According to a report by the Russian Satellite News Agency on December 1st, on the evening of the 29th local time, the car in which the senior commander of the Iranian military Muslim Shahdan was riding was hit by a drone in the Ghaim area on the border between Iraq and Syria. In the attack, Shahdan and all three entourage were killed. Since the attack took place in Syria and was close to a US military base, the Iranian military suspected that this was another beheading operation carried out by the US military. It is reported that US military satellites have found unusual signs in Iran, and the US has warned the Iranian authorities not to be impulsive. Experts in the United Kingdom believe that the attitude of China and Russia is the most important if Iran launches a counterattack. Only with the support of China and Russia can the Iranian authorities make the final decision.
On November 27, Iran’s top nuclear physicist Fahrizad was assassinated and killed in an area near Tehran. Only two days later, the vehicle in which Muslim Shahdan was riding was attacked by a drone. This shows that the United States and Israel have launched an assassination plan against high-level Iranians. In order to prevent Iran’s development, the United States and Israel no longer want to comply with the provisions of international law. They flagrantly violated international law and carried out assassinations of important figures in sovereign countries. This behavior ordered Shocked. As early as January 3 this year, Trump ordered the U.S. military to dispatch drones to assassinate Soleimani, the commander of Iran’s Quds Brigade. The death of the "king of spies" in the Middle East aroused the anger of the Iranian authorities, but they were angry with the U.S. military. The missile attack on a military base in Iraq failed to kill a US soldier, which shows that the espionage problem within Iran is very serious.
experts believe that the United States has already proved on January 3 that it has the ability to behead Iranian senior officials, and on November 27, the Israeli authorities have also proved that it has this ability. For policymakers in the United States and Israel, the risk of assassination of important figures in Iran is not high. The death of Iran’s senior commander Muslim Shahdan is like an “appetizer” for the United States and Israel. According to sources, the Iranian military has begun to formulate a large-scale counterattack plan. The Pentagon also said that its satellite has photographed unusual signs on the Iranian border, and that a large number of missiles and drones are being deployed by the Iraqi army. The deaths of important figures such as Soleimani, Fahrizad and Shahdan reminded the Iranian authorities that they should attach importance to their own internal spies. In addition to dealing with the issue of espionage, the Iranian authorities also need to assess the strength and impact of this retaliation. For all forces, the outbreak of a full-scale war is a situation they do not want to see. How to achieve the purpose of retaliation and compel the United States and Israel to dare not take action is something Tehran needs to consider.
British experts believe that Iran currently needs the help of China and Russia most. The attitudes of these two countries directly determine the direction of Iran’s final decision. The Iran issue is equally important to China and Russia. Whether it is economic or military, both China and Russia need long-term cooperation with Iran.