my country's military equipment will usher in a major strategic breakthrough in the next five years, because it is clearly proposed to build a strong strategic deterrence system from the just-concluded meeting. This is the first time in the history of our military construction that such a goal has been clearly proposed.
It can be said that in the previous stage, we focused on breaking through the political correctness of military construction, and then the three-in-one high-end troops that mechanize, informatization and intelligence; that is, we are now catching up with the world's advanced level and have reached the world's advanced level; but this is far from enough, because our next opponents are the world's top United States and Russia.
So what else do we need to do to benchmark strategic powers like the United States and Russia? This is the new trend just proposed -
to build a strong strategic deterrence system.
It can be said that this is really a long way to go. What is a strategic deterrence system?
to put it bluntly, the United States and Russia have held strategic balance negotiations for many years, and they don’t even have to take China to play. It is obvious that the number of nuclear weapons in our country is crucial, and we are not yet able to sit on the same table with others.
, the second thing is the quality of nuclear weapons, which is very important. The quality of nuclear weapons includes its explosive power, its delivery tools, and its strategic penetration capabilities; if these trinity cannot reach the world's most advanced, it is hard to say that we have truly achieved strong strategic deterrence capabilities.
From this we can see that what we must do in the next five years: the first thing we are to do is that the H-20 stealth strategic bomber must complete the test flight as soon as possible and fully equip the troops; because the H-20 stealth strategic bomber is the last shortcoming of our Trinity aerospace power, and it is also a very, very important link. Only with stealth strategic bombers can we traverse the Pacific Ocean and all regions around the world.
The second one is nuclear-powered aircraft carrier . Nuclear-powered aircraft carriers have always been a fatal shortcoming for us; although we already have the aircraft carrier , our aircraft carriers are far from reaching the world's advanced level. According to our overall strategic demands, our country needs at least three to four nuclear-powered aircraft carriers to ensure our strategic security throughout the Western Pacific region.
Therefore, it can be said that we have a long way to go in the future development and need to seize the time to make comprehensive breakthroughs in some important directions!
Let’s focus on another focus! This winter, the world is destined to be peaceful. In the interest rate hike cycle of in the United States, there may never be a time of peace. Whether it is the United States actively creating problems or the whole world passively affected, economic globalization has become a reality, and the economy and finance should have been two elements that cooperate with each other. The current situation is that the sharp tightening of finance has already taken the lead in the economy, and the whole world is not very accepting that the economy will be affected by this tightening. The more economic level it is, the more calm the Western economy led by the United States, the more crazy the pace of financial tightening, it may have to be. This is a choice that has no choice.
The world's economic center is basically concentrated in the Northern Hemisphere. Now winter in the climate of the Northern Hemisphere is approaching, and the severe winter in finance and economics is likely to sweep the world soon. Starting next week, a series of events will follow.
The first one is November 3. The Fed rate hike will be launched first. The current forward signal is Canada within the Five Eyes Alliance. It was the first to raise rate hike at 50 basis points. The Bank of Canada has raised interest rates 6 times since this year, but the amplitude of each time is different.
5 basis points in the first rate hike in March, 50 basis points in April and June, 100 basis points in July, and 75 basis points in September. Canada's moves are forward-looking, and only added 50 basis points this time, which is a bit of a sign of slowing down the pace.
, but another forward signal, the ECB just raised interest rates by 75 basis points in October.When the ECB raised interest rates for the first time in July, I analyzed that the spread between Europe and the United States will stabilize and will not expand further, so that the flow of capital between Europe and the United States will come to an end.
The choice of the United States now may be between these two, but the market is basically expected to raise interest rates by 75 basis points. The key thing you are looking at now is whether December will slow down, and the rate hike will fall back to 50 basis points. This will determine how the Federal Reserve will evaluate and respond to austerity strategies next year.
In a sense, this will also determine whether the situation in the world will deteriorate further or usher in a turning point of easing.
In addition, on November 8, the United States will start the midterm elections, which is also a focus of attention around the world, which is whether the current President Biden will lose the Senate and the House of Representatives and become a lame duck. More importantly, will this become an opportunity for Trump to make a comeback in ? The tear within the United States will lead to a crisis of the unipolar world order and will be more fragile.
The Russian-Ukrainian conflict during the same period was still focused on whether the nuclear war against would occur. There is reason to speculate that the preparations on the battlefield are in full swing. If the pace of financial austerity increases, the situation on the battlefield may become more severe.
Europe's energy crisis has now become explicit and destined to be long-term, not a problem that can be solved in the short term. No matter from any perspective, all these external factors show no sign of improvement in the short term, and the contradictions continue to become sharp.
From these situations, there is almost no doubt that the whole world is destined to be peaceful this winter.
