text/Dingfengboli
Time comes to the evening of October 16. What surprised many people is that Russia's large-scale bombing of Ukrainian infrastructure is still continuing. Of course, Ukraine also frequently bombed Russian mainland (border cities), and today it also bombarded civilian targets such as the Donetsk government building. What is more worthy of attention is that at least more than a dozen countries have evacuated their overseas Chinese . The storm is coming and the wind is filling the building .
1. Signs of the escalation of the Russian-Ukrainian war
With the approaching traditional European winter, the approaching mid-term choice of the United States, the United Kingdom's Tlas also encountered big trouble, and the 300,000-strong conscription work in Russia is about to be completed, the possibility of the escalation of the Russian-Ukrainian war has greatly increased.
There is no doubt that these news is unfavorable to Ukraine. Then, before these adverse factors come, it is undoubtedly necessary if the Ukrainian army can achieve a big victory. Therefore, it can be understood that the Ukrainian army has shown signs and tentative attacks on Khlsong and Zaporoze in the past two days.
This also determines that the Russian Aerospace Forces are destined to not be treated as decorations as before. In other words, the Russian Aerospace Forces not only need to cooperate with ground operations on the front line, but also need to respond to the Ukrainian attack on Russia. They will continue to attack Ukraine's energy facilities in order to achieve the goals of mobilizing the people's hearts and logistics in the rear.
. In this context, there are three obvious signs outside that the possibility of a sharp escalation of the Russian-Ukrainian war is very high.
signs, After half a year, at least more than a dozen countries have once again issued large-scale evacuation announcements.
According to incomplete statistics, India and other countries announced the evacuation of their own officials and residents from Ukraine, including the East Asian powers, have already at least a dozen countries.
sign 2 , Russia dispatched strategic bomber and went to Belarus for formal garrison.
According to relevant reports, recently, official news from Belarus has shown that a large number of Russian troops and military aircraft have entered Belarus, and the news is that Russia is stationed in the Brest area. As for humans, there are many versions. It is generally speculated that with the previous Russian troops stationed in Belarus, the estimated number is estimated to be between 50,000 and 100,000.
From the map, Russia has the possibility of sudden attack on Lviv and Kiev . After all, it is only 250 kilometers away from the central city in western Ukraine.
However, personal judgment should be that defense is more meaningful. Because October 17th to 30th are the period of NATO large-scale exercises. The location is near Polish . In other words, it is almost impossible to suddenly attack Lviv or Kiev from Russia.
In addition, at the same time, there are related reports that Russia has begun to mobilize strategic bombers. First, Russia deployed 11 strategic bombers that can carry nuclear weapons in the Murmansk area; second, recently, the US satellite captured images of Russian strategic bombers moving to of the Kola Peninsula, which is only 32 kilometers away from the Norwegian border. You should know that the strategic location of the Russian air base close to Norway is extremely critical. The bomber deployed here is fully capable of launching attacks on targets throughout Europe and even the United States.
sign three, NATO countries accelerate military aid to Ukraine. Especially the direction of Germany has attracted attention.
On the other hand, Medvedev frequently inspects domestic military enterprises , and requires the acceleration of the production of drones and other products. Moreover, according to US media reports, Iran is preparing to provide Fateh-110 and Zolfaghar short-range ballistic missiles to the Russian Federation armed forces. Previously, Iranian drones played a good role in the front-line battlefield.
It is understood that Fateh-110 is a mobile single-stage solid propellant ground-to-ground missile . The maximum range is 300 kilometers and the warhead weighs 448 kg. zolfaghar - mobile single-stage solid propellant surface-to-ground missile. The maximum range is 700 kilometers and the warhead weighs 579 kg.
2. The latest situation on the front line
At present, the overall situation on the front line can be summarized as: the Ukrainian army assembled on a large scale in Khlsong and Zaporoze and launched a large-scale tentative attack, but was repelled by the Russian army and fell into a stalemate. The Chief of Staff of Ukraine concluded: The Russian army is launching an attack on Donbas and fired at the Ukrainian armed forces along the entire front line, advancing in the direction of Bachmut and Avdivka.
1. bonus man direction
At present, the front line news is to repel the Ukrainian army's counterattack. The Russian army tried to counterattack the direction of Chongliman. Given the insufficient military strength of the Russian army, it is estimated that great progress will not be made next.
2.Bachmut's direction
The Russian and Ukrainian army reports were consistent, and the war was very fierce. The Ukrainian army withdrew from the east and rested. At the same time, the Ukrainian army added a group of new troops. The Russian army once again fell into a slow pace of progress. On the Internet, it should be fake news that the Russian army took Bachmut and the Ukrainian army's large-scale retreat.
3.Herson
The Ukrainian Army’s recent focus on attack direction. However, because of this direction, the Russian army and the Aerospace Army cooperated to fight and repeatedly repelled the Ukrainian attacks.
According to Khlsong local government, the Ukrainian army failed in the offensive! On the 16th local time, Kiril Stremusov, deputy administrative director of Kerson Prefecture, said on Telegram that the Russian army did not allow the Ukrainian army to attack Belesla in Kerson Prefecture. He wrote: "The Ukrainian Nazi attack was completely failed. The Russian army completely defeated its attempt to break through to the Beleslav direction of Kerson Prefecture."
In addition, Stremusov also spoke to residents on the right bank of the state and urged them to stay away from the line of fire as much as possible.
In addition, according to Russian Ministry of Defense , Russian troops destroyed five Ukrainian border crossings across the Ingulets River in the direction of Khlsson. Due to the attacks of the Russian Aerospace Forces air force, missile forces and artillery in the Khlsong area, the Ukrainian army failed to break through the defense line and was blocked on the first line of defense, losing more than 10 armored vehicles and tank . In this direction, it is not ruled out that the Ukrainian army is just a strategy to attack the east and the west. Just like last time, the seemingly massive counterattack was actually focused on Kharkov .
4. Zaporoze
According to relevant reports, Zaporother Nuclear Power Plant has always been the one that the Ukrainian army hopes to take control, and there has been a large-scale assembly in the near future.
It may be because the Russian Aerospace Forces have increased their bombing of the Zaporoze area and suppressed and disrupted the Ukrainian army's deployment to a certain extent.
In short, the situation on the front line is relatively calm. But in the seemingly calm situation, I feel a big torrent gathering. The issue of evacuation of overseas Chinese in so many countries is likely to be notified by Russia.
Because the Crimea Bridge was bombed recently, Ukraine frequently bombed Russia's mainland and launched multiple terrorist attacks on Russia, which may have touched the red line drawn by Russia. War escalation is inevitable.
According to reliable information, Putin will convene members of the Russian Security Council to hold a meeting in the next few days. By then, Russia may declare war or other major moves.
Some analysts said that Russia is likely to declare war, and if it is fully prepared, it will be announced. A real war is different from the first stage. There will be large-scale bombing, strategic bombing opportunities begin to start, and the violent mode on the Syrian battlefield will be opened. Although it will still take into account civilian casualties, it will definitely hurt innocent people by accident.
Under the current circumstances, the morale of both sides changed in an instant. The Ukrainian army also learned about Russia's large-scale recruitment of 300,000 troops, and at the same time, Russia began to take the war seriously. The situation seems to be heading towards Russia.
