The situation is already very clear now.
Our side made a tough statement, and naturally expressed high attention and heated discussions on Taiwan. Because of this, "How will the Taiwan authorities choose in the end" has also become a hot topic for many Chinese and military fans.
According to the current situation and development trend, the future and possible situations of the Taiwan Strait are only "unification" or "independence", while the decisive factor is "harmony" or "war".
What might Taiwan authorities choose? Will
"stubbornly seek independence and fight to the death" or "know and correct mistakes to promote unity"?
In the limited time of "showdown", is there any accident still possible?
1: How will the Taiwan authorities choose
No matter how it chooses, unification will be the final answer, and this point cannot be changed.
Next, we will analyze the specific problems of .
The above also mentioned that there are only two possible situations in the Taiwan Strait in the future. However, from the interpretations of relevant DPP personnel, there is still no possibility of "promoting unification" . There are even multiple "characters" who personally participated in the Taiwan Strait exercises and training and have certain combat experience. We must pay attention to this signal.
As for how to choose, the author made the following speculation based on the actual situation:
If the two sides of the Taiwan Strait really have the best time to unify, we will do our best to strive for peaceful reunification. However, according to the consistent style of the DPP authorities, they cannot easily stop and give up their existing power and status. At this time, "unification with force" has become the most appropriate and fastest way to take effect.
This means that before "independence" and "unification", the DPP may still give it a try, continue to challenge our bottom line, and resist stubbornly for "independence". . Between "harmony" and "martial arts", the DPP may choose "martial arts", and it is also "martial arts" that "respected foreign countries and fawned on foreign countries".
Of course, this is not a basis-free guess. The main reasons are as follows:
First: We have given the "harmony" signal many times, but the DPP has maliciously interpreted it and has done many things that obviously delayed unification.
Even when Pelosi insisted on entering Taiwan despite dissuasion, we also sent out the signal that "we hope to solve the problem peacefully", but the behavior of the Taiwan authorities does not have the potential to be on the rise.
At that time, Pelosi met Tsai Ing-wen after he entered Taiwan, and the impact was very bad, which disrupted the situation in the Taiwan Strait and made the temperature in the Taiwan Strait not drop.
At this time, the method we chose is: organizes live-fire exercises in the Taiwan Strait in a completely legitimate manner, and reports and sets up "target areas" in advance, which is reasonable and legal, and also shows full sincerity.
Can the DPP authorities?
maliciously misinterpreted our intentions and maliciously interpreted the signal of our peace as "non-peace", and then jumped up and down the international community, making the Taiwan Strait unhappy.
After that, we released the "Unified White Paper", once again showing our feelings to our compatriots on Taiwan. has made clear plans for the future and peaceful environment that our compatriots are looking forward to, and the relevant policies are also on the surface.
But the Taiwan authorities have also picked on the matter and even suppressed the promotion of " " on the island.
Given the most typical example:
After the Taiwan Strait heats up, Tsai Ing-wen still attended the lecture in a high-profile manner and expressed her feelings in the event, completely ignoring the future expected by the people on the island.
When Tsai Ing-wen was giving a speech, two "unification" men suddenly appeared in the venue. They stood up and shouted "Peace is not war" and "Don't provoke the mainland", and also shouted out the expectations of the people, but what's the result?
The people present at the scene began to grab slogans, and security personnel even began to "raise people". Physical conflicts became reality, and two people who shouted peace were also raided out of the venue.
Can after the scene returns to calm, Tsai Ing-wen just continues to give a speech and does nothing. Is this really a problem-solving attitude?
It can be seen from this that Tsai Ing-wen and others don’t want to recognize the reality, they are just resisting stubbornly, so they will release a strong “harmony” message on our side and pretend to be deaf and dumb, and they will show such great malicious intentions towards the “unification” people on the island.
This means: The Taiwan authorities still want to "seek independence", still want to hinder the progress of cross-strait reunification, and still want to "resist the unification with force."
Of course, this is just one of the reasons.
Second: The Taiwan authorities actively cater to the United States' "huge arms sales to Taiwan" (including a large number of offensive weapons systems), and their connections and small actions with the United States and Japan are uninterrupted, making it clear that they want to "resist the unification with force."
The United States and Taiwan are the biggest "cancer" that hinders cross-strait reunification.
But as of now, the evil activities between the United States and the Taiwan authorities still have no intention of calming down. In addition to the US's repeated willingness to "may send troops to protect Taiwan", the Taiwan authorities' "cameracy" behavior is also bad enough.
only takes "arms sales to Taiwan" as an example.
In fact, "arms sales to Taiwan" is a wrong behavior that violates the principle of establishing diplomatic relations between China and the United States, but the United States relies on its super strength to find loopholes. Not only has it followed the "vague policy to Taiwan" for many years, but also passed the so-called "Taiwan-related Act" in China, casting the already indiscriminate "arms sales to Taiwan" behavior "veil of justice".
(partial)
At this stage, the Taiwan authorities have purchased a large number of weapons and equipment from the United States. Although most of the is not the most advanced and has the strongest combat power, it is made by the United States after all, and its strength is not weak there. If the two sides of the Taiwan Strait really reach the point of "must-fire", it will indeed add to a certain degree of difficulty.
The most important thing is that the current "arms sales to Taiwan" are becoming increasingly arrogant, and even offensive weapons have been brought out. This intention is already very obvious.
Of course, we must also be clear that the gap in military strength between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait is still relatively large. Even if the United States really sends a large number of offensive weapons to the Taiwan authorities in the future, we will never be at a disadvantage.
What's more, the behavior of the United States has always been erratic. If it really reaches the final stage, it is still a matter of whether the United States will continue to intervene. Even if the Taiwan authorities really want to "resist the unification with force", they may not be able to achieve their wishes.
2: Why is the showdown time
because unification is imminent.
At this stage, there is not much time left for the DPP authorities. As the situation in the Taiwan Strait becomes more and more serious, unification is imminent. If the Taiwan authorities still do not know how to restrain themselves, do not make the right choice, and do not show off or act, then what will be greeted will be "severe punishment and sanctions", and the two sides of the Taiwan Strait will eventually achieve unification.
As of the current situation, the probability of the Taiwanese authorities making other choices in the next few years is very low.
Of course, if they clearly want to challenge , then they must make plans to be beaten and then welcome the arrival of unity together!
