But another U.S. Department of Defense official disclosed that the decision to dispatch the aircraft carrier back to the Gulf can also "release a signal to Iran." In this regard, military observer Du Wenlong believes that the real purpose of the US move is to strategically deter Iran’s possible “retaliatory” actions after the death of an Iranian nuclear scientist.
Du Wenlong: After the assassination of Iran’s chief nuclear scientist Muhsin Fahrizad, the United States and Israel are highly nervous. In particular, Israel has let go of harsh words that made Iran suspect that Muhsin Fahrizad was jointly assassinated by the United States and Israel. Before, many people in Israel, including in its newspapers, said that none of Iran’s nuclear scientists are safe and that their deaths are only a matter of time. According to media reports, in 2018, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu once said, please remember this name: Fahrizad. This also shows that the United States and Israel are more likely to assassinate Iranian nuclear scientists. If Iran conducts "thunder strike" retaliation at this time, it may have a greater impact on the situation in the Middle East. At the beginning of the year, General Soleimani, the leader of Iran's "Quiz Brigade", was assassinated, and Iran retaliated by launching ballistic missiles at US bases in Iraq. Now, if Iran adopts the same retaliatory measures, the surrounding US bases and allies will not be safe. At this time, if the "Nimitz" aircraft carrier battle group's powerful strategic deterrence and strike capabilities are used to return to the Persian Gulf to exert greater military pressure on Iran, Iran's actions can be stopped to some extent. At the same time, if Iran reacts excessively at this time, the United States will take advantage of the various reactions to Iran as a pretext for war and form a sub-moderate combat operation in the Middle East.
Data map: In a speech in 2018, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu accused Fahrizad of being the father of Iran’s nuclear weapons program. When releasing the PPT, he said: "Remember this name-Fah Rizard." Z1z
military observer Du Wenlong analyzed that after the "Nimitz" aircraft carrier combat group arrives in the Gulf region, it will conduct near reconnaissance and surveillance of Iran in order to respond to possible Iranian "retaliation" in a timely manner.
Du Wenlong: According to the standard procedures deployed by the United States, after the "Nimitz" aircraft carrier combat group arrives in the designated sea area, an early warning aircraft and carrier-based aircraft will be dispatched to carry out various flight operations around; at the same time, the ships will be close to sensitive sea areas. Monitor Iran's various exercises and fire tests in the Persian Gulf. Recently, Iran carried out an attack on aircraft carrier models in the Persian Gulf, apparently targeting the USS Nimitz aircraft carrier formation. In this state, whether Iran uses ballistic missiles to carry out missile attacks on neighboring countries, or uses rockets to attack targets in Israel in southern Syria and other directions, they will be detected and monitored; the United States’ intelligence on air and space integration The reconnaissance system can provide real-time warning and respond in time; its cruise missiles and carrier-based aircraft are also highly alert. Once Iran has an attack, it may be subject to strategic retaliation from the United States.
Data Map: The Speaker of the Islamic Parliament of Iran, Muhammad Bagir Khalibaf, said at the meeting: “Only (Iran) responds strongly, otherwise the enemy will not regret (for its actions).”
At present, although there is no country or The organization claimed responsibility for the assassination of Iranian nuclear scientists, but the Iranian side directly pointed out that the murderer was Israel and vowed to "retaliate." Military observer Du Wenlong analyzed that Iran may adopt a hidden identity in the next step, To strike and retaliate against related targets in Israel or the United States.
Du Wenlong: In the next step, Iran may take several actions like these. First, show your original intention to the United Nations. Condemn any countries and factions that participated in the assassination, and strive for just support from the international community. Second, we must clean up in the country. Whether it was the assassination of the first four scientists, the assassination of General Soleimani, and the assassination of the chief nuclear scientist this time, it was the result of long-term follow-up. Therefore, it is not ruled out that there are pro-American forces and pro-Israel forces in Iran. In a state of high security, the chief nuclear scientist can be assassinated in the capital area in broad daylight, indicating that all senior Iranian officials are not safe. Therefore, the immediate elimination of the pro-American and pro-Israel forces in the country may be the most important thing. Third, it is not ruled out to launch attacks on sensitive and important points. Now, since no one admits who assassinated the chief nuclear scientist Muhsin Fahrizad, out of a reciprocal response, if Iran adopts a concealed identity, a gray identity, and strikes on US bases and Israeli targets, or abroad Various attacks on Israeli and American embassies abroad and Jewish gathering areas will also make it difficult to determine who is behind the scenes.
(produced by RongMedia of the People's Liberation Army News and Communication Center of the Central Military Region)
