text | Snow Eagle
The cold winter has arrived, and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has entered a critical moment, but the United States and the West have suddenly begun to "fall out of the chain".
According to Global Network , citing the US " New York Times ", on the 26th local time, a Western official said that Ukraine is using an astonishing number of artillery . NATO member states have exhausted what they can provide, and 20 of them have felt very tired.
A NATO official compared Ukraine with Afghanistan . In Afghanistan, NATO fired about 300 shells a day, and there were no concerns about air defense . However, Ukraine needs to fire thousands of shells every day, and also needs air defense. Calculate that, Ukraine's shell usage per day can match Afghanistan's entire month .
(Ukrainian army fired shells)
The official said that among the 30 NATO member states, 20 have fallen into "exhausted aid to Ukraine", and there may be only 10 remaining countries that will continue to aid to Ukraine. The report speculated that the official may refer to Germany, France, Italy, , Netherlands, and other countries.
such concerns are not groundless. Take NATO's "big brother" United States for example. Some data says that in order to continue to play its advantages on the battlefield, the Ukrainian army consumes nearly 7,000 NATO standard high-explosion grenades every day. However, even if the US military industry "starts with all its strength", it will produce up to 15,000 per month.
In other words, the United States has fully produced 1 month, which is only enough for the Ukrainian army to hold on for 3 days.
(Ukrainian Tank Force)
Of course, Europe's insufficient supply of weapons cannot blame others. After the collapse of , in order to seize the "peace dividend", it was Europe who carried out the " European Conventional Armed Forces Treaty " and actively reduced the national defense budget expenditure and arsenal. At that time, Europe believed that there would be no war in the conventional sense again. Now it seems that they were still too young at that time.
What's worse is that on November 27, the New York Times also reported that the wear of Ukrainian artillery was very serious. The 350 howitzers that the United States aided to Ukraine will be exhausted after overuse in recent months, and one-third of them are now unavailable.
(The U.S. M777 artillery aided by Ukraine has become the main artillery force of the Ukrainian army on the eastern battlefield)
It can be seen that in terms of logistics, the Ukrainian army is in a situation where there is a wolf in front and tiger behind". On the one hand, the excessive consumption of the front line is emptied of NATO countries' inventory bit by bit. On the other hand, the Ukrainian army's artillery has also suffered a large number of wear and tear, and it cannot play a role.
However, the Russian air strikes did not wait for people. On the 27th, the online map data of the Ukrainian Ministry of Digital Transformation Air Defense Alarm showed that another five ground in Ukraine sounded the air defense alarm.
(Urbanned by the Russian Aerospace Forces)
The first person to detect the danger was Dnepropetrovsk Oblast , followed by the second and third... Finally, alarms were heard in Poltava, Cherkasse, Kirovograd Oblast and some areas of Zaporoze Prefecture controlled by the Ukrainian army.
Therefore, the situation faced by the Ukrainian army is not optimistic, especially in the context of the Russian army's continuous bombing of infrastructure and military facilities in Ukraine, The entire Ukraine has become extremely short of electricity. Ukraine's side basically cannot rely on the production of weapons and ammunition by itself. Even the transportation system has been affected by the power outage, and the efficiency has been greatly reduced.
(Damage of facilities in Ukraine affects traffic)
plus the lack of capabilities and fatigue of conflict in the West, as well as the unknown impact of the Ukraine Republican to control the House of Representatives, are destined to see many variables in the situation in the next few months.
However, it must be admitted that it is not only the Ukrainian army that is affected by logistical pressure, but the Russian army is the same. Nowadays, the Russian military's ammunition consumption is also amazing. It can consume up to 50,000 large-caliber grenades in a single day, far exceeding the Ukrainian army. This is why Russian President Putin specially ordered that Russian military industrial enterprise be fully produced.
(Russian tank force)
In addition, although 20 NATO member states shouted in unison and lost their enthusiasm for aid to Ukraine, there are still 10 countries that are still providing assistance to Ukraine as always. The Russian army is equivalent to using its own country's shell volume to fight the inventory of more than 10 countries, and the pressure cannot be underestimated.
What's more, the Russian army's conventional weapon is not as advanced as NATO's weapons to aid Ukraine, which leads to the Ukraine's more tricks on the battlefield. The Russian army had no choice but to increase the deterrence of "unconventional forces", so the subsequent conflict would be even more dangerous.
